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A number of applications require two-sample testing on ranked preference data. For instance, in crowdsourcing, there is a long-standing question of whether pairwise comparison data provided by people is distributed similar to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-20 Charvi Rastogi , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Nihar B. Shah , Aarti Singh

Recent advances in probabilistic modelling have led to a large number of simulation-based inference algorithms which do not require numerical evaluation of likelihoods. However, a public benchmark with appropriate performance metrics for…

Performance estimation aims at estimating the loss that a predictive model will incur on unseen data. These procedures are part of the pipeline in every machine learning project and are used for assessing the overall generalisation ability…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-31 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo , Igor Mozetic

Many inference scenarios rely on extracting relevant information from known data in order to make future predictions. When the underlying stochastic process satisfies certain assumptions, there is a direct mapping between its exact…

量子物理 · 物理学 2024-05-10 Leonardo Banchi

Standard inference about a scalar parameter estimated via GMM amounts to applying a t-test to a particular set of observations. If the number of observations is not very large, then moderately heavy tails can lead to poor behavior of the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-07-15 Ulrich K. Mueller

We propose a general semi-supervised inference framework focused on the estimation of the population mean. As usual in semi-supervised settings, there exists an unlabeled sample of covariate vectors and a labeled sample consisting of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-15 Anru Zhang , Lawrence D. Brown , T. Tony Cai

This paper explores the effects of simulated moments on the performance of inference methods based on moment inequalities. Commonly used confidence sets for parameters are level sets of criterion functions whose boundary points may depend…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-04-12 Hiroaki Kaido , Jiaxuan Li , Marc Rysman

Inferential models (IMs) are data-dependent, imprecise-probabilistic structures designed to quantify uncertainty about unknowns. As the name suggests, the focus has been on uncertainty quantification for inference and on its reliability…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-01 Ryan Martin , Shih-Ni Prim , Jonathan Williams

Bayesian and frequentist inference are two fundamental paradigms in statistical estimation. Bayesian methods treat hypotheses as random variables, incorporating priors and updating beliefs via Bayes' theorem, whereas frequentist methods…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-18 Sarthak Mittal , Yoshua Bengio , Nikolay Malkin , Guillaume Lajoie

Marginal model is a popular instrument for studying longitudinal data and cluster data. This paper investigates the estimator of marginal model with subgroup auxiliary information. To marginal model, we propose a new type of auxiliary…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-11 Jie He , Xiaogang Duan , Shumei Zhang , Hui Li

Clinical researchers often select among and evaluate risk prediction models using standard machine learning metrics based on confusion matrices. However, if these models are used to allocate interventions to patients, standard metrics…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-03 Alejandro Schuler , Aashish Bhardwaj , Vincent Liu

It is customary to estimate error-in-variables models using higher-order moments of observables. This moments-based estimator is consistent only when the coefficient of the latent regressor is assumed to be non-zero. We develop a new…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-01-12 Tom Boot , Artūras Juodis

According to the dominant view, time in perceptual decision making is used for integrating new sensory evidence. Based on a probabilistic framework, we investigated the alternative hypothesis that time is used for gradually refining an…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2015-02-12 Máté Lengyel , Ádám Koblinger , Marjena Popović , József Fiser

In the linear random effects model, when distributional assumptions such as normality of the error variables cannot be justified, moments may serve as alternatives to describe relevant distributions in neighborhoods of their means.…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-03-05 Ping Wu , Winfried Stute , Li-Xing Zhu

We consider statistical inference for parameters defined by general estimating equations under the covariate shift transfer learning. Different from the commonly used density ratio weighting approach, we undertake a set of formulations to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-08 Han Yan , Song Xi Chen

In this article, we consider an imputation method to handle missing response values based on semiparametric quantile regression estimation. In the proposed method, the missing response values are generated using the estimated conditional…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-04-15 Senniang Chen , Cindy L Yu

A decision must often be made between heavy-tailed and Gaussian errors for a regression or a time series model, and the t-distribution is frequently used when it is assumed that the errors are heavy-tailed distributed. The performance of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-05-11 J. Martin van Zyl

The properties of the normal distribution under linear transformation, as well the easy way to compute the covariance matrix of marginals and conditionals, offer a unique opportunity to get an insight about several aspects of uncertainties…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2018-02-12 Giulio D'Agostini

To investigate a dilemma of statistical and computational efficiency faced by long-run variance estimators, we propose a decomposition of kernel weights in a quadratic form and some online inference principles. These proposals allow us to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-10 Man Fung Leung , Kin Wai Chan

General Equilibrium Theory is the benchmark of economics, especially its results concerning the efficient allocation of resources, known as the First and Second Welfare Theorems. Yet, General Equilibrium Theory is beyond the scope of most…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-02 Pablo Ahumada