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Uncertainty is a pervasive challenge in decision and risk management and it is usually studied by quantification and modeling. Interestingly, engineers and other decision makers usually manage uncertainty with strategies such as…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-07-24 Alexander Gutfraind

We study the problem of optimal long term portfolio selection with a view to beat a benchmark. Two kinds of objectives are considered. One concerns the probability of outperforming the benchmark and seeks either to minimise the decay rate…

概率论 · 数学 2017-12-04 Anatolii A. Puhalskii

Observation of the workings of productive organizations shows that the characteristics of a trade, backed by nature given to a technological environment, determine the productive combination implemented by the decision maker, and the…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2012-02-10 Jean-Claude Juhel

This paper studies the robust portfolio selection problem under a state-dependent confidence set. The investor invests in a financial market with a risk-free asset and a risky asset. The ambiguity-averse investor faces uncertainty over the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-10-01 Guohui Guan , Yuting Jia , Zongxia Liang

The dynamic portfolio optimization problem in finance frequently requires learning policies that adhere to various constraints, driven by investor preferences and risk. We motivate this problem of finding an allocation policy within a…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-12-23 Nymisha Bandi , Theja Tulabandhula

We consider the optimal allocation of generic resources among multiple generic entities of interest over a finite planning horizon, where each entity generates stochastic returns as a function of its resource allocation during each period.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-02-28 Yingdong Lu , Siva Theja Maguluri , Mark S. Squillante , Chai Wah Wu

Our work focuses on deep learning (DL) portfolio optimization, tackling challenges in long-only, multi-asset strategies across market cycles. We propose training models with limited regime data using pre-training techniques and leveraging…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2026-01-14 Brandon Luo , Jim Skufca

I study the limit of a large random economy, where a set of consumers invests in financial instruments engineered by banks, in order to optimize their future consumption. This exercise shows that, even in the ideal case of perfect…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2009-06-09 Matteo Marsili

We introduce a new general framework for constructing the best trading strategy for a given historical indicator. We construct the unique trading strategy with the highest expected return. This optimal strategy may be implemented directly,…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2011-08-04 Philip Z. Maymin , Zakhar G. Maymin

Financial literacy and financial education are important components of modern life. The importance of financial literacy is increasing for financial consumers because of the weakening of both government and employer-based retirement…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-04-23 Paul Bechly

Data-based decisionmaking must account for the manipulation of data by agents who are aware of how decisions are being made and want to affect their allocations. We study a framework in which, due to such manipulation, data becomes less…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2022-12-29 Alex Frankel , Navin Kartik

Stock prices are driven by various factors. In particular, many individual investors who have relatively little financial knowledge rely heavily on the information from news stories when making investment decisions in the stock market.…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2019-09-04 EunJeong Hwang , Yong-Hyuk Kim

Methods for learning optimal policies in autonomous agents often assume that the way the domain is conceptualised---its possible states and actions and their causal structure---is known in advance and does not change during learning. This…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-01-11 Craig Innes , Alex Lascarides , Stefano V Albrecht , Subramanian Ramamoorthy , Benjamin Rosman

We study how to assess the potential benefit of diversifying an equity portfolio by investing within and across equity sectors. We analyse 20 years of US stock price data, which includes the global financial crisis (GFC) and the COVID-19…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2022-06-22 Nick James , Max Menzies , Georg A. Gottwald

In this paper, we propose an innovative investment framework incorporating asset allocation and class diversification oriented specifically for the biotechnology industry. With growing interests and capitalization in multiple biotech…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2017-10-11 Abhishek Mohan , Agnibho Roy

Trend following and momentum investing are common strategies employed by asset managers. Even though they can be helpful in the proper situations, they are limited in the sense that they work just by looking at past, as if we were driving…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-07-19 Fernando Berzal , Alberto Garcia

A major problem in evolutionary biology is how species learn and adapt under the constraint of environmental conditions and competition of other species. Models of cyclic dominance provide simplified settings in which such questions can be…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-04-09 Honghao Yu , Robert L. Jack

We consider an optimal consumption/investment problem to maximize expected utility from consumption. In this market model, the investor is allowed to choose a portfolio which consists of one bond, one liquid risky asset (no transaction…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2019-01-30 Jin Hyuk Choi

An alternative to the dependence on traditional student loans may offer a viable relief from the tremendous burden that those loans usually incur. This article establishes that it is desirable for governmental intervention to grant students…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2024-11-11 Limor Hatsor , Ronen Bar-El

The decision process requires information about the present state of the system, but in economy acquiring data and processing them is an expensive and time consuming process. Therefore the state of the system is measured and announced at…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2007-09-21 Janusz Miskiewicz