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We investigate the problem of statistical inference for logistic regression with high-dimensional covariates in settings where dependence among individuals is induced by an underlying Markov random field. Going beyond the pairwise…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-23 Josh Miles , Sohom Bhattacharya

Frailty models are often the model of choice for heterogeneous survival data. A frailty model contains both random effects and fixed effects, with the random effects accommodating for the correlation in the data. Different estimation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-17 Oodally Ajmal , Luc Duchateau , Estelle Kuhn

This paper presents a novel ensemble learning approach called Residual Likelihood Forests (RLF). Our weak learners produce conditional likelihoods that are sequentially optimized using global loss in the context of previous learners within…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-05 Yan Zuo , Tom Drummond

Maximum likelihood estimation is a common method of estimating the parameters of the probability distribution from a given sample. This paper aims to introduce the maximum likelihood estimation in the framework of sublinear expectation. We…

概率论 · 数学 2023-01-16 Xinpeng Li , Yue Liu , Jiaquan Lu

Simulator-based models are models for which the likelihood is intractable but simulation of synthetic data is possible. They are often used to describe complex real-world phenomena, and as such can often be misspecified in practice.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-20 Charita Dellaporta , Jeremias Knoblauch , Theodoros Damoulas , François-Xavier Briol

Given data sampled from a number of variables, one is often interested in the underlying causal relationships in the form of a directed acyclic graph. In the general case, without interventions on some of the variables it is only possible…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-12-05 Christopher Nowzohour , Peter Bühlmann

We consider the problem of training probabilistic conditional random fields (CRFs) in the context of a task where performance is measured using a specific loss function. While maximum likelihood is the most common approach to training CRFs,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-03-19 Maksims N. Volkovs , Hugo Larochelle , Richard S. Zemel

We consider the problem of learning parameters of latent variable models from mixed (continuous and ordinal) data with missing values. We propose a novel Bayesian Gaussian copula factor (BGCF) approach that is consistent under certain…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-06-13 Ruifei Cui , Ioan Gabriel Bucur , Perry Groot , Tom Heskes

We present a joint copula-based model for insurance claims and sizes. It uses bivariate copulae to accommodate for the dependence between these quantities. We derive the general distribution of the policy loss without the restrictive…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-09-25 Nicole Kraemer , Eike C. Brechmann , Daniel Silvestrini , Claudia Czado

The study presents a novel approach for stochastic nonlinear model updating in structural dynamics, employing a Bayesian framework integrated with Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for parameter estimation by using an approximated…

This paper proposes a new generalized linear model with the fractional binomial distribution. Zero-inflated Poisson/negative binomial distributions are used for count data with many zeros. To analyze the association of such a count variable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-01 Jeonghwa Lee , Chloe Breece

I describe a trick for training flow models using a prescribed rule as a surrogate for maximum likelihood. The utility of this trick is limited for non-conditional models, but an extension of the approach, applied to maximum likelihood of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-26 John S. Hyatt

In this work, we explore the theoretical properties of conditional deep generative models under the statistical framework of distribution regression where the response variable lies in a high-dimensional ambient space but concentrates…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-02 Shivam Kumar , Yun Yang , Lizhen Lin

Linear regression models are useful statistical tools to analyze data sets in several different fields. There are several methods to estimate the parameters of a linear regression model. These methods usually perform under normally…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-10 Şenay Özdemir , Yeşim Güney , Yetkin Tuaç , Olcay Arslan

Deep latent variable models (DLVMs) combine the approximation abilities of deep neural networks and the statistical foundations of generative models. Variational methods are commonly used for inference; however, the exact likelihood of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-06-29 Pierre-Alexandre Mattei , Jes Frellsen

In regression problems where there is no known true underlying model, conformal prediction methods enable prediction intervals to be constructed without any assumptions on the distribution of the underlying data, except that the training…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-31 Wenyu Chen , Kelli-Jean Chun , Rina Foygel Barber

Estimations of physical parameters using data usually involve non-uniform experimental efficiencies. In this article, a method of maximum likelihood fit is introduced using the efficiency as a weight, while the probability distribution…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2023-08-31 Chenxu Yu , Yanxi Zhang

We introduce a multifidelity estimator of covariance matrices formulated as the solution to a regression problem on the manifold of symmetric positive definite matrices. The estimator is positive definite by construction, and the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-09-06 Aimee Maurais , Terrence Alsup , Benjamin Peherstorfer , Youssef Marzouk

We consider deep multivariate models for heterogeneous collections of random variables. In the context of computer vision, such collections may e.g. consist of images, segmentations, image attributes, and latent variables. When developing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-03 Dmitrij Schlesinger , Boris Flach , Alexander Shekhovtsov

We introduce a novel function-on-function linear quantile regression model to characterize the entire conditional distribution of a functional response for a given functional predictor. Tensor cubic $B$-splines expansion is used to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-01 Ufuk Beyaztas , Han Lin Shang , Semanur Saricam