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相关论文: An Auto-validating Rejection Sampler

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This paper considers properties of an optimization based sampler for targeting the posterior distribution when the likelihood is intractable and auxiliary statistics are used to summarize information in the data. Our reverse sampler…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-12-02 Jean-Jacques Forneron , Serena Ng

We analyze the computational efficiency of approximate Bayesian computation (ABC), which approximates a likelihood function by drawing pseudo-samples from the associated model. For the rejection sampling version of ABC, it is known that…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-02-18 Luke Bornn , Natesh Pillai , Aaron Smith , Dawn Woodard

Resampling techniques are widely used in statistical inference and ensemble learning, in which estimators' statistical properties are essential. However, existing methods are computationally demanding, because repetitions of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-24 Takashi Takahashi , Yoshiyuki Kabashima

Phylogenetic analyses which include fossils or molecular sequences that are sampled through time require models that allow one sample to be a direct ancestor of another sample. As previously available phylogenetic inference tools assume…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2014-12-08 Alexandra Gavryushkina , David Welch , Tanja Stadler , Alexei Drummond

Estimating a distribution given access to its unnormalized density is pivotal in Bayesian inference, where the posterior is generally known only up to an unknown normalizing constant. Variational inference and Markov chain Monte Carlo…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-06 Daniel Ward , Mark Beaumont , Matteo Fasiolo

Classification with rejection emerges as a learning paradigm which allows models to abstain from making predictions. The predominant approach is to alter the supervised learning pipeline by augmenting typical loss functions, letting model…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-09 Alexander Soen , Hisham Husain , Philip Schulz , Vu Nguyen

The leapfrog integrator is routinely used within the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo method and its variants. We give strong numerical evidence that alternative, easy to implement algorithms yield fewer rejections with a given computational effort.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-04-05 M. P. Calvo , D. Sanz-Alonso , J. M. Sanz-Serna

Bayesian inference is a popular and widely-used approach to infer phylogenies (evolutionary trees). However, despite decades of widespread application, it remains difficult to judge how well a given Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-07 Andrew F. Magee , Michael D. Karcher , Frederick A. Matsen , Vladimir N. Minin

Manifold-valued parameters routinely arise in modern statistical applications such as in medical imaging, robotics, and computer vision, to name a few. While traditional Bayesian approaches are applicable to such settings by considering an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-27 Rong Tang , Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati , Yun Yang

We construct a rejection-free Monte Carlo method for the hard-disk system. Rejection-free Monte Carlo methods preserve the time-evolution behavior of the standard Monte Carlo method, and this relationship is confirmed for our method by…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-24 H. Watanabe , S. Yukawa , M. A. Novotny , N. Ito

Boltzmann sampling is commonly used to uniformly sample objects of a particular size from large combinatorial sets. For this technique to be effective, one needs to prove that (1) the sampling procedure is efficient and (2) objects of the…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2023-04-11 Megan Bernstein , Matthew Fahrbach , Dana Randall

We propose a novel sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) method for sampling from unnormalized target distributions based on a reverse denoising diffusion process. While recent diffusion-based samplers simulate the reverse diffusion using…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-11-06 Luhuan Wu , Yi Han , Christian A. Naesseth , John P. Cunningham

Due to the complexity of order statistics, the finite sample behaviour of robust statistics is generally not analytically solvable. While the Monte Carlo method can provide approximate solutions, its convergence rate is typically very slow,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-12 Li Tuobang

In the high dimensional regression analysis when the number of predictors is much larger than the sample size, an important question is to select the important variable which are relevant to the response variable of interest. Variable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-09 Pengsheng Ji , Zhigen Zhao

An iterative randomness extraction algorithm which generalized the Von Neumann's extraction algorithm is detailed, analyzed and implemented in standard C++. Given a sequence of independently and identically distributed biased Bernoulli…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2021-01-08 Claude Gravel

Importance sampling is a popular variance reduction method for Monte Carlo estimation, where a notorious question is how to design good proposal distributions. While in most cases optimal (zero-variance) estimators are theoretically…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-22 Carsten Hartmann , Lorenz Richter

In the recent paper [5], a Bayesian approach for constructing confidence intervals in monotone regression problems is proposed, based on credible intervals. We view this method from a frequentist point of view, and show that it corresponds…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-08-01 Piet Groeneboom , Geurt Jongbloed

This paper introduces methodology for performing Bayesian inference sequentially on a sequence of posteriors on spaces of different dimensions. We show how this may be achieved through the use of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) samplers (Del…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-06-02 Richard G Everitt , Richard Culliford , Felipe Medina-Aguayo , Daniel J Wilson

We present a new Subset Simulation approach using Hamiltonian neural network-based Monte Carlo sampling for reliability analysis. The proposed strategy combines the superior sampling of the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo method with…

Naive approaches to amortized inference in probabilistic programs with unbounded loops can produce estimators with infinite variance. This is particularly true of importance sampling inference in programs that explicitly include rejection…