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We provide a computational complexity lens to understand the power of machine learning models, particularly their ability to model complex systems. Machine learning models are often trained on data drawn from sampleable or more complex…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-09 Lance Fortnow

While statistics and machine learning offers numerous methods for ensuring generalization, these methods often fail in the presence of adaptivity---the common practice in which the choice of analysis depends on previous interactions with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-06-19 Kobbi Nissim , Adam Smith , Thomas Steinke , Uri Stemmer , Jonathan Ullman

Many algorithms have been recently proposed for causal machine learning. Yet, there is little to no theory on their quality, especially considering finite samples. In this work, we propose a theory based on generalization bounds that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-16 Daniel Csillag , Claudio José Struchiner , Guilherme Tegoni Goedert

Evaluating joint probabilities of potential outcomes and observed variables, and their linear combinations, is a fundamental challenge in causal inference. This paper addresses the bounding and identification of these probabilities in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-24 Naoya Hashimoto , Yuta Kawakami , Jin Tian

The Minimum Description Length principle for online sequence estimation/prediction in a proper learning setup is studied. If the underlying model class is discrete, then the total expected square loss is a particularly interesting…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-07-16 Jan Poland , Marcus Hutter

We study sequential prediction of real-valued, arbitrary and unknown sequences under the squared error loss as well as the best parametric predictor out of a large, continuous class of predictors. Inspired by recent results from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-01-24 N. Denizcan Vanli , Suleyman S. Kozat

We provide space complexity lower bounds for data structures that approximate logistic loss up to $\epsilon$-relative error on a logistic regression problem with data $\mathbf{X} \in \mathbb{R}^{n \times d}$ and labels $\mathbf{y} \in…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2024-12-04 Gregory Dexter , Petros Drineas , Rajiv Khanna

Optimization seeks extremal points in a function. When there are superextensively many optima, optimization algorithms are liable to get stuck. Under these conditions, generic algorithms tend to find marginal optima, which have many nearly…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2024-07-25 Jaron Kent-Dobias

Bin packing is a classic optimization problem with a wide range of applications, from load balancing to supply chain management. In this work, we study the online variant of the problem, in which a sequence of items of various sizes must be…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2024-04-18 Spyros Angelopoulos , Shahin Kamali , Kimia Shadkami

We investigate the in-distribution generalization of machine learning algorithms. We depart from traditional complexity-based approaches by analyzing information-theoretic bounds that quantify the dependence between a learning algorithm and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-27 Borja Rodríguez-Gálvez , Ragnar Thobaben , Mikael Skoglund

We propose a general framework for studying adaptive regret bounds in the online learning framework, including model selection bounds and data-dependent bounds. Given a data- or model-dependent bound we ask, "Does there exist some algorithm…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-14 Dylan J. Foster , Alexander Rakhlin , Karthik Sridharan

Algorithmic statistics studies explanations of observed data that are good in the algorithmic sense: an explanation should be simple i.e. should have small Kolmogorov complexity and capture all the algorithmically discoverable regularities…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2017-07-14 Alexey Milovanov

Exponential generalization bounds with near-tight rates have recently been established for uniformly stable learning algorithms. The notion of uniform stability, however, is stringent in the sense that it is invariant to the data-generating…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-06-09 Xiao-Tong Yuan , Ping Li

Error bounds have been studied for more than seventy years, beginning with the seminal result of Hoffman (1952) [{\it J. Res. Natl. Bur. Standards}, 49 (1952), 263--265], which establishes an upper bound for the distance from an arbitrary…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-05-25 Zhou Wei , Michel Thera , Jen-Chih Yao

Belief updating in Bayes nets, a well known computationally hard problem, has recently been approximated by several deterministic algorithms, and by various randomized approximation algorithms. Deterministic algorithms usually provide…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-18 Eugene Santos , Solomon Eyal Shimony , Edward Williams

The sample compression theory provides generalization guarantees for predictors that can be fully defined using a subset of the training dataset and a (short) message string, generally defined as a binary sequence. Previous works provided…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-12 Mathieu Bazinet , Valentina Zantedeschi , Pascal Germain

We study the sequential general online regression, known also as the sequential probability assignments, under logarithmic loss when compared against a broad class of experts. We focus on obtaining tight, often matching, lower and upper…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-02 Changlong Wu , Mohsen Heidari , Ananth Grama , Wojciech Szpankowski

We provide several new results on the sample complexity of vector-valued linear predictors (parameterized by a matrix), and more generally neural networks. Focusing on size-independent bounds, where only the Frobenius norm distance of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-26 Roey Magen , Ohad Shamir

We consider the problem of sequential prediction and provide tools to study the minimax value of the associated game. Classical statistical learning theory provides several useful complexity measures to study learning with i.i.d. data. Our…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-08-13 Alexander Rakhlin , Karthik Sridharan , Ambuj Tewari

This paper settles the sample complexity of single-parameter revenue maximization by showing matching upper and lower bounds, up to a poly-logarithmic factor, for all families of value distributions that have been considered in the…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2019-04-11 Chenghao Guo , Zhiyi Huang , Xinzhi Zhang