相关论文: The Goebbellian Syndrome

Counterfactuals in quantitative trade and spatial models are functions of the current state of the world and the model parameters. Common practice treats the current state of the world as perfectly observed, but there is good reason to…

This paper is concerned with the question of when a theory is refutable with certainty on the basis of sequence of primitive observations. Beginning with the simple definition of falsifiability as the ability to be refuted by some finite…

This article seeks to encourage a mathematical dialog regarding a possible solution to Beals Conjecture. It breaks down one of the worlds most difficult math problems into laymans terms and encourages people to question some of the most…

Publication bias and p-hacking are two well-known phenomena that strongly affect the scientific literature and cause severe problems in meta-analyses. Due to these phenomena, the assumptions of meta-analyses are seriously violated and the…

Goedel Incompleteness Theorem leaves open a way around it, vaguely perceived for a long time but not clearly identified. (Thus, Goedel believed informal arguments can answer any math question.) Closing this loophole does not seem obvious…

We construct the first known examples of compact pseudo-Riemannian manifolds having an essential group of conformal transformations, and which are not conformally flat. Our examples cover all types $(p,q)$, with $2 \leq p \leq q$.

The aim of this paper, triggered by some discussions in the astrophysics community raised by astro-ph/0508529, is to introduce the issue of `fits' from a probabilistic perspective (also known as Bayesian), with special attention to the…

We show that adding a random real number destroys a large fragment of Martin's axiom, namely Martin's axiom for partial orders that have precalibre-$\aleph_1$, thus answering an old question of J. Roitman [9]. We also answer a question of…

Simple methods permit to generalize the concepts of iteration and of recursive processes. We shall see briefly on several examples what these methods generate. In additive sequences, we shall encounter not only the golden or the silver…

We consider several problems about pseudoprimes. First, we look at the issue of their distribution in residue classes. There is a literature on this topic in the case that the residue class is coprime to the modulus. Here we provide some…

Kupczynski (2023) claims that Gill and Lambare (2022a, 2022b) misrepresent several of his published papers. This paper shows that the latest version of his "contextuality by default" model of a Bell experiment places no constraints…

Translation of 'Die Logik Nicht Gleichzeitig Entscheidbarer Aussagen' by Ernst Specker, Dialectica, vol. 14, 239 - 246 (1960).

Recently R. G. Newton published a comment criticizing the methods and the results of a paper published by the author. His criticism touches on a few key points of the subject and hence deserves a detailed reply. Here is the reply, point by…

Formal logic enables computers to reason in natural language by representing sentences in symbolic forms and applying rules to derive conclusions. However, in what our study characterizes as "rulebreaker" scenarios, this method can lead to…

Motivated by Breiman's rousing 2001 paper on the "two cultures" in statistics, we consider the role that different modeling approaches play in causal inference. We discuss the relationship between model complexity and causal…

A series of monte carlo studies were performed to compare the behavior of some alternative procedures for reasoning under uncertainty. The behavior of several Bayesian, linear model and default reasoning procedures were examined in the…

Interpretability research takes counterfactual theories of causality for granted. Most causal methods rely on counterfactual interventions to inputs or the activations of particular model components, followed by observations of the change…

The inflation of Type I error rates is thought to be one of the causes of the replication crisis. Questionable research practices such as p-hacking are thought to inflate Type I error rates above their nominal level, leading to unexpectedly…

The aim of this paper is to highlight a hitherto unknown computational aspect of Nonstandard Analysis. Recently, a number of nonstandard versions of Goedel's system T have been introduced ([2,9,12]), and it was shown in [26] that the…

If you cancel out the digit 6 from the ratio 16/64, you get the right answer by the wrong method. In 1979 R.P. Boas made an extensive study of such "anomalous cancellations" and generated many examples, in many bases. We continue his…