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We call two copulas tail equivalent if their first-order approximations in the tail coincide. As a special case, a copula is called tail symmetric if it is tail equivalent to the associated survival copula. We propose a novel measure and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-22 Takaaki Koike , Shogo Kato , Toshinao Yoshiba

We show an extension of Sanov's theorem on large deviations, controlling the tail probabilities of i.i.d. random variables with matching concentration and anti-concentration bounds. This result has a general scope, applies to samples of any…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-12 Akshay Balsubramani

We take an $L_1$-dense class of functions $\Cal F$ on a measurable space $(X,\Cal X)$ and a sequence of i.i.d. $X$-valued random variables $\xi_1,\dots,\xi_n$, and give a good estimate on the tail behaviour of $\sup\limits_{f\in\Cal…

概率论 · 数学 2014-07-07 Peter Major

Let $\BS_1,...,\BS_n$ be independent identically distributed random variables each having the standardized Bernoulli distribution with parameter $p\in(0,1)$. Let $m_*(p):=(1+p+2p^2)/(2\sqrt{p-p^2}+4p^2)$ if $0<p\le 1/2$ and $m_*(p):=1$ if…

概率论 · 数学 2007-12-23 Iosif Pinelis

This paper considers the tail asymptotics for a cumulative process $\{B(t); t \ge 0\}$ sampled at a heavy-tailed random time $T$. The main contribution of this paper is to establish several sufficient conditions for the asymptotic equality…

概率论 · 数学 2013-12-30 Hiroyuki Masuyama

The analysis of extremal dependence in high dimensions has recently attracted considerable interest. Existing methodology primarily focuses on modeling and estimation of extremal dependence structures, often supported by concentration…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-02 Axel Bücher , Yeonjoon Choi , Katharina Effertz , Stanislav Volgushev

Let $X_k$ denote the number of $k$-term arithmetic progressions in a random subset of $\mathbb{Z}/N\mathbb{Z}$ or $\{1, \dots, N\}$ where every element is included independently with probability $p$. We determine the asymptotics of $\log…

Hoeffding has shown that tail bounds on the distribution for sampling from a finite population with replacement also apply to the corresponding cases of sampling without replacement. (A special case of this result is that binomial tail…

概率论 · 数学 2011-07-11 Kyle J. Luh , Nicholas Pippenger

We propose a novel probabilistic model to facilitate the learning of multivariate tail dependence of multiple financial assets. Our method allows one to construct from known random vectors, e.g., standard normal, sophisticated joint…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2020-01-14 Xing Yan , Qi Wu , Wen Zhang

This paper considers how to measure the magnitude of the sum of independent random variables in several ways. We give a formula for the tail distribution for sequences that satisfy the so called Levy property. We then give a connection…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Pawel Hitczenko , Stephen Montgomery-Smith

We prove an exponential probability tail inequality for positive semidefinite quadratic forms in a subgaussian random vector. The bound is analogous to one that holds when the vector has independent Gaussian entries.

概率论 · 数学 2011-10-14 Daniel Hsu , Sham M. Kakade , Tong Zhang

We construct a new tail bound for the sum of independent random variables for situations in which the expected value of the sum is known and each random variable lies within a specified interval, which may be different for each variable.…

概率论 · 数学 2025-03-25 Jackson Loper , Jeffrey Regier

In this paper we prove multilevel concentration inequalities for bounded functionals $f = f(X_1, \ldots, X_n)$ of random variables $X_1, \ldots, X_n$ that are either independent or satisfy certain logarithmic Sobolev inequalities. The…

概率论 · 数学 2020-06-16 Friedrich Götze , Holger Sambale , Arthur Sinulis

We study the long-time behavior of decoupled continuous-time random walks characterized by superheavy-tailed distributions of waiting times and symmetric heavy-tailed distributions of jump lengths. Our main quantity of interest is the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2011-12-30 S. I. Denisov , S. B. Yuste , Yu. S. Bystrik , H. Kantz , K. Lindenberg

In this paper, we study lower tail probabilities of the height function $\mathfrak{h}(M,N)$ of the stochastic six-vertex model. We introduce a novel combinatorial approach to demonstrate that the tail probabilities…

概率论 · 数学 2025-08-26 Sayan Das , Yuchen Liao , Matteo Mucciconi

Let S_n=X_1+...+X_n be a sum of independent symmetric random variables such that |X_{i}|\leq 1. Denote by W_n=\epsilon_{1}+...+\epsilon_{n} a sum of independent random variables such that \prob{\eps_i = \pm 1} = 1/2. We prove that…

概率论 · 数学 2019-11-13 Dainius Dzindzalieta , Matas Šileikis , Tomas Juškevičius

Let $X(t),t\in R^d$ be a centered Gaussian random field with continuous trajectories and set $\xi_u(t)= X(f(u)t),t\in R^d$ with $f$ some positive function. Classical results establish the tail asymptotics of $P\{ \Gamma(\xi_u) > u\}$ as…

概率论 · 数学 2017-06-09 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Peng Liu

The Dvoretzky--Kiefer--Wolfowitz--Massart inequality gives a sub-Gaussian tail bound on the supremum norm distance between the empirical distribution function of a random sample and its population counterpart. We provide a short proof of a…

概率论 · 数学 2024-03-26 Henry W J Reeve

The goal of this paper is to investigate the tools of extreme value theory originally introduced for discrete time stationary stochastic processes (time series), namely the tail process and the tail measure, in the framework of continuous…

概率论 · 数学 2021-03-31 Philippe Soulier

A theoretical expression is derived for the mean squared error of a nonparametric estimator of the tail dependence coefficient, depending on a threshold that defines which rank delimits the tails of a distribution. We propose a new method…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-25 Matthieu Garcin , Maxime L. D. Nicolas