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Majorisation, also called rearrangement inequalities, yields a type of stochastic ordering in which two or more distributions can be compared. In this paper we argue that majorisation is a good candidate as a theory for uncertainty. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-06-17 Victoria Volodina , Nikki Sonenberg , Edward Wheatcroft , Henry Wynn

Existing algorithms for subgroup discovery with numerical targets do not optimize the error or target variable dispersion of the groups they find. This often leads to unreliable or inconsistent statements about the data, rendering practical…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2017-07-06 Mario Boley , Bryan R. Goldsmith , Luca M. Ghiringhelli , Jilles Vreeken

The increasing availability of sensing techniques provides a great opportunity for engineers to design state estimation methods, which are optimal for the system under observation and the observed noise patterns. However, these patterns…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-06-19 Jean-Sébastien Brouillon , Florian Dörfler , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate

This paper formulates a penalized empirical likelihood (PEL) method for inference on the population mean when the dimension of the observations may grow faster than the sample size. Asymptotic distributions of the PEL ratio statistic is…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-02-28 Soumendra N. Lahiri , Subhodeep Mukhopadhyay

The bootstrap is a popular and convenient method for quantifying the authority of an empirical ordering of attributes, for example of a ranking of the performance of institutions or of the influence of genes on a response variable. In the…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-11-20 Peter Hall , Hugh Miller

The paper introduces the concept of a cluster structure to define a joint distribution of the sample size and its exchangeable random partitions. The cluster structure allows the probability distribution of the random partitions of a subset…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-10-08 Mingyuan Zhou

We introduce a novel probabilistic group testing framework, termed Poisson group testing, in which the number of defectives follows a right-truncated Poisson distribution. The Poisson model has a number of new applications, including…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2023-07-19 Amin Emad , Olgica Milenkovic

Penalized estimation principle is fundamental to high-dimensional problems. In the literature, it has been extensively and successfully applied to various models with only structural parameters. As a contrast, in this paper, we apply this…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-08-03 Jianqing Fan , Runlong Tang , Xiaofeng Shi

Decision trees built with data remain in widespread use for nonparametric prediction. Predicting probability distributions is preferred over point predictions when uncertainty plays a prominent role in analysis and decision-making. We study…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-21 Sara Shashaani , Ozge Surer , Matthew Plumlee , Seth Guikema

In this work, we present a method to generate probability distributions and classes of probability distributions, which broadens a process of probability distribution construction. In this method, distribution classes are built from…

How can we draw trustworthy scientific conclusions? One criterion is that a study can be replicated by independent teams. While replication is critically important, it is arguably insufficient. If a study is biased for some reason and other…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-06 Yujin Jeong , Dominik Rothenhäusler

This paper considers structural optimization under a reliability constraint, where the input distribution is only partially known. Specifically, when we only know that the expected value vector and the variance-covariance matrix of the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-12-19 Yoshihiro Kanno

We consider the problem of estimating the missing mass, partition function or evidence and its probability distribution in the case that for each sample point in the discrete sample space its (unnormalized) probability mass is revealed.…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-16 Bastiaan J. Braams

Distributed sensor networks have gained interest thanks to the developments in processing power and communications. Event-triggering mechanisms can be useful in reducing communication between the nodes of the network, while still ensuring…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-11-27 Irene Perez-Salesa , Rodrigo Aldana-Lopez , Carlos Sagues

We consider linear structural equation models that are associated with mixed graphs. The structural equations in these models only involve observed variables, but their idiosyncratic error terms are allowed to be correlated and…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-10-10 Y. Samuel Wang , Mathias Drton

A stochastic model for intermittent fluctuations in the scrape-off layer of magnetically confined plasmas has been constructed based on a super-position of uncorrelated pulses arriving according to a Poisson process. In the most common…

等离子体物理 · 物理学 2018-05-04 Audun Theodorsen , Odd Erik Garcia

Clustering is a crucial task in various domains of knowledge, including medicine, epidemiology, genomics, environmental science, economics, and visual sciences, among others. Methodologies for inferring the number of clusters have often…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-26 Clara Grazian

We propose a statistical model for networks of event count sequences built on a cascade structure. We assume that each event triggers successor events, whose counts follow additive probability distributions; the ensemble of counts is given…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-02-18 Shinsuke Koyama , Yoshi Fujiwara

This paper presents robust inference methods for general linear hypotheses in linear panel data models with latent group structure in the coefficients. We employ a selective conditional inference approach, deriving the conditional…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-25 Oguzhan Akgun , Ryo Okui

Conformal prediction is a statistically rigorous method for quantifying uncertainty in models by having them output sets of predictions, with larger sets indicating more uncertainty. However, prediction sets are not inherently actionable;…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-17 Jesse C. Cresswell , Bhargava Kumar , Yi Sui , Mouloud Belbahri