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Though introduced nearly 50 years ago, the infinitesimal jackknife (IJ) remains a popular modern tool for quantifying predictive uncertainty in complex estimation settings. In particular, when supervised learning ensembles are constructed…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-06-11 Wei Peng , Lucas Mentch , Leonard Stefanski

We study the variability of predictions made by bagged learners and random forests, and show how to estimate standard errors for these methods. Our work builds on variance estimates for bagging proposed by Efron (1992, 2012) that are based…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-04-01 Stefan Wager , Trevor Hastie , Bradley Efron

The frequentist variability of Bayesian posterior expectations can provide meaningful measures of uncertainty even when models are misspecified. Classical methods to asymptotically approximate the frequentist covariance of Bayesian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-28 Ryan Giordano , Tamara Broderick

We introduce a generalized bootstrap technique for estimators obtained by solving estimating equations. Some special cases of this generalized bootstrap are the classical bootstrap of Efron, the delete-d jackknife and variations of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Snigdhansu Chatterjee , Arup Bose

Bias correction can often improve the finite sample performance of estimators. We show that the choice of bias correction method has no effect on the higher-order variance of semiparametrically efficient parametric estimators, so long as…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-01-29 Jinyong Hahn , David W. Hughes , Guido Kuersteiner , Whitney K. Newey

Ensemble learning is widely used in applications to make predictions in complex decision problems---for example, averaging models fitted to a sequence of samples bootstrapped from the available training data. While such methods offer more…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-13 Byol Kim , Chen Xu , Rina Foygel Barber

We provide computationally attractive methods to obtain jackknife-based cluster-robust variance matrix estimators (CRVEs) for linear regression models estimated by least squares. We also propose several new variants of the wild cluster…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-02-14 James G. MacKinnon , Morten Ørregaard Nielsen , Matthew D. Webb

Statistical resampling methods have become feasible for parametric estimation, hypothesis testing, and model validation now that the computer is a ubiquitous tool for statisticians. This essay focuses on the resampling technique for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-06-03 Avery McIntosh

We analyze bias correction methods using jackknife, bootstrap, and Taylor series. We focus on the binomial model, and consider the problem of bias correction for estimating $f(p)$, where $f \in C[0,1]$ is arbitrary. We characterize the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-06-17 Jiantao Jiao , Yanjun Han

The logistic regression analysis proposed by Schouten et al. (Stat Med. 1993;12:1733-1745) has been a standard method in current statistical analysis of case-cohort studies, and it enables effective estimation of risk ratio from selected…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-19 Hisashi Noma

A general jackknife estimator for the asymptotic covariance of moment estimators is considered in the case when the sample is taken from a mixture with varying concentrations of components. Consistency of the estimator is demonstrated. A…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-12-18 Rostyslav Maiboroda , Olena Sugakova

We investigate popular resampling methods for estimating the uncertainty of statistical models, such as subsampling, bootstrap and the jackknife, and their performance in high-dimensional supervised regression tasks. We provide a tight…

The bootstrap, introduced by Efron (1982), has become a very popular method for estimating variances and constructing confidence intervals. A key insight is that one can approximate the properties of estimators by using the empirical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-29 Guido Imbens , Konrad Menzel

This paper develops distribution theory and bootstrap-based inference methods for a broad class of convex pairwise difference estimators. These estimators minimize a kernel-weighted convex-in-parameter function over observation pairs with…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-29 Matias D. Cattaneo , Michael Jansson , Kenichi Nagasawa

In this article I recommend a better point estimator for Krippendorff's Alpha agreement coefficient, and develop a jackknife variance estimator that leads to much better interval estimation than does the customary bootstrap procedure or an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-25 John Hughes

Resampling techniques have become increasingly popular for estimation of uncertainty in data collected via surveys. Survey data are also frequently subject to missing data which are often imputed. This note addresses the issue of using…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-27 Michael W. Robbins , Lane Burgette , Sebastian Bauhoff

We study cluster-robust inference for logistic regression (logit) models. Inference based on the most commonly-used cluster-robust variance matrix estimator (CRVE) can be very unreliable. We study several alternatives. Conceptually the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-05-05 James G. MacKinnon , Morten Ørregaard Nielsen , Matthew D. Webb

Bootstrap inference is a powerful tool for obtaining robust inference for quantiles and difference-in-quantiles estimators. The computationally intensive nature of bootstrap inference has made it infeasible in large-scale experiments. In…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-10 Mårten Schultzberg , Sebastian Ankargren

Many statistical applications require the quantification of joint dependence among more than two random vectors. In this work, we generalize the notion of distance covariance to quantify joint dependence among d >= 2 random vectors. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-18 Shubhadeep Chakraborty , Xianyang Zhang

We consider the variance of a function of $n$ independent random variables and provide new inequalities which, in particular, extend previous results obtained for symmetric functions in the i.i.d.~setting. For instance, we obtain various…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-01-01 Olivier Bousquet , Christian Houdré
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