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Consider a population of individuals and a network that encodes social connections among them. We are interested in making inference on finite population and super-population estimands that are a function of both individuals' responses and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-12-13 Simon Lunagomez , Edoardo Airoldi

It has historically been a challenge to perform Bayesian inference in a design-based survey context. The present paper develops a Bayesian model for sampling inference in the presence of inverse-probability weights. We use a hierarchical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-24 Yajuan Si , Natesh S. Pillai , Andrew Gelman

We develop a continuous mathematical model of population dynamics that describes the sequential emergence of new genotypes under limited resources. The framework models genotype density as a nonlinear flow in mutation space, combining…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-12-10 Alexander Bratus , Tatiana Yakushkina , Vladimir Posvyanski

1) Micro-evolutionary predictions are complicated by ecological feedbacks like density dependence, while ecological predictions can be complicated by evolutionary change. A widely used approach in micro-evolution, quantitative genetics,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2015-09-07 Tim Coulson , Floriane Plard , Susanne Schindler , Arpat Ozgul , Jean-Michel Gaillard

Consider informative selection of a sample from a finite population. Responses are realized as independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables with a probability density function (p.d.f.) f, referred to as the…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-11-26 Daniel Bonnéry , F. Jay Breidt , François Coquet

This paper introduces a novel multi-stage decision-making model that integrates hypothesis testing and dynamic programming algorithms to address complex decision-making scenarios.Initially,we develop a sampling inspection scheme that…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-03-11 Ziyang Liu , Yurui Hu , Yihan Deng

We present a generative learning framework for probabilistic sampling based on an extension of the Probabilistic Learning on Manifolds (PLoM) approach, which is designed to generate statistically consistent realizations of a random vector…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-04 Dimitris G Giovanis , Nikolaos Evangelou , Ioannis G Kevrekidis , Roger G Ghanem

In this paper, we develop a general approach to proving global and local uniform limit theorems for the Horvitz-Thompson empirical process arising from complex sampling designs. Global theorems such as Glivenko-Cantelli and Donsker…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-05-31 Qiyang Han , Jon A. Wellner

In the case of informative sampling the sampling scheme explicitly or implicitly depends on the response variable. As a result, the sample distribution of response variable can- not be used for making inference about the population. In this…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-11-18 Anna Sikov

We propose an exactly solvable model for the dynamics of voters in a two-party system. The opinion formation process is modeled on a random network of agents. The dynamical nature of interpersonal relations is also reflected in the model,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-13 I. J. Benczik , S. Z. Benczik , B. Schmittmann , R. K. P. Zia

A clinical study is often necessary for exploring important research questions; however, this approach is sometimes time and money consuming. Another extreme approach, which is to collect and aggregate opinions from crowds, provides a…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2022-05-17 Shoko Wakamiya , Toshiki Mera , Eiji Aramaki , Masaki Matsubara , Atsuyuki Morishima

Coevolving and competing species or game-theoretic strategies exhibit rich and complex dynamics for which a general theoretical framework based on finite populations is still lacking. Recently, an explicit mean-field description in the form…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Arne Traulsen , Jens Christian Claussen , Christoph Hauert

We study generation through the lens of statistical learning theory. First, we abstract and formalize the results of Gold [1967], Angluin [1979], Angluin [1980] and Kleinberg and Mullainathan [2024] in terms of a binary hypothesis class…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-30 Jiaxun Li , Vinod Raman , Ambuj Tewari

In this paper we consider a physiologically structured population model with distributed states at birth, formulated on the space of non-negative Radon measures. Using a characterisation of the pre-dual space of bounded Lipschitz functions,…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2022-05-17 József Z. Farkas , Piotr Gwiazda , Anna Marciniak-Czochra

We develop a stochastic framework for viral population dynamics at the cellular level that explicitly incorporates the replication cycle with random stage durations. The model is formulated as a structured birth-death process coupled with a…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-05-13 Seong Jun Park

Bayesian analysis is increasingly popular for use in social science and other application areas where the data are observations from an informative sample. An informative sampling design leads to inclusion probabilities that are correlated…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-06-07 Terrance D. Savitsky , Daniell Toth

This paper develops a finite population framework for analyzing causal effects in settings with imperfect compliance where multiple treatments affect the outcome of interest. Two prominent examples are factorial designs and panel…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-26 Pedro Picchetti

In this article, a new mathematical model of human population growth as an autonomous non-Markov queuing system with an unlimited number of servers and two types of applications is proposed. The research of this system was carried out a…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-22 Mariia Nosova

The Kaplan-Meier product-limit estimator is a simple and powerful tool in time to event analysis. An extension exists for populations stratified into cohorts where a population survival curve is generated by weighted averaging of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-11-12 Aaron Heuser , Minh Huynh , Joshua C. Chang

We considered a {multi-block} molecular model of biological evolution, in which fitness is a function of the mean types of alleles located at different parts (blocks) of the genome. We formulated an infinite population model with selection…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2015-06-12 David B. Saakian , Zara Kirakosyan , Chin-Kun Hu