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While hidden class models of various types arise in many statistical applications, it is often difficult to establish the identifiability of their parameters. Focusing on models in which there is some structure of independence of some of…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-01 Elizabeth S. Allman , Catherine Matias , John A. Rhodes

This paper shows that the problem of testing hypotheses in moment condition models without any assumptions about identification may be considered as a problem of testing with an infinite-dimensional nuisance parameter. We introduce a…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-09-24 Isaiah Andrews , Anna Mikusheva

Missing Not At Random (MNAR) values lead to significant biases in the data, since the probability of missingness depends on the unobserved values.They are ''not ignorable'' in the sense that they often require defining a model for the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-06-11 Aude Sportisse , Claire Boyer , Julie Josse

We study the problem of estimating a functional or a parameter in the context where outcome is subject to nonignorable missingness. We completely avoid modeling the regression relation, while allowing the propensity to be modeled by a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-12 Samidha Shetty , Yanyuan Ma , Jiwei Zhao

Statistical models are central to machine learning with broad applicability across a range of downstream tasks. The models are controlled by free parameters that are typically estimated from data by maximum-likelihood estimation or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-16 Vaidotas Simkus , Benjamin Rhodes , Michael U. Gutmann

Missing data often result in undesirable bias and loss of efficiency. These issues become substantial when the response mechanism is nonignorable, meaning that the response model depends on unobserved variables. To manage nonignorable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-30 Kenji Beppu , Jinung Choi , Kosuke Morikawa , Jongho Im

We develop a general theory of omitted variable bias for a wide range of common causal parameters, including (but not limited to) averages of potential outcomes, average treatment effects, average causal derivatives, and policy effects from…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-05-28 Victor Chernozhukov , Carlos Cinelli , Whitney Newey , Amit Sharma , Vasilis Syrgkanis

We are concerned in clustering continuous data sets subject to non-ignorable missingness. We perform clustering with a specific semi-parametric mixture, under the assumption of conditional independence given the component. The mixture model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-20 Marie Du Roy de Chaumaray , Matthieu Marbac

This note extends conformal e-prediction to cover the case where there is observed confounding between the random object $X$ and its label $Y$. We consider both the case where the observed data is IID and a case where some dependence…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-13 Vladimir Vovk , Ruodu Wang

The study of causality or causal inference - how much a given treatment causally affects a given outcome in a population - goes way beyond correlation or association analysis of variables, and is critical in making sound data driven…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2017-08-09 Sudeepa Roy , Babak Salimi

Statistical modeling can involve a tension between assumptions and statistical identification. The law of the observable data may not uniquely determine the value of a target parameter without invoking a key assumption, and, while…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-06 Paul Gustafson

Researchers regularly perform conditional prediction using imputed values of missing data. However, applications of imputation often lack a firm foundation in statistical theory. This paper originated when we were unable to find analysis…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-02-24 Charles F Manski , Michael Gmeiner , Anat Tamburc

One of the major open problems in machine learning is to characterize generalization in the overparameterized regime, where most traditional generalization bounds become inconsistent even for overparameterized linear regression. In many…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-22 Jing Xu , Jiaye Teng , Yang Yuan , Andrew Chi-Chih Yao

In many applications it is desirable to infer coarse-grained models from observational data. The observed process often corresponds only to a few selected degrees of freedom of a high-dimensional dynamical system with multiple time scales.…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-05-06 Serafim Kalliadasis , Sebastian Krumscheid , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

Conformal prediction is a theoretically grounded framework for constructing predictive intervals. We study conformal prediction with missing values in the covariates -- a setting that brings new challenges to uncertainty quantification. We…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-06 Margaux Zaffran , Aymeric Dieuleveut , Julie Josse , Yaniv Romano

Data analyses typically rely upon assumptions about missingness mechanisms that lead to observed versus missing data. When the data are missing not at random, direct assumptions about the missingness mechanism, and indirect assumptions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-03-22 Alexander M Franks , Edoardo M Airoldi , Donald B Rubin

Inferential challenges that arise when data are censored have been extensively studied under the classical frameworks. In this paper, we provide an alternative generalized inferential model approach whose output is a data-dependent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-16 Joyce Cahoon , Ryan Martin

Conformal prediction provides a distribution-free framework for uncertainty quantification. This study explores the application of conformal prediction in scenarios where covariates are missing, which introduces significant challenges for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-09 Jingsen Kong , YIming Liu , Guangren Yang

The interplay between missing data and model uncertainty -- two classic statistical problems -- leads to primary questions that we formally address from an objective Bayesian perspective. For the general regression problem, we discuss the…

In this paper, we consider the coherent theory of (epistemic) uncertainty of Walley, in which beliefs are represented through sets of probability distributions, and we focus on the problem of modeling prior ignorance about a categorical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-07-15 Alberto Piatti , Marco Zaffalon , Fabio Trojani , Marcus Hutter