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When deploying modern machine learning-enabled robotic systems in high-stakes applications, detecting distribution shift is critical. However, most existing methods for detecting distribution shift are not well-suited to robotics settings,…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-05-21 Rachel Luo , Rohan Sinha , Yixiao Sun , Ali Hindy , Shengjia Zhao , Silvio Savarese , Edward Schmerling , Marco Pavone

When recording the movement of individual animals, cells or molecules one will often observe changes in their diffusive behaviour at certain points in time along their trajectory. In order to capture the different diffusive modes assembled…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-10-21 Henrik Seckler , Ralf Metzler

This paper introduces a novel Bayesian approach to detect changes in the variance of a Gaussian sequence model, focusing on quantifying the uncertainty in the change point locations and providing a scalable algorithm for inference. Such a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-04 Lorenzo Cappello , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

We propose an algorithm for simultaneously detecting and locating changepoints in a time series, and a framework for predicting the distribution of the next point in the series. The kernel of the algorithm is a system of equations that…

应用统计 · 统计学 2008-12-09 Allen B. Downey

Change point detection plays a fundamental role in many real-world applications, where the goal is to analyze and monitor the behaviour of a data stream. In this paper, we study change detection in binary streams. To this end, we use a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-24 Nikolaj Tatti

This paper studies the problem of sequential Gaussian shift-in-mean hypothesis testing in a distributed multi-agent network. A sequential probability ratio test (SPRT) type algorithm in a distributed framework of the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-09-02 Anit Kumar Sahu , Soummya Kar

The objective of change-point detection is to discover abrupt property changes lying behind time-series data. In this paper, we present a novel statistical change-point detection algorithm based on non-parametric divergence estimation…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-03-20 Song Liu , Makoto Yamada , Nigel Collier , Masashi Sugiyama

There are many research works and methods about change point detection in the literature. However, there are only a few that provide inference for such change points after being estimated. This work mainly focuses on a statistical analysis…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-02 Reza Valiollahi Mehrizi , Shojaeddin Chenouri

The problem of quickest anomaly detection in networks with unlabeled samples is studied. At some unknown time, an anomaly emerges in the network and changes the data-generating distribution of some unknown sensor. The data vector received…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-04-19 Zhongchang Sun , Shaofeng Zou

The gist of the quickest change-point detection problem is to detect the presence of a change in the statistical behavior of a series of sequentially made observations, and do so in an optimal detection-speed-vs.-"false-positive"-risk…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-04-21 Wenyu Du , Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Grigory Sokolov

We study the problem of detecting a common change point in large panel data based on a mean shift model, wherein the errors exhibit both temporal and cross-sectional dependence. A least squares based procedure is used to estimate the…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-04-26 Monika Bhattacharjee , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michailidis

When deployed in the real world, machine learning models inevitably encounter changes in the data distribution, and certain -- but not all -- distribution shifts could result in significant performance degradation. In practice, it may make…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-05-06 Aleksandr Podkopaev , Aaditya Ramdas

Changepoints are abrupt variations in the generative parameters of a data sequence. Online detection of changepoints is useful in modelling and prediction of time series in application areas such as finance, biometrics, and robotics. While…

机器学习 · 统计学 2007-10-22 Ryan Prescott Adams , David J. C. MacKay

Changepoint detection is the problem of finding abrupt or gradual changes in time series data when the distribution of the time series changes significantly. There are many sophisticated statistical algorithms for solving changepoint…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-14 Ritwik Bhaduri , Subhrajyoty Roy , Sankar K. Pal

Responding appropriately to the detections of a sequential change detector requires knowledge of the rate at which false positives occur in the absence of change. Setting detection thresholds to achieve a desired false positive rate is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-18 Oliver Cobb , Arnaud Van Looveren , Janis Klaise

Methods in the field of quickest change detection rapidly detect in real-time a change in the data-generating distribution of an online data stream. Existing methods have been able to detect this change point when the densities of the pre-…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-09 Sean Moushegian , Suya Wu , Enmao Diao , Jie Ding , Taposh Banerjee , Vahid Tarokh

This paper introduces a concept for change-point detection based on normalized entropy as a fundamental metric, aiming to overcome the dependence of traditional entropy methods on assumptions about data distribution and absolute scales.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-11-18 Qingqing Song , Shaoliang Xia

We consider the problem of sequential graph topology change-point detection from graph signals. We assume that signals on the nodes of the graph are regularized by the underlying graph structure via a graph filtering model, which we then…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-23 Chiraag Kaushik , T. Mitchell Roddenberry , Santiago Segarra

This chapter overviews some of the work on detecting and estimating the location of a single change. We first consider the most common change-point problem, namely that of detecting a change in mean, before looking at extensions to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-14 Paul Fearnhead , Piotr Fryzlewicz

In the present paper we address the real-time detection problem of a change-point in the coefficients of a linear model with the possibility that the model errors are asymmetrical and that the explanatory variables number is large. We build…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-31 Gabriela Ciuperca
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