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Transfer learning for nonparametric regression is considered. We first study the non-asymptotic minimax risk for this problem and develop a novel estimator called the confidence thresholding estimator, which is shown to achieve the minimax…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-01-24 T. Tony Cai , Hongming Pu

We consider stationary autoregressive processes with coefficients restricted to an ellipsoid, which includes autoregressive processes with absolutely summable coefficients. We provide consistency results under different norms for the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-06-09 Alessio Sancetta

Performative prediction is a framework for learning models that influence the data they intend to predict. We focus on finding classifiers that are performatively stable, i.e. optimal for the data distribution they induce. Standard…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-07 Mehrnaz Mofakhami , Ioannis Mitliagkas , Gauthier Gidel

Estimation of convex functions finds broad applications in engineering and science, while convex shape constraint gives rise to numerous challenges in asymptotic performance analysis. This paper is devoted to minimax optimal estimation of…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-06-11 Teresa M. Lebair , Jinglai Shen , Xiao Wang

We propose adaptive, line search-free second-order methods with optimal rate of convergence for solving convex-concave min-max problems. By means of an adaptive step size, our algorithms feature a simple update rule that requires solving…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-11-12 Ruichen Jiang , Ali Kavis , Qiujiang Jin , Sujay Sanghavi , Aryan Mokhtari

This paper studies the control-oriented identification problem of set-valued moving average systems with uniform persistent excitations and observation noises. A stochastic approximation-based (SA-based) algorithm without projections or…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-03-25 Jieming Ke , Ying Wang , Yanlong Zhao , Ji-Feng Zhang

We propose a novel recursive system identification algorithm for linear autoregressive systems with skewed innovations. The algorithm is based on the variational Bayes approximation of the model with a multivariate normal prior for the…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-12-13 Henri Nurminen , Tohid Ardeshiri

This paper addresses the problem of estimating a convex regression function under both the sup-norm risk and the pointwise risk using B-splines. The presence of the convex constraint complicates various issues in asymptotic analysis,…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-05-02 Xiao Wang , Jinglai Shen

Consider the problem of joint parameter estimation and prediction in a Markov random field: i.e., the model parameters are estimated on the basis of an initial set of data, and then the fitted model is used to perform prediction (e.g.,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2007-07-13 Martin J. Wainwright

In this work, we consider a multivariate regression model with one-sided errors. We assume for the regression function to lie in a general H\"{o}lder class and estimate it via a nonparametric local polynomial approach that consists of…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-11 Leonie Selk , Charles Tillier , Orlando Marigliano

This paper is focused on the statistical analysis of data consisting of a collection of multiple series of probability measures that are indexed by distinct time instants and supported over a bounded interval of the real line. By modeling…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-05 Yiye Jiang , Jérémie Bigot

We study online adversarial regression with convex losses against a rich class of continuous yet highly irregular prediction rules, modeled by Besov spaces $B\_{pq}^s$ with general parameters $1 \leq p,q \leq \infty$ and smoothness $s >…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-23 Paul Liautaud , Pierre Gaillard , Olivier Wintenberger

Assuming that one-step transition kernel of a discrete time, time-homogenous Markov chain model is parameterized by a parameter $\theta\in \boldsymbol \Theta$, we derive a recursive (in time) construction of confidence regions for the…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-06-08 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Tao Chen , Igor Cialenco

Biased stochastic estimators, such as finite-differences for noisy gradient estimation, often contain parameters that need to be properly chosen to balance impacts from the bias and the variance. While the optimal order of these parameters…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-02-14 Henry Lam , Xinyu Zhang , Xuhui Zhang

Let g : $\Omega$ = [0, 1] d $\rightarrow$ R denote a Lipschitz function that can be evaluated at each point, but at the price of a heavy computational time. Let X stand for a random variable with values in $\Omega$ such that one is able to…

概率论 · 数学 2021-07-29 Lucie Bernard , Albert Cohen , Arnaud Guyader , Florent Malrieu

In this article, we introduce and study a one sided tempered stable first order autoregressive model called TAR(1). Under the assumption of stationarity of the model, the marginal probability density function of the error term is found. It…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-07-30 Niharika Bhootna , Arun Kumar

Matrix-variate time series data are increasingly popular in economics, statistics, and environmental studies, among other fields. This paper develops regularized estimation methods for analyzing high-dimensional matrix-variate time series…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-16 Hangjin Jiang , Baining Shen , Yuzhou Li , Zhaoxing Gao

The question of fast convergence in the classical problem of high dimensional linear regression has been extensively studied. Arguably, one of the fastest procedures in practice is Iterative Hard Thresholding (IHT). Still, IHT relies…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-08-28 Mohamed Ndaoud

We consider the nonconvex regularized method for low-rank matrix recovery. Under the assumption on the singular values of the parameter matrix, we provide the recovery bound for any stationary point of the nonconvex method by virtue of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-12-24 Xin Li , Dongya Wu

High order momentum-based parameter update algorithms have seen widespread applications in training machine learning models. Recently, connections with variational approaches have led to the derivation of new learning algorithms with…