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Logistic regression is the most commonly used method for constructing predictive models for binary responses. One significant drawback to this approach, however, is that the asymptotes of the logistic response function are fixed at 0 and 1,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-09 Anthony Almudevar , Jacob Almudevar

This paper studies binary logistic regression for rare events data, or imbalanced data, where the number of events (observations in one class, often called cases) is significantly smaller than the number of nonevents (observations in the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-02 HaiYing Wang

Semisupervised methods are techniques for using labeled data $(X_1,Y_1),\ldots,(X_n,Y_n)$ together with unlabeled data $X_{n+1},\ldots,X_N$ to make predictions. These methods invoke some assumptions that link the marginal distribution $P_X$…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-05-27 Martin Azizyan , Aarti Singh , Larry Wasserman

Two-sample testing is a fundamental problem in statistics. Despite its long history, there has been renewed interest in this problem with the advent of high-dimensional and complex data. Specifically, in the machine learning literature,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-19 Ilmun Kim , Ann B. Lee , Jing Lei

The analysis of experimental data with mixed-effects models requires decisions about the specification of the appropriate random-effects structure. Recently, Barr, Levy, Scheepers, and Tily, 2013 recommended fitting `maximal' models with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-29 Douglas Bates , Reinhold Kliegl , Shravan Vasishth , Harald Baayen

For two vast families of mixture distributions and a given prior, we provide unified representations of posterior and predictive distributions. Model applications presented include bivariate mixtures of Gamma distributions labelled as…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-09 Aziz LMoudden , Éric Marchand

Probabilistic models analyze data by relying on a set of assumptions. Data that exhibit deviations from these assumptions can undermine inference and prediction quality. Robust models offer protection against mismatch between a model's…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-06-20 Yixin Wang , Alp Kucukelbir , David M. Blei

Data analysis based on information from several sources is common in economic and biomedical studies. This setting is often referred to as the data fusion problem, which differs from traditional missing data problems since no complete data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-07 Wei Li , Shanshan Luo , Wangli Xu

This paper proposes the asymmetric linear double autoregression, which jointly models the conditional mean and conditional heteroscedasticity characterized by asymmetric effects. A sufficient condition is established for the existence of a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-22 Songhua Tan , Qianqian Zhu

Semi-supervised learning is a setting in which one has labeled and unlabeled data available. In this survey we explore different types of theoretical results when one uses unlabeled data in classification and regression tasks. Most methods…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-31 Alexander Mey , Marco Loog

Recent work has leveraged the popular distributionally robust optimization paradigm to combat overfitting in classical logistic regression. While the resulting classification scheme displays a promising performance in numerical experiments,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-01-18 Aras Selvi , Mohammad Reza Belbasi , Martin B Haugh , Wolfram Wiesemann

Complex biological processes are usually experimented along time among a collection of individuals. Longitudinal data are then available and the statistical challenge is to better understand the underlying biological mechanisms. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-11 Pierre Barbillon , Célia Barthélémy , Adeline Samson

A significant obstacle in the development of robust machine learning models is covariate shift, a form of distribution shift that occurs when the input distributions of the training and test sets differ while the conditional label…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-11-17 Nilesh Tripuraneni , Ben Adlam , Jeffrey Pennington

We study counterfactual regression, which aims to map input features to outcomes under hypothetical scenarios that differ from those observed in the data. This is particularly useful for decision-making when adapting to sudden shifts in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-08 Kwangho Kim

When the target variable exhibits a semicontinuous behaviour (i.e. a point mass in a single value and a continuous distribution elsewhere) parametric `two-part regression models' have been extensively used and investigated. In this paper, a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-08-14 Emanuela Dreassi , Emilia Rocco

This paper proposes a flexible Bayesian approach to multiple imputation using conditional Gaussian mixtures. We introduce novel shrinkage priors for covariate-dependent mixing proportions in the mixture models to automatically select the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-17 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Jae Kwang Kim , Kosuke Morikawa

Predictive recursion is an accurate and computationally efficient algorithm for nonparametric estimation of mixing densities in mixture models. In semiparametric mixture models, however, the algorithm fails to account for any uncertainty in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-19 Ryan Martin , Surya T. Tokdar

Predicting extreme events is important in many applications in risk analysis. The extreme-value theory suggests modelling extremes by max-stable distributions. The Bayesian approach provides a natural framework for statistical prediction.…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-22 Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

In this expository note we describe a surprising phenomenon in overparameterized linear regression, where the dimension exceeds the number of samples: there is a regime where the test risk of the estimator found by gradient descent…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-12-17 Preetum Nakkiran

We introduce a new approach to a linear-circular regression problem that relates multiple linear predictors to a circular response. We follow a modeling approach of a wrapped normal distribution that describes angular variables and angular…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-17 Ali Esmaieeli Sikaroudi , Chiwoo Park