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Dynamical systems running on the top of complex networks has been extensively investigated for decades. But this topic still remains among the most relevant issues in complex network theory due to its range of applicability. The contact…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-02-03 Angélica S. Mata

In real social networks, person-to-person interactions are known to be heterogeneous, which can affect the way a disease spreads through a population, reaches a tipping point in the fraction of infected individuals, and becomes an epidemic.…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-05-12 Ignacio A. Perez , Paul A. Trunfio , Cristian E. La Rocca , Lidia A. Braunstein

Throughout the course of an epidemic, the rate at which disease spreads varies with behavioral changes, the emergence of new disease variants, and the introduction of mitigation policies. Estimating such changes in transmission rates can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-29 Jenny Huang , Raphaël Morsomme , David Dunson , Jason Xu

We propose an approach to model spatial heterogeneity in SIR-type models for the spread of epidemics via \emph{nonlocal aggregation terms}. More precisely, we first consider an SIR model with spatial movements driven by nonlocal aggregation…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2025-04-03 Marco Di Francesco , Fatemeh Ghaderi Zefreh

We have performed individual-based lattice simulations of SIR and SEIR dynamics to investigate both the short and long-term dynamics of childhood epidemics. In our model, infection takes place through a combination of local and long-range…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2007-05-23 J. Verdasca

We study the standard SIS model of epidemic spreading on networks where individuals have a fluctuating number of connections around a preferred degree $\kappa $. Using very simple rules for forming such preferred degree networks, we find…

统计力学 · 物理学 2012-12-05 Shivakumar Jolad , Wenjia Liu , B. Schmittmann , R. K. P. Zia

We examine how the behaviour of high degree vertices in a network affects whether an infection spreads through communities or jumps between them. We study two stochastic susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) processes and represent our…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2019-03-04 Joshua Feldman , Jeannette Janssen

We study the diffusion of epidemics on networks that are partitioned into local communities. The gross structure of hierarchical networks of this kind can be described by a quotient graph. The rationale of this approach is that individuals…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2016-01-19 Stefano Bonaccorsi , Stefania Ottaviano , Delio Mugnolo , Francesco De Pellegrini

This paper is concerned with the growth rate of SIR (Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered) epidemics with general infectious period distribution on random intersection graphs. This type of graph is characterized by the presence of cliques…

概率论 · 数学 2025-08-13 Carolina Fransson

We investigate the effects of modular and temporal connectivity patterns on epidemic spreading. To this end, we introduce and analytically characterise a model of time-varying networks with tunable modularity. Within this framework, we…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-10-05 Matthieu Nadini , Kaiyuan Sun , Enrico Ubaldi , Michele Starnini , Alessandro Rizzo , Nicola Perra

We consider a multi-population epidemic model with one or more (almost) isolated communities and one mobile community. Each of the isolated communities has contact within itself and, in addition, contact with the outside world but only…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-02-18 Akhil P. T. , Eitan Altman , Rajesh Sundaresan

We introduce a model of the diffusion of an epidemic with demographically heterogeneous agents interacting socially on a spatially structured network. Contagion-risk averse agents respond behaviorally to the diffusion of the infections by…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-04-13 Alberto Bisin , Andrea Moro

Most epidemic models assume equal mixing among members of a population. An alternative approach is to model a population as random network in which individuals may have heterogeneous connectivity. This paper builds on previous research by…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Erik Volz

The spreading of an epidemic is determined by the connectiviy patterns which underlie the population. While it has been noted that a virus spreads more easily on a network in which global distances are small, it remains a great challenge to…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Thomas Petermann , Paolo De Los Rios

The viral load is known to be a chief predictor of the risk of transmission of infectious diseases. In this work, we investigate the role of the individuals' viral load in the disease transmission by proposing a new…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2023-03-29 Rossella Della Marca , Nadia Loy , Andrea Tosin

With the premise that social interactions are described by power-law distributions, we study a SIR stochastic dynamic on a static scale-free random network generated via configuration model. We verify our model with respect to deterministic…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-05-10 Sara Sottile , Ozan Kahramanoğulları , Mattia Sensi

This paper analyzes a Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model of epidemic propagation over hypergraphs and, motivated by an important special case, we refer to the model as to the simplicial SIS model. Classically, the multi-group SIS…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-10-05 Pedro Cisneros-Velarde , Francesco Bullo

We study two simple mathematical models of the epidemic. At first, we study the repetitive infection spreading in a simplified SIRS model including the effect of the decay of the acquired immune. The model is an intermediate model of the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-03-13 Hidetsugu Sakaguchi , Keito Yamasaki

We introduce a kinetic model that couples the movement of a population of individuals with the dynamics of a pathogen in the same population. We consider that transmission occurs when a susceptible and an infectious individual are…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2026-01-30 Carolina Strecht-Fernandes , Fabio A. C. C. Chalub

With the covid-19 pandemic still ongoing and an enormous amount of test data available, the lessons learned over the last two years need to be developed to a point where they can provide understanding for tackling new variants and future…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-06-09 Adam Mielke