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For a multinomial distribution, suppose that we have prior knowledge of the sum of the probabilities of some categories. This allows us to construct a submodel in a full (i.e., no-restriction) model. Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE)…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-06-07 Yo Sheena

Probabilistic modelling of power systems operation and planning processes depends on data-driven methods, which require sufficiently large datasets. When historical data lacks this, it is desired to model the underlying data generation…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-26 Kutay Bölat , Simon H. Tindemans , Peter Palensky

Distributions following a power-law are an ubiquitous phenomenon. Methods for determining the exponent of a power-law tail by graphical means are often used in practice but are intrinsically unreliable. Maximum likelihood estimators for the…

其他凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2007-08-11 Heiko Bauke

This work introduces a method for fitting to the degree distributions of complex network datasets, such that the most appropriate distribution from a set of candidate distributions is chosen while maximizing the portion of the distribution…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-02-09 Shane Mannion , Pádraig MacCarron

The power law is useful in describing count phenomena such as network degrees and word frequencies. With a single parameter, it captures the main feature that the frequencies are linear on the log-log scale. Nevertheless, there have been…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-07-24 Clement Lee , Emma Eastoe , Aiden Farrell

Social networks and other large sparse data sets pose significant challenges for statistical inference, as many standard statistical methods for testing model fit are not applicable in such settings. Algebraic statistics offers a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-01-21 Elizabeth Gross , Sonja Petrović , Despina Stasi

We prove the consistency of the Power-Law Fit PLFit method proposed by Clauset et al.(2009) to estimate the power-law exponent in data coming from a distribution function with regularly-varying tail. In the complex systems community, PLFit…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-18 Ayan Bhattacharya , Bohan Chen , Remco van der Hofstad , Bert Zwart

The size or energy of diverse structures or phenomena in geoscience appears to follow power-law distributions. A rigorous statistical analysis of such observations is tricky, though. Observables can span several orders of magnitude, but the…

地球物理 · 物理学 2019-04-29 Álvaro Corral , Álvaro González

For a parametric model of distributions, the closest distribution in the model to the true distribution located outside the model is considered. Measuring the closeness between two distributions with the Kullback-Leibler (K-L) divergence,…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-14 Yo Sheena

We address the problem of configuring a power distribution network with reliability and resilience objectives by satisfying the demands of the consumers and saturating each production source as little as possible. We consider power…

计算复杂性 · 计算机科学 2023-11-21 Dominique Barth , Thierry Mautor , Dimitri Watel , Marc-Antoine Weisser

We advocate for a practical Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) approach towards designing loss functions for regression and forecasting, as an alternative to the typical approach of direct empirical risk minimization on a specific target…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-12 Pranjal Awasthi , Abhimanyu Das , Rajat Sen , Ananda Theertha Suresh

Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) and Likelihood Ratio Test (LRT) are widely used methods for estimating the transition probability matrix in Markov chains and identifying significant relationships between transitions, such as equality.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-04 Yining Zhou , Ming Gao , Yiting Chen , Xiaoping Shi

Maximum likelihood is the most widely used statistical estimation technique. Recent work by the authors introduced a general methodology for the construction of estimators for functionals in parametric models, and demonstrated improvements…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-09-29 Jiantao Jiao , Kartik Venkat , Yanjun Han , Tsachy Weissman

Maximum-likelihood exponent maps have been studied as a technique to increase the understanding and improve the fit of power-law exponents to experimental and numerical simulation data, especially when they exhibit both upper and lower…

统计力学 · 物理学 2012-07-02 Jordi Baró , Eduard Vives

Research into cascading failures in power-transmission networks requires detailed data on the capacity of individual transmission lines. However, these data are often unavailable to researchers. As a result, line limits are often modelled…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-08-08 Jonathan Bourne , Aidan O'Sullivan , Elsa Arcaute

Real-world networks are generally claimed to be scale-free, meaning that the degree distributions follow the classical power-law, at least asymptotically. Yet, closer observation shows that the classical power-law distribution is often…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-07-18 Swarup Chattopadhyay , Tanujit Chakraborty , Kuntal Ghosh , Asit K. das

Distributed learning of probabilistic models from multiple data repositories with minimum communication is increasingly important. We study a simple communication-efficient learning framework that first calculates the local maximum…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-10-13 Qiang Liu , Alexander Ihler

It was experimentally observed that the majority of real-world networks follow power law degree distribution. The aim of this paper is to study the algorithmic complexity of such "typical" networks. The contribution of this work is twofold.…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2015-07-10 Paweł Brach , Marek Cygan , Jakub Łącki , Piotr Sankowski

Power-law distributions occur in wide variety of physical, biological, and social phenomena. In this paper, we propose a statistical hypothesis test based on the log-likelihood ratio to assess whether two samples of discrete data are drawn…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-03 Alessandro Bessi

Nowadays, data analysis in the world of Big Data is connected typically to data mining, descriptive or exploratory statistics, e.~g.\ cluster analysis, classification or regression analysis. Aside these techniques there is a huge area of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-10-24 Taras Lazariv , Christoph Lehmann