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相关论文: Stochastic Split Determinant Algorithms

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This paper is concerned with statistical methods for the segmental classification of linear sequence data where the task is to segment and classify the data according to an underlying hidden discrete state sequence. Such analysis is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-05-05 Christopher Yau , Christopher C. Holmes

In this paper we introduce a new sampling algorithm which has the potential to be adopted as a universal replacement to the Metropolis--Hastings algorithm. It is related to the slice sampler, and motivated by an algorithm which is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-10-19 Yanxin Li , Stephen G. Walker

We introduce a class of Markov chains, that contains the model of stochastic approximation by averaging and non-averaging. Using martingale approximation method, we establish various deviation inequalities for separately Lipschitz functions…

概率论 · 数学 2022-09-16 Xiequan Fan , Pierre Alquier , Paul Doukhan

Filtering---estimating the state of a partially observable Markov process from a sequence of observations---is one of the most widely studied problems in control theory, AI, and computational statistics. Exact computation of the posterior…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-07 Bhaskara Marthi , Hanna Pasula , Stuart Russell , Yuval Peres

Semi-Markov processes are Markovian processes in which the firing time of the transitions is modelled by probabilistic distributions over positive reals interpreted as the probability of firing a transition at a certain moment in time. In…

形式语言与自动机理论 · 计算机科学 2017-12-04 Mathias Ruggaard Pedersen , Nathanaël Fijalkow , Giorgio Bacci , Kim Guldstrand Larsen , Radu Mardare

In this paper, we develop approximate dynamic programming methods for stochastic systems modeled as Markov Decision Processes, given both soft performance criteria and hard constraints in a class of probabilistic temporal logic called…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-10-08 Lening Li , Jie Fu

We provide a novel method for sensitivity analysis of parametric robust Markov chains. These models incorporate parameters and sets of probability distributions to alleviate the often unrealistic assumption that precise probabilities are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-03 Thom Badings , Sebastian Junges , Ahmadreza Marandi , Ufuk Topcu , Nils Jansen

We introduce a generalization of the Adaptive Multilevel Splitting algorithm in the discrete time dynamic setting, namely when it is applied to sample rare events associated with paths of Markov chains. By interpreting the algorithm as a…

Markov chain sampling methods that automatically adapt to characteristics of the distribution being sampled can be constructed by exploiting the principle that one can sample from a distribution by sampling uniformly from the region under…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Radford M. Neal

Split conformal prediction is a computationally efficient method for performing distribution-free predictive inference in regression. It involves, however, a one-time random split of the data, and the result depends on the particular split.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-22 Aldo Solari , Vera Djordjilović

We discuss general concept of Markov statistical dynamics in the continuum. For a class of spatial birth-and-death models, we develop a perturbative technique for the construction of statistical dynamics. Particular examples of such systems…

泛函分析 · 数学 2015-01-27 Dmitri Finkelshtein , Yuri Kondratiev , Oleksandr Kutoviy

A general formalism is developed to construct a Markov chain model that converges to a one-dimensional map in the infinite population limit. Stochastic fluctuations are therefore internal to the system and not externally specified. For…

统计力学 · 物理学 2014-09-15 Joseph D. Challenger , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane

We develop the connection between large deviation theory and more applied approaches to stochastic hybrid systems by highlighting a common underlying Hamiltonian structure. A stochastic hybrid system involves the coupling between a…

概率论 · 数学 2015-09-23 Paul Bressloff , Olivier Faugeras

This paper provides a general and abstract approach to approximate ergodic regimes of Markov and Feller processes. More precisely, we show that the recursive algorithm presented in Lamberton & Pages (2002) and based on simulation algorithms…

概率论 · 数学 2018-01-17 Gilles Pagès , Clément Rey

For rare events described in terms of Markov processes, truly unbiased estimation of the rare event probability generally requires the avoidance of numerical approximations of the Markov process. Recent work in the exact and…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-11-08 James Hodgson , Adam M. Johansen , Murray Pollock

We present new algorithms and fast implementations to find efficient approximations for modelling stochastic processes. For many numerical computations it is essential to develop finite approximations for stochastic processes. While the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-12-03 Kipngeno Benard Kirui , Georg Ch. Pflug , Alois Pichler

The discrete class algorithm presented in this paper is an efficient simulation tool for stochastic processes governed by a reasonably small set of transition rates. The algorithm is presented, its performance compared to prevailing methods…

计算物理 · 物理学 2008-02-03 Hans E. Plesser , Dietmar Wendt

Recently there have been exciting developments in Monte Carlo methods, with the development of new MCMC and sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms which are based on continuous-time, rather than discrete-time, Markov processes. This has…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-09-29 Paul Fearnhead , Joris Bierkens , Murray Pollock , Gareth O Roberts

In this paper, we focus on numerical approximations of Piecewise Diffusion Markov Processes (PDifMPs), particularly when the explicit flow maps are unavailable. Our approach is based on the thinning method for modelling the jump mechanism…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-08-23 Evelyn Buckwar , Amira Meddah

In this paper, we provide strong $L_2$-rates of approximation of the integral-type functionals of Markov processes by integral sums. We improve the method developed in [2]. Under assumptions on the process formulated only in terms of its…

概率论 · 数学 2015-08-13 Iurii Ganychenko