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We introduce a new scalable variational Gaussian process approximation which provides a high fidelity approximation while retaining general applicability. We propose the harmonic kernel decomposition (HKD), which uses Fourier series to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-14 Shengyang Sun , Jiaxin Shi , Andrew Gordon Wilson , Roger Grosse

We present results on parameter estimation and non-parameter estimation of the linear partially observed Gaussian system of stochastic differential equations. We propose new one-step estimators which have the same asymptotic properties as…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-04-23 Yury A. Kutoyants , Li Zhou

Gaussian processes are probabilistic models that are commonly used as functional priors in machine learning. Due to their probabilistic nature, they can be used to capture the prior information on the statistics of noise, smoothness of the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-02-02 Ahmad Farooq , Cristian A. Galvis-Florez , Simo Särkkä

Two recent landmark experiments have performed Gaussian boson sampling (GBS) with a non-programmable linear interferometer and threshold detectors on up to 144 output modes (see Refs.~\onlinecite{zhong_quantum_2020,zhong2021phase}). Here we…

We begin by introducing a class of conditional density estimators based on local polynomial techniques. The estimators are boundary adaptive and easy to implement. We then study the (pointwise and) uniform statistical properties of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-12-19 Matias D. Cattaneo , Rajita Chandak , Michael Jansson , Xinwei Ma

In this paper we propose and study a general class of Gaussian Semiparametric Estimators (GSE) of the fractional differencing parameter in the context of long-range dependent multivariate time series. We establish large sample properties of…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-11-16 Guilherme Pumi , Sílvia R. C. Lopes

We introduce a new scalable approximation for Gaussian processes with provable guarantees which hold simultaneously over its entire parameter space. Our approximation is obtained from an improved sample complexity analysis for sparse…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-18 Quang Minh Hoang , Trong Nghia Hoang , Hai Pham , David P. Woodruff

This paper proposes a new formulation of functional Gaussian Process regression in manifolds, based on an Empirical Bayes approach, in the spatiotemporal random field context. We apply the machinery of tight Gaussian measures in separable…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-24 MD Ruiz-Medina , AE Madrid , A Torres-Signes , JM Angulo

We present a new framework for recycling independent variational approximations to Gaussian processes. The main contribution is the construction of variational ensembles given a dictionary of fitted Gaussian processes without revisiting any…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-07 Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez , Mauricio A. Álvarez

There is a wide range of applications where the local extrema of a function are the key quantity of interest. However, there is surprisingly little work on methods to infer local extrema with uncertainty quantification in the presence of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-28 Meng Li , Zejian Liu , Cheng-Han Yu , Marina Vannucci

A determinantal point process is a stochastic point process that is commonly used to capture negative correlations. It has become increasingly popular in machine learning in recent years. Sampling a determinantal point process however…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-09-02 Lexing Ying

This article studies local and global inference for smoothing spline estimation in a unified asymptotic framework. We first introduce a new technical tool called functional Bahadur representation, which significantly generalizes the…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-11-27 Zuofeng Shang , Guang Cheng

Determinantal points processes are a promising but relatively under-developed tool in machine learning and statistical modelling, being the canonical statistical example of distributions with repulsion. While their mathematical formulation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-31 Nicholas P Baskerville

This paper develops an asymptotic likelihood theory for triangular arrays of stationary Gaussian time series depending on a multidimensional unknown parameter. We give sufficient conditions for the associated sequence of statistical models…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-14 Carsten H. Chong , Fabian Mies

We introduce a class of Gaussian processes with stationary increments which exhibit long-range dependence. The class includes fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H>1/2 as a typical example. We establish infinite and finite past…

概率论 · 数学 2011-11-10 Akihiko Inoue , Vo Van Anh

In this paper we develop non-asymptotic Gaussian approximation results for the sampling distribution of suprema of empirical processes when the indexing function class $\mathcal{F}_n$ varies with the sample size $n$ and may not be Donsker.…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-09-06 Alexander Giessing

Various approaches to stochastic processes exist, noting that key properties such as measurability and continuity are not trivially satisfied. We introduce a new theory for Gaussian processes using improper linear functionals. Using a…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-10-15 Niels Lundtorp Olsen

We present the Gaussian process density sampler (GPDS), an exchangeable generative model for use in nonparametric Bayesian density estimation. Samples drawn from the GPDS are consistent with exact, independent samples from a distribution…

统计计算 · 统计学 2009-12-25 Ryan Prescott Adams , Iain Murray , David J. C. MacKay

Gaussian processes are a powerful class of non-linear models, but have limited applicability for larger datasets due to their high computational complexity. In such cases, approximate methods are required, for example, the recently…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-24 Soham Mukherjee , Manfred Claassen , Paul-Christian Bürkner

This paper presents a Gaussian process (GP) model for estimating piecewise continuous regression functions. In scientific and engineering applications of regression analysis, the underlying regression functions are piecewise continuous in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-15 Chiwoo Park