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The major goal of this paper is to study the second order frequentist properties of the marginal posterior distribution of the parametric component in semiparametric Bayesian models, in particular, a second order semiparametric…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-17 Yun Yang , Guang Cheng , David B. Dunson

We present a continuation method that entails generating a sequence of transition probability density functions from the prior to the posterior in the context of Bayesian inference for parameter estimation problems. The characterization of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-11-27 Ben Mansour Dia

The most fundamental problem in statistics is the inference of an unknown probability distribution from a finite number of samples. For a specific observed data set, answers to the following questions would be desirable: (1) Estimation:…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-01-23 Ali Kinkhabwala

Measurement error occurs when a covariate influencing a response variable is corrupted by noise. This can lead to misleading inference outcomes, particularly in problems where accurately estimating the relationship between covariates and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-16 Charita Dellaporta , Theodoros Damoulas

The large-sample properties of likelihood-based statistical inference under mixture models have received much attention from statisticians. Although the consistency of the nonparametric MLE is regarded as a standard conclusion, many…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-07-06 Jiahua Chen

We consider in this paper the problem of sampling a high-dimensional probability distribution $\pi$ having a density with respect to the Lebesgue measure on $\mathbb{R}^d$, known up to a normalization constant $x \mapsto \pi(x)=…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-07-17 Alain Durmus , Eric Moulines

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods have become increasingly prevalent of late, facilitating as they do the analysis of intractable, or challenging, statistical problems. With the initial focus being primarily on the practical…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-08-24 David T. Frazier , Gael M. Martin , Christian P. Robert

This paper concerns the robust regression model when the number of predictors and the number of observations grow in a similar rate. Theory for M-estimators in this regime has been recently developed by several authors [El Karoui et al.,…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-04-06 Daniel Nevo , Ya'acov Ritov

A central theme in classical algorithms for the reconstruction of discontinuous functions from observational data is perimeter regularization via the use of the total variation. On the other hand, sparse or noisy data often demands a…

Neural Networks (NNs) have provided state-of-the-art results for many challenging machine learning tasks such as detection, regression and classification across the domains of computer vision, speech recognition and natural language…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-21 Ethan Goan , Clinton Fookes

In this article, we study the binary classification problem with supervised data, in the case where the covariate-to-probability-of-success map is possibly spatially inhomogeneous. We devise nonparametric Bayesian procedures with…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-10 Matteo Giordano

Bayesian optimization is a coherent, ubiquitous approach to decision-making under uncertainty, with applications including multi-arm bandits, active learning, and black-box optimization. Bayesian optimization selects decisions (i.e.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-13 Samuel Stanton , Wesley Maddox , Andrew Gordon Wilson

We study the problem of estimating the mode and maximum of an unknown regression function in the presence of noise. We adopt the Bayesian approach by using tensor-product B-splines and endowing the coefficients with Gaussian priors. In the…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-03-16 William Weimin Yoo , Subhashis Ghosal

We investigate the frequentist guarantees of the variational sparse Gaussian process regression model. In the theoretical analysis, we focus on the variational approach with spectral features as inducing variables. We derive guarantees and…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-09-29 Dennis Nieman , Botond Szabo , Harry van Zanten

Bayesian inference is now a leading technique for reconstructing phylogenetic trees from aligned sequence data. In this short note, we formally show that the maximum posterior tree topology provides a statistically consistent estimate of a…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2013-07-12 Mike Steel

When constructing a Bayesian Machine Learning model, we might be faced with multiple different prior distributions and thus are required to properly consider them in a sensible manner in our model. While this situation is reasonably well…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-20 Sarem Seitz

Interim analyses are vital in clinical trials for early decision-making. While frequentist implications are well-established, the consequences of repeated Bayesian interim monitoring for efficacy, specifically regarding multiplicity, remain…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-30 Suyu Liu , Beibei Guo , Laura Thompson , Lei Nie , Ying Yuan

We consider the nonparametric regression problem with multiple predictors and an additive error, where the regression function is assumed to be coordinatewise nondecreasing. We propose a Bayesian approach to make an inference on the…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-11-24 Kang Wang , Subhashis Ghosal

We propose modified frequentist definition for the determination of confidence intervals for the case of Poisson statistics. Namely, we require that 1-\beta' \geq \sum_{n=o}^{n_{obs}+k} P(n|\lambda) \geq \alpha'. We show that this…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2012-06-19 Sergey Bitioukov , Nikolai Krasnikov

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric model for mixed-type bounded data, where some variables are compositional and others are interval-bounded. Compositional variables are non-negative and sum to a given constant, such as the proportion of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-13 Rufeng Liu , Claudia Wehrhahn , Andrés F. Barrientos , Alejandro Jara
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