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In ecology, the description of species composition and biodiversity calls for statistical methods that involve estimating features of interest in unobserved samples based on an observed one. In the last decade, the Bayesian nonparametrics…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-28 Alessandro Colombi , Raffaele Argiento , Federico Camerlenghi , Lucia Paci

This paper presents a novel approach to Bayesian nonparametric spectral analysis of stationary multivariate time series. Starting with a parametric vector-autoregressive model, the parametric likelihood is nonparametrically adjusted in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-10 Yixuan Liu , Claudia Kirch , Jeong Eun Lee , Renate Meyer

The need to estimate smooth probability distributions (a.k.a. probability densities) from finite sampled data is ubiquitous in science. Many approaches to this problem have been described, but none is yet regarded as providing a definitive…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-09-16 Justin B. Kinney

In Bayesian inference for mixture models with an unknown number of components, a finite mixture model is usually employed that assumes prior distributions for mixing weights and the number of components. This model is called a mixture of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-25 Fumiya Iwashige , Shintaro Hashimoto

This paper adopts a Bayesian nonparametric mixture model where the mixing distribution belongs to the wide class of normalized homogeneous completely random measures. We propose a truncation method for the mixing distribution by discarding…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-07-17 Raffaele Argiento , Ilaria Bianchini , Alessandra Guglielmi

A tractable nonparametric prior over densities is introduced which is closed under sampling and exhibits proper posterior asymptotics.

统计理论 · 数学 2014-06-12 Paulo C. Marques F. , Carlos A. de B. Pereira

Spike-and-slab and horseshoe regression are arguably the most popular Bayesian variable selection approaches for linear regression models. However, their performance can deteriorate if outliers and heteroskedasticity are present in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-20 Alberto Cabezas , Marco Battiston , Christopher Nemeth

Finite mixtures of matrix normal distributions are a powerful tool for classifying three-way data in unsupervised problems. The distribution of each component is assumed to be a matrix variate normal density. The mixture model can be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-03-07 Cinzia Viroli

One-step ahead prediction for the multinomial model is considered. The performance of a predictive density is evaluated by the average Kullback-Leibler divergence from the true density to the predictive density. Asymptotic approximations of…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-05-27 Fumiyasu Komaki

Bayesian sampling is an important task in statistics and machine learning. Over the past decade, many ensemble-type sampling methods have been proposed. In contrast to the classical Markov chain Monte Carlo methods, these new methods deploy…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-05-14 Shi Chen , Zhiyan Ding , Qin Li

We aim at modelling the appearance of distinct tags in a sequence of labelled objects. Common examples of this type of data include words in a corpus or distinct species in a sample. These sequential discoveries are often summarised via…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-16 Alessandro Zito , Tommaso Rigon , Otso Ovaskainen , David Dunson

Existing methods to summarize posterior inference for mixture models focus on identifying a point estimate of the implied random partition for clustering, with density estimation as a secondary goal (Wade and Ghahramani, 2018; Dahl et al.,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-09 Khai Nguyen , Peter Mueller

In this paper, we present two classes of Bayesian approaches to the two-sample problem. Our first class of methods extends the Bayesian t-test to include all parametric models in the exponential family and their conjugate priors. Our second…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2009-06-23 Karsten M. Borgwardt , Zoubin Ghahramani

In this paper we propose a new methodology for solving a discrete time stochastic Markovian control problem under model uncertainty. By utilizing the Dirichlet process, we model the unknown distribution of the underlying stochastic process…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-03-29 Tao Chen , Jiyoun Myung

We present a Bayesian nonparametric framework for multilevel clustering which utilizes group-level context information to simultaneously discover low-dimensional structures of the group contents and partitions groups into clusters. Using…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-01-30 Vu Nguyen , Dinh Phung , XuanLong Nguyen , Svetha Venkatesh , Hung Hai Bui

Accurately estimating data density is crucial for making informed decisions and modeling in various fields. This paper presents a novel nonparametric density estimation procedure that utilizes bivariate penalized spline smoothing over…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-29 Kunal Das , Shan Yu , Guannan Wang , Li Wang

Many inference problems involve inferring the number $N$ of components in some region, along with their properties $\{\mathbf{x}_i\}_{i=1}^N$, from a dataset $\mathcal{D}$. A common statistical example is finite mixture modelling. In the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-01-15 Brendon J. Brewer

We propose a data-driven method to learn the time-dependent probability density of a multivariate stochastic process from sample paths, assuming that the initial probability density is known and can be evaluated. Our method uses a novel…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-19 Agnimitra Dasgupta , Javier Murgoitio-Esandi , Ali Fardisi , Assad A Oberai

The indeterminate nature of human motion requires trajectory prediction systems to use a probabilistic model to formulate the multi-modality phenomenon and infer a finite set of future trajectories. However, the inference processes of most…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-04-11 Guangyi Chen , Zhenhao Chen , Shunxing Fan , Kun Zhang

Discrete random structures are important tools in Bayesian nonparametrics and the resulting models have proven effective in density estimation, clustering, topic modeling and prediction, among others. In this paper, we consider nested…