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In this paper, we study change-point testing for high-dimensional linear models, an important problem that has not been well explored in the literature. Specifically, we propose a quadratic-form cumulative sum (CUSUM) statistic to test the…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-10-23 Zifeng Zhao , Xiaokai Luo , Zongge Liu , Daren Wang

We apply the concept of distance covariance for testing independence of two long-range dependent time series. As test statistic we propose a linear combination of empirical distance cross-covariances. We derive the asymptotic distribution…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-28 Annika Betken , Herold Dehling

We study online changepoint detection in the context of a linear regression model. We propose a class of heavily weighted statistics based on the CUSUM process of the regression residuals, which are specifically designed to ensure timely…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-08 Fabrizio Ghezzi , Eduardo Rossi , Lorenzo Trapani

We consider the change-point problem for the marginal distribution of subordinated Gaussian processes that exhibit long-range dependence. The asymptotic distributions of Kolmogorov-Smirnov- and Cram\'{e}r-von Mises type statistics are…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-03-17 Johannes Tewes

Most studies in real time change-point detection either focus on the linear model or use the CUSUM method under classical assumptions on model errors. This paper considers the sequential change-point detection in a nonlinear quantile model.…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-05-03 Gabriela Ciuperca

This paper investigates the problem of detecting relevant change points in the mean vector, say $\mu_t =(\mu_{1,t},\ldots ,\mu_{d,t})^T$ of a high dimensional time series $(Z_t)_{t\in \mathbb{Z}}$. While the recent literature on testing for…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-02 Holger Dette , Josua Gösmann

We investigate sequential change point estimation and detection in univariate nonparametric settings, where a stream of independent observations from sub-Gaussian distributions with a common variance factor and piecewise-constant but…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-16 Yi Yu , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo

We consider here together the inference questions and the change-point problem in Poisson autoregressions (see Tj{\o}stheim, 2012). The conditional mean (or intensity) of the process is involved as a non-linear function of it past values…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-05-09 Paul Doukhan , William Kengne

We propose a general framework of sequential testing procedures based on $U$-statistics which contains as an example a sequential CUSUM test based on differences in mean but also includes a robust sequential Wilcoxon change point procedure.…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-12-19 Claudia Kirch , Christina Stoehr

Classical change point analysis aims at (1) detecting abrupt changes in the mean of a possibly non-stationary time series and at (2) identifying regions where the mean exhibits a piecewise constant behavior. In many applications however, it…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-17 Axel Bücher , Holger Dette , Florian Heinrichs

In this article, we consider the estimation of the structural change point in the nonparametric model with dependent observations. We introduce a maximum-CUSUM-estimation procedure, where the CUSUM statistic is constructed based on the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-12-03 Q. Yang , Y. Li , Y. Zhang

This work delves into presenting a probabilistic method for analyzing linear process data with weakly dependent innovations, focusing on detecting change-points in the mean and estimating its spectral density. We develop a test for…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-10-01 Ramkrishna Jyoti Samanta

Detecting change-points in data is challenging because of the range of possible types of change and types of behaviour of data when there is no change. Statistically efficient methods for detecting a change will depend on both of these…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-29 Jie Li , Paul Fearnhead , Piotr Fryzlewicz , Tengyao Wang

We propose new tests to detect a change in the mean of a time series. Like many existing tests, the new ones are based on the CUSUM process. Existing CUSUM tests require an estimator of a scale parameter to make them asymptotically…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-18 Lajos Horváth , Zsuzsanna Horváth , Marie Hušková

High-dimensional changepoint inference, adaptable to diverse alternative scenarios, has attracted significant attention in recent years. In this paper, we propose an adaptive and robust approach to changepoint testing. Specifically, by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-29 Jixuan Liu , Long Feng , Liuhua Peng , Zhaojun Wang

We consider the problem of sequentially testing for changes in the mean parameter of a time series, compared to a benchmark period. Most tests in the literature focus on the null hypothesis of a constant mean versus the alternative of a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-23 Patrick Bastian , Tim Kutta , Rupsa Basu , Holger Dette

In this paper, two tests, based on CUSUM of the residuals and least squares estimation, are studied to detect in real time a change-point in a nonlinear model. A first test statistic is proposed by extension of a method already used in the…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-02-28 Gabriela Ciuperca

We consider the structural change in a class of discrete valued time series that the conditional distribution follows a one-parameter exponential family. We propose a change-point test based on the maximum likelihood estimator of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-03-01 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne

A restrictive assumption in change point analysis is "stationarity under the null hypothesis of no change-point", which is crucial for asymptotic theory but not very realistic from a practical point of view. For example, if change point…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-01 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu , Zhou Zhou

This paper concerns about the limiting distributions of change point estimators, in a high-dimensional linear regression time series context, where a regression object $(y_t, X_t) \in \mathbb{R} \times \mathbb{R}^p$ is observed at every…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-10-03 Haotian Xu , Daren Wang , Zifeng Zhao , Yi Yu