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In many situations, the decision maker observes items in sequence and needs to determine whether or not to retain a particular item immediately after it is observed. Any decision rule creates a set of items that are selected. We consider…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Abba M. Krieger , Moshe Pollak , Ester Samuel-Cahn

Fitting a graphical model to a collection of random variables given sample observations is a challenging task if the observed variables are influenced by latent variables, which can induce significant confounding statistical dependencies…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-20 Armeen Taeb , Parikshit Shah , Venkat Chandrasekaran

We want to select the best systems out of a given set of systems (or rank them) with respect to their expected performance. The systems allow random observations only and we assume that the joint observation of the systems has a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-01-23 Björn Görder , Michael Kolonko

We use the martingale method to discuss the relationship between mean-variance (MV) and monotone mean-variance (MMV) portfolio selections. We propose a unified framework to discuss the relationship in general financial markets without any…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-03-12 Yuchen Li , Zongxia Liang , Shunzhi Pang

The problem is sequence prediction in the following setting. A sequence $x_1,...,x_n,...$ of discrete-valued observations is generated according to some unknown probabilistic law (measure) $\mu$. After observing each outcome, it is required…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-03-20 Daniil Ryabko

A serial property is a suitably enumerated sequence $\{F_n\}$ of formulas and is called selector provable in PA if there is a PA-recursive function $s(x)$ such that PA $\vdash \forall x (s(x){:}_{\text{PA}} \ulcorner F_x\urcorner)$ where…

逻辑 · 数学 2025-09-25 Elijah Gadsby

Selective classification enhances the reliability of predictive models by allowing them to abstain from making uncertain predictions. In this work, we revisit the design of optimal selection functions through the lens of the Neyman--Pearson…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-04 Alvin Heng , Harold Soh

We provides some useful estimates for solving martingale representation problem under G-expectations. We also study the corresponding conditions for the existence and uniqueness.

概率论 · 数学 2010-04-08 Ying Hu , Shige Peng

An approximate Spielman-Teng theorem for the least singular value $s_n(M_n)$ of a random $n\times n$ square matrix $M_n$ is a statement of the following form: there exist constants $C,c >0$ such that for all $\eta \geq 0$, $\Pr(s_n(M_n)…

概率论 · 数学 2019-04-25 Vishesh Jain

This work provides a novel convergence analysis for stochastic optimization in terms of stopping times, addressing the practical reality that algorithms are often terminated adaptively based on observed progress. Unlike prior approaches,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-07-17 Yasong Feng , Yifan Jiang , Tianyu Wang , Zhiliang Ying

We consider the problem of learning a conditional Gaussian graphical model in the presence of latent variables. Building on recent advances in this field, we suggest a method that decomposes the parameters of a conditional Markov random…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-03-07 Benjamin Frot , Luke Jostins , Gil McVean

Matrix completion, i.e., the exact and provable recovery of a low-rank matrix from a small subset of its elements, is currently only known to be possible if the matrix satisfies a restrictive structural constraint---known as {\em…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-07-22 Yudong Chen , Srinadh Bhojanapalli , Sujay Sanghavi , Rachel Ward

We introduce the concepts of max-closedness and numeraires of convex subsets in the nonnegative orthant of the topological vector space of all random variables built over a probability space, equipped with a topology consistent with…

泛函分析 · 数学 2014-10-06 Constantinos Kardaras

We consider a sequence $X^n=(X^n_t)_{t\ge 0},n\ge 1$ of semimartingales. Each $X^n$ is a weak solution to an It\^o equation with respect to a Wiener process and a Poissonian martingale measure and is in general non-Markovian process. For…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Robert Sh. Liptser , Anatolii A. Pukhalskii

This article is devoted to the problem of predicting the value taken by a random permutation $\Sigma$, describing the preferences of an individual over a set of numbered items $\{1,\; \ldots,\; n\}$ say, based on the observation of an…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-12-20 Stephan Clémençon , Anna Korba , Eric Sibony

Steinke (2025) recently asked the following intriguing open question: Can we solve the differentially private selection problem with nearly-optimal error by only (adaptively) invoking Gaussian mechanism on low-sensitivity queries? We…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2025-11-11 Ethan Leeman , Pasin Manurangsi

Referring to a standard context of voting theory, and to the classic notion of voting situation, here we show that it is possible to observe any arbitrary set of elections' outcomes, no matter how paradoxical it may appear. On this purpose…

概率论 · 数学 2022-06-01 Emilio De Santis , Fabio Spizzichino

In this paper, we present a new set-valued Lagrange multiplier theorem for constrained convex set-valued optimization problems. We introduce the novel concept of Lagrange process. This concept is a natural extension of the classical concept…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-01-19 Fernando García-Castaño , M. A. Melguizo Padial

We offer a natural and extensible measure-theoretic treatment of missingness at random. Within the standard missing data framework, we give a novel characterisation of the observed data as a stopping-set sigma algebra. We demonstrate that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-01-23 Daniel Farewell , Rhian Daniel , Shaun Seaman

In this paper, we develop necessary and sufficient conditions for the validity of a martingale approximation for the partial sums of a stationary process in terms of the maximum of consecutive errors. Such an approximation is useful for…

概率论 · 数学 2011-02-11 Mikhail Gordin , Magda Peligrad