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In stochastic simulation, input uncertainty refers to the output variability arising from the statistical noise in specifying the input models. This uncertainty can be measured by a variance contribution in the output, which, in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-20 Henry Lam , Huajie Qian

We introduce a bootstrap procedure for high-frequency statistics of Brownian semistationary processes. More specifically, we focus on a hypothesis test on the roughness of sample paths of Brownian semistationary processes, which uses an…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-01-06 Mikkel Bennedsen , Ulrich Hounyo , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

This article proposes an online bootstrap scheme for nonparametric level estimation in nonstationary time series. Our approach applies to a broad class of level estimators expressible as weighted sample averages over time windows, including…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-02 Thomas Nagler , Tobias Brock , Nicolai Palm

Fitting sparse models to high-dimensional time series is an important area of statistical inference. In this paper we consider sparse vector autoregressive models and develop appropriate bootstrap methods to infer properties of such…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-25 J. Krampe , J-P. Kreiss , E. Paparoditis

This paper reports on application of bootstrap nonlinear regression method to a design of an experiment dataset with fewer experimental runs. Design with desired properties was augmented and verified using graphical techniques. The…

The effect of a stochastic displacement field on a statistically independent point process is analyzed. Stochastic displacement fields can be divided into two large classes: spatially correlated and uncorrelated. For both cases exact…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-11-26 Andrea Gabrielli

Bootstrapping was designed to randomly resample data from a fixed sample using Monte Carlo techniques. However, the original sample itself defines a discrete distribution. Convolutional methods are well suited for discrete distributions,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-19 Jared M. Clark , Richard L. Warr

Inference and testing in general point process models such as the Hawkes model is predominantly based on asymptotic approximations for likelihood-based estimators and tests. As an alternative, and to improve finite sample performance, this…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-09-22 Giuseppe Cavaliere , Ye Lu , Anders Rahbek , Jacob Stærk-Østergaard

We study an AMOC time series model with an abrupt change in the mean and dependent errors that fulfill certain mixing conditions. We obtain confidence intervals for the unknown change-point via bootstrapping methods. Precisely we use a…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-10-30 Marie Huskova , Claudia Kirch

Bootstrap methods, initially developed for solving statistical and quantum field theories, have recently been shown to capture the discrete spectrum of quantum mechanical problems, such as the single particle Schr\"odinger equation with an…

介观与纳米尺度物理 · 物理学 2021-12-15 Serguei Tchoumakov , Serge Florens

To draw scientifically meaningful conclusions and build reliable models of quantitative phenomena, cause and effect must be taken into consideration (either implicitly or explicitly). This is particularly challenging when the measurements…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-11 Max A. Little , Reham Badawy

In time series analysis, statistics based on collections of estimators computed from sub-samples play a crucial role in an increasing variety of important applications. Proving results about the joint asymptotic distribution of such…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-05-27 Stanislav Volgushev , Xiaofeng Shao

We consider the problem of finding confidence intervals for the risk of forecasting the future of a stationary, ergodic stochastic process, using a model estimated from the past of the process. We show that a bootstrap procedure provides…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-12-01 Robert Lunde , Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

Data on count processes arise in a variety of applications, including longitudinal, spatial and imaging studies measuring count responses. The literature on statistical models for dependent count data is dominated by models built from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-10-08 Antonio Canale , David B. Dunson

The spectrum and coherency are useful quantities for characterizing the temporal correlations and functional relations within and between point processes. This paper begins with a review of these quantities, their interpretation and how…

生物物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 M. R. Jarvis , P. P. Mitra

Fitting parametric models by optimizing frequency domain objective functions is an attractive approach of parameter estimation in time series analysis. Whittle estimators are a prominent example in this context. Under weak conditions and…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-07-26 Jens-Peter Kreiss , Efstathios Paparoditis

We propose a methodology for constructing confidence regions with partially identified models of general form. The region is obtained by inverting a test of internal consistency of the econometric structure. We develop a dilation bootstrap…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-02-10 Alfred Galichon , Marc Henry

In this note we propose a vectorized implementation of the non-parametric bootstrap for statistics based on sample moments. Basically, we adopt the multinomial sampling formulation of the non-parametric bootstrap, and compute bootstrap…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-12-12 E. Chaibub Neto

Little attention has been given to the correlation coefficient when data come from discrete or continuous non-normal populations. In this article, we consider the efficiency of two correlation coefficients which are from the same family,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-11-06 Michael Tsagris , Ioannis Elmatzoglou , Christos C. Frangos

This paper argues for the widest possible use of bootstrap confidence intervals for comparing NLP system performances instead of the state-of-the-art status (SOTA) and statistical significance testing. Their main benefits are to draw…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-05-24 Yves Bestgen