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In this paper we focus on the beneficial role of random strategies in social sciences by means of simple mathematical and computational models. We briefly review recent results obtained by two of us in previous contributions for the case of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-05-22 Alessio Emanuele Biondo , Alessandro Pluchino , Andrea Rapisarda

We consider a version of large population games whose agents compete for resources using strategies with adaptable preferences. The games can be used to model economic markets, ecosystems or distributed control. Diversity of initial…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 K. Y. Michael Wong , S. W. Lim , Zhuo Gao

We present a new model for prediction markets, in which we use risk measures to model agents and introduce a market maker to describe the trading process. This specific choice on modelling tools brings us mathematical convenience. The…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2014-03-05 Jinli Hu , Amos Storkey

Investors and regulators can greatly benefit from a realistic market simulator that enables them to anticipate the consequences of their decisions in real markets. However, traditional rule-based market simulators often fall short in…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-04-01 Zhiyuan Yao , Zheng Li , Matthew Thomas , Ionut Florescu

We consider the ideal-gas models of trading markets, where each agent is identified with a gas molecule and each trading as an elastic or money-conserving (two-body) collision. Unlike in the ideal gas, we introduce saving propensity…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Arnab Chatterjee , Bikas K. Chakrabarti , S. S. Manna

This paper studies the switching of trading strategies and its effect on the market volatility in a continuous double auction market. We describe the behavior when some uninformed agents, who we call switchers, decide whether or not to pay…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2015-06-17 Yi-Fang Liu , Wei Zhang , Chao Xu , Jørgen Vitting Andersen , Hai-Chuan Xu

Financial market forecasting remains a formidable challenge despite the surge in computational capabilities and machine learning advancements. While numerous studies have underscored the precision of computer-generated market predictions,…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2023-11-16 Reza Yarbakhsh , Mahdieh Soleymani Baghshah , Hamidreza Karimaghaie

Traders buy and sell financial instruments in hopes of making profit, and brokers are responsible for the transaction. There are several hypotheses and conspiracy theories arguing that in some situations, brokers want their traders to lose…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2022-06-03 Manuel Lafond

Econophysics provides a strategy for understanding the potential mechanisms underlying the anomalous distribution of wealth found in real societies. We present a computational nonlinear stochastic model for the distribution of wealth that…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Nicola Scafetta , Bruce J. West , Sergio Picozzi

The problem of allocating scarce items to individuals is an important practical question in market design. An increasingly popular set of mechanisms for this task uses the concept of market equilibrium: individuals report their preferences,…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2019-12-11 Riley Murray , Christian Kroer , Alex Peysakhovich , Parikshit Shah

Agents are represented by nodes on a random graph (e.g., small world or truncated power law). Each agent is endowed with a zero-mean random value that may be either positive or negative. All agents attempt to find relief, i.e., to reduce…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-06-13 Randall A. LaViolette , Lory A. Ellebracht , Charles J. Gieseler

An empirical analysis, suggested by optimal Merton dynamics, reveals some unexpected features of asset volumes. These features are connected to traders' belief and risk aversion. This paper proposes a trading strategy model in the optimal…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2026-05-27 Francesca Mariani , Maria Cristina Recchioni , Tai-Ho Wang , Roberto Giacalone

Value adjustment of uncollateralized trades is determined within a risk-neutral pricing framework. When hedging such trades, investors cannot freely trade protection on their own name, thus facing an incomplete market. This fact is…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2014-09-23 Lorenzo Cornalba

In financial applications, reinforcement learning (RL) agents are commonly trained on historical data, where their actions do not influence prices. However, during deployment, these agents trade in live markets where their own transactions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-27 Shaocong Ma , Heng Huang

Most finance studies are discussed on the basis of several hypotheses, for example, investors rationally optimize their investment strategies. However, the hypotheses themselves are sometimes criticized. Market impacts, where trades of…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2022-02-03 Takanobu Mizuta , Isao Yagi , Kosei Takashima

We study how to allocate resources to participants who can strategically misrepresent their deservingness at a cost. A principal assigns item(s) (or money) among multiple agents on the basis of their costly signals. Each agent's signal…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-05 Yingkai Li , Xiaoyun Qiu

Wagering mechanisms are one-shot betting mechanisms that elicit agents' predictions of an event. For deterministic wagering mechanisms, an existing impossibility result has shown incompatibility of some desirable theoretical properties. In…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2022-03-31 Yiling Chen , Yang Liu , Juntao Wang

We study a setting where a set of agents engage in pairwise exchanges of freely replicable goods (e.g., digital goods such as data), where two agents grant each other a copy of a good they possess in exchange for a good they lack. Such…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2026-03-16 Shangyuan Yang , Kirthevasan Kandasamy

In our simplified description `wealth' is money ($m$). A kinetic theory of gas like model of money is investigated where two agents interact (trade) selectively and exchange some amount of money between them so that sum of their money is…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Abhijit Kar Gupta

This paper uses the development of multi-agent market models to present a unified approach to the joint questions of how financial market movements may be simulated, predicted, and hedged against. We examine the effect of different market…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-10-31 P. Jefferies , M. L. Hart , P. M. Hui , N. F. Johnson