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Several new methods have been proposed for performing valid inference after model selection. An older method is sampling splitting: use part of the data for model selection and part for inference. In this paper we revisit sample splitting…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-04 Alessandro Rinaldo , Larry Wasserman , Max G'Sell , Jing Lei

Robust MDPs (RMDPs) can be used to compute policies with provable worst-case guarantees in reinforcement learning. The quality and robustness of an RMDP solution are determined by the ambiguity set---the set of plausible transition…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-02-21 Marek Petrik , Reazul Hasan Russell

Respondent-Driven Sampling (RDS) is a form of link-tracing sampling, a sampling technique used for `hard-to-reach' populations that aims to leverage individuals' social relationships to reach potential participants. While the methodological…

Heteroskedastic errors can lead to inaccurate statistical conclusions if they are not properly handled. We introduce a test for heteroskedasticity for the nonparametric regression model with multiple covariates. It is based on a suitable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-21 Justin Chown , Ursula U. Müller

Motivated by the questions of risk assessment in climatology (temperature change in North America) and medicine (impact of statin usage and COVID-19 on hospitalized patients), we address the problem of estimating the set in the domain of a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-29 Junting Ren , Fabian J. E. Telschow , Armin Schwartzman

We present a distribution optimization framework that significantly improves confidence bounds for various risk measures compared to previous methods. Our framework encompasses popular risk measures such as the entropic risk measure,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-13 Hao Liang , Zhi-quan Luo

Resampling techniques have become increasingly popular for estimation of uncertainty in data collected via surveys. Survey data are also frequently subject to missing data which are often imputed. This note addresses the issue of using…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-27 Michael W. Robbins , Lane Burgette , Sebastian Bauhoff

The random coefficients model is an extension of the linear regression model that allows for unobserved heterogeneity in the population by modeling the regression coefficients as random variables. Given data from this model, the statistical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-03-15 Fabian Dunker , Konstantin Eckle , Katharina Proksch , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

When randomized ensemble methods such as bagging and random forests are implemented, a basic question arises: Is the ensemble large enough? In particular, the practitioner desires a rigorous guarantee that a given ensemble will perform…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-08-06 Miles E. Lopes , Suofei Wu , Thomas C. M. Lee

Statistical inference in competing risks models is often based on the famous Aalen-Johansen estimator. Since the corresponding limit process lacks independent increments, it is typically applied together with Lin's (1997) resampling…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-01-31 Dennis Dobler , Markus Pauly

This article describes two Monte Carlo methods for calculating confidence intervals on cumulative density function (CDF) based multivariate normal quantiles that allows for controlling the tail regions of a multivariate distribution where…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-11 Adam Watts , Thomas Thompson , Dustin Harvey

It is common to show the confidence intervals or $p$-values of selected features, or predictor variables in regression, but they often involve selection bias. The selective inference approach solves this bias by conditioning on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-02 Yoshikazu Terada , Hidetoshi Shimodaira

Regularized kernel methods such as, e.g., support vector machines and least-squares support vector regression constitute an important class of standard learning algorithms in machine learning. Theoretical investigations concerning…

机器学习 · 统计学 2012-03-21 Robert Hable

This paper develops bootstrap methods to construct uniform confidence bands for nonparametric spectral estimation of L\'{e}vy densities under high-frequency observations. We assume that we observe $n$ discrete observations at frequency…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-05-30 Kengo Kato , Daisuke Kurisu

We propose a bootstrap testing framework for a general class of hypothesis tests, which allows resampling under the null hypothesis as well as other forms of bootstrapping. We identify combinations of resampling schemes and bootstrap…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-12-12 Alexis Derumigny , Miltiadis Galanis , Wieger Schipper , Aad van der Vaart

We consider a statistical test whose p-value can only be approximated using Monte Carlo simulations. We are interested in deciding whether the p-value for an observed data set lies above or below a given threshold such as 5%. We want to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-10 Dong Ding , Axel Gandy , Georg Hahn

We develop a fast and accurate grouped penalized credible region approach for variable selection and prediction in Bayesian high-dimensional linear regression. Most existing Bayesian methods either are subject to high computational costs…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-26 Weichang Yu , Khue-Dung Dang

Subsampling and block-based bootstrap methods have been used in a wide range of inference problems for time series. To accommodate the dependence, these resampling methods involve a bandwidth parameter, such as subsampling window width and…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-04-05 Xiaofeng Shao , Dimitris N. Politis

A key tool to carry out inference on the unknown copula when modeling a continuous multivariate distribution is a nonparametric estimator known as the empirical copula. One popular way of approximating its sampling distribution consists of…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-02-01 Ivan Kojadinovic , Kristina Stemikovskaya

Computing size and credibility of Bayesian credible regions for certifying the reliability of any point estimator of an unknown parameter (such as a quantum state, channel, phase, \emph{etc.}) relies on rejection sampling from the entire…

量子物理 · 物理学 2019-07-31 C. Oh , Y. S. Teo , H. Jeong