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相关论文: Parameter estimation in pair hidden Markov models

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Hidden Markov models (HMMs) offer a robust and efficient framework for analyzing time series data, modelling both the underlying latent state progression over time and the observation process, conditional on the latent state. However, a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-07-19 Ioannis Rotous , Alex Diana , Alessio Farcomeni , Eleni Matechou , Andréa Thiebault

The Hidden Markov Model (HMM) is one of the most widely used statistical models for sequential data analysis. One of the key reasons for this versatility is the ability of HMM to deal with missing data. However, standard HMM learning…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-07-04 Binyamin Perets , Mark Kozdoba , Shie Mannor

Given a nonparametric Hidden Markov Model (HMM) with two states, the question of constructing efficient multiple testing procedures is considered, treating one of the states as an unknown null hypothesis. A procedure is introduced, based on…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-01-12 Kweku Abraham , Ismael Castillo , Elisabeth Gassiat

While advances continue to be made in model-based clustering, challenges persist in modeling various data types such as panel data. Multivariate panel data present difficulties for clustering algorithms because they are often plagued by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-26 Mackenzie R. Neal , Alexa A. Sochaniwsky , Paul D. McNicholas

We propose a framework to model the distribution of sequential data coming from a set of entities connected in a graph with a known topology. The method is based on a mixture of shared hidden Markov models (HMMs), which are jointly trained…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-04-02 Diogo Pernes , Jaime S. Cardoso

Over the last decade, hidden Markov models (HMMs) have become increasingly popular in statistical ecology, where they constitute natural tools for studying animal behavior based on complex sensor data. Corresponding analyses sometimes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-15 Jan-Ole Koslik , Carlina C. Feldmann , Sina Mews , Rouven Michels , Roland Langrock

The stock market presents a challenging environment for accurately predicting future stock prices due to its intricate and ever-changing nature. However, the utilization of advanced methodologies can significantly enhance the precision of…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-12-02 Luigi Catello , Ludovica Ruggiero , Lucia Schiavone , Mario Valentino

De-interleaving of the mixtures of Hidden Markov Processes (HMPs) generally depends on its representation model. Existing representation models consider Markov chain mixtures rather than hidden Markov, resulting in the lack of robustness to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-06-04 Jiadi Bao , Mengtao Zhu , Yunjie Li , Shafei Wang

The objective of this article is to study the asymptotic behavior of a new particle filtering approach in the context of hidden Markov models (HMMs). In particular, we develop an algorithm where the latent-state sequence is segmented into…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-09-16 Hock Peng Chan , Chiang Wee Heng , Ajay Jasra

Consider a stationary discrete random process with alphabet size d, which is assumed to be the output process of an unknown stationary Hidden Markov Model (HMM). Given the joint probabilities of finite length strings of the process, we are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-12-15 Qingqing Huang , Rong Ge , Sham Kakade , Munther Dahleh

Automated fault localization is an important issue in model validation and verification. It helps the end users in analyzing the origin of failure. In this work, we show the early experiments with probabilistic analysis approaches in fault…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2016-11-21 Ning Ge , Marc Pantel , Xavier Crégut

The hidden Markov model (HMM) is a generative model that treats sequential data under the assumption that each observation is conditioned on the state of a discrete hidden variable that evolves in time as a Markov chain. In this paper, we…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2011-09-07 Emanuele Coviello , Antoni B. Chan , Gert R. G. Lanckriet

We consider parameter estimation in finite hidden state space Markov models with time-dependent inhomogeneous noise, where the inhomogeneity vanishes sufficiently fast. Based on the concept of asymptotic mean stationary processes we prove…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-10-02 Manuel Diehn , Axel Munk , Daniel Rudolf

Implicit probabilistic models are models defined naturally in terms of a sampling procedure and often induces a likelihood function that cannot be expressed explicitly. We develop a simple method for estimating parameters in implicit models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-10-23 Ke Li , Jitendra Malik

This paper considers maximum likelihood (ML) estimation in a large class of models with hidden Markov regimes. We investigate consistency of the ML estimator and local asymptotic normality for the models under general conditions which allow…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-12-07 Demian Pouzo , Zacharias Psaradakis , Martin Sola

We consider deep multivariate models for heterogeneous collections of random variables. In the context of computer vision, such collections may e.g. consist of images, segmentations, image attributes, and latent variables. When developing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-03 Dmitrij Schlesinger , Boris Flach , Alexander Shekhovtsov

The article studies segmentation problem (also known as classification problem) with pairwise Markov models (PMMs). A PMM is a process where the observation process and underlying state sequence form a two-dimensional Markov chain, it is a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-22 Kristi Kuljus , Jüri Lember

Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) comprise a powerful generative approach for modeling sequential data and time-series in general. However, the commonly employed assumption of the dependence of the current time frame to a single or multiple…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-13 Konstantinos P. Panousis , Sotirios Chatzis , Sergios Theodoridis

We study a phase transition in parameter learning of Hidden Markov Models (HMMs). We do this by generating sequences of observed symbols from given discrete HMMs with uniformly distributed transition probabilities and a noise level encoded…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-10-13 Nikita Rau , Jörg Lücke , Alexander K. Hartmann

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are commonly used for disease progression modeling when the true patient health state is not fully known. Since HMMs typically have multiple local optima, incorporating additional patient covariates can improve…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-05 Matt Baucum , Anahita Khojandi , Theodore Papamarkou