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Ways to give medium- and short-term predictions of solar flares are proposed according to the statistical analysis of events during solar cycle 23. On one hand, the time distribution of both C and M class flares shows two main periods of…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2008-11-17 Z. Q. Qu

The use of the spotless days to predict the future solar activity is here revised based on the new version of the sunspot number index with a 24-month filter. Data from Solar Cycle (SC) 10 are considered because from this solar cycle the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2017-11-15 V. M. S. Carrasco , J. M. Vaquero , M. C. Gallego

The correlation scale and the Taylor scale are evaluated for interplanetary magnetic field fluctuations from two-point, single time correlation function using the Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE), Wind, and Cluster spacecraft data during…

空间物理 · 物理学 2020-08-20 G. Zhou , H. -Q. He , W. Wan

The eleven year solar cycle is known to affect the global modes of solar acoustic oscillations. In particular, p mode frequencies increase with solar activity. We propose a new method to detect the solar cycle from the p-mode…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-12-05 Valeriy Vasilyev , Laurent Gizon

Temporal offsets between the time series of solar activity indicators provide important clues regarding the physical processes responsible for the cyclic variability in the solar atmosphere. Hysteresis patterns generated between any two…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-06-18 K. B. Ramesh , N Vasantharaju

Solar activity has a cyclic nature with the ~11-year Schwabe cycle dominating its variability on the interannual timescale. However, solar cycles are significantly modulated in length, shape and magnitude, from near-spotless grand minima to…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-03-29 Akash Biswas , Bidya Karak , Ilya Usoskin , Eckhard Weisshaar

Characteristic scale is a notion that pervades the geophysical sciences, but it has no widely accepted precise definition. The wavelet transform decomposes a time series into coefficients that are associated with different scales. The…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-07-26 Michael J. Keim , Donald B. Percival

Detailed models of the solar cycle require information about the starting time and rise time as well as the shape and amplitude of the cycle. However, none of these models includes a discussion of the variations in the length of the cycle,…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Michael L. Rogers , Mercedes T. Richards , Donald St. P. Richards

The daily sunspot numbers of the whole disk as well as the northern and southern hemispheres from January 1, 1945 to December 31, 2010 are used to investigate the temporal variation of the rotational cycle length through the continuous…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-06-03 J. -L. Xie , X. -J. Shi , J. -C. Xu

The short-term periodicities of the daily sunspot area fluctuations from August 1923 to October 1933 are discussed. For these data the correlative analysis indicates negative correlation for the periodicity of about 155 days, but the power…

应用统计 · 统计学 2010-09-17 Ryszarda Getko

Fluctuations in nuclear collisions can be measured as a function of momentum-space binning scale over a scale interval bounded by detector two-track resolution and acceptance. Fluctuation scale dependence is related to two-particle…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 T. A. Trainor , R. J. Porter , D. J. Prindle

Recently, Chatterjee has introduced a new coefficient of correlation which has several natural properties. In particular, the coefficient attains its maximal value if and only if one variable is a measurable function of the other variable.…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-10-22 Sky Cao , Peter J. Bickel

Multivariate processes with long-range dependent properties are found in a large number of applications including finance, geophysics and neuroscience. For real data applications, the correlation between time series is crucial. Usual…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-11-02 Sophie Achard , Irène Gannaz

The classical regular and partial autocorrelation functions are powerful tools for stationary time series modelling and analysis. However, it is increasingly recognized that many time series are not stationary and the use of classical…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-10-27 Rebecca Killick , Marina I. Knight , Guy P. Nason , Idris A. Eckley

Sunspot numbers form a comprehensive, long-duration proxy of solar activity and have been used numerous times to empirically investigate the properties of the solar cycle. A number of correlations have been discovered over the 24 cycles for…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-06-11 Yaming Yu , David A. van Dyk , Vinay L. Kashyap , C. Alex Young

Despite the known general properties of the solar cycles, a reliable forecast of the 11-year sunspot number variations is still a problem. The difficulties are caused by the apparent chaotic behavior of the sunspot numbers from cycle to…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-13 I. N. Kitiashvili , A. G. Kosovichev

A ``sandpile'' cellular automaton achieves complex temporal correlations, like a $1/f$ spectrum, if the position where it is perturbed diffuses slowly rather than changing completely at random, showing that the spatial correlations of the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Marco Baiesi , Christian Maes

Prior to 1947, the activity of the Sun was assessed by the relative numbers of sunspots (W). The 10.7 cm radio emission (frequency of 2.8 GHz) for observations of the variability of radiation of chromosphere and the lower corona (F10.7)…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-10-06 E. A. Bruevich , V. V. Bruevich , G. V. Yakunina

Scale-discretised wavelets yield a directional wavelet framework on the sphere where a signal can be probed not only in scale and position but also in orientation. Furthermore, a signal can be synthesised from its wavelet coefficients…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2017-08-17 Jason D. McEwen , Claudio Durastanti , Yves Wiaux

We show that the continuous wavelet transform can provide a unique decomposition of a timeseries in to 'signal-like' and 'noise-like' components: From the overall wavelet spectrum two mutually independent skeleton spectra can be extracted,…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-11-10 J. Polygiannakis , P. Preka-Papadema , X. Moussas