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This paper presents a cross-country comparison of significant predictors of small business failure between Italy and the UK. Financial measures of profitability, leverage, coverage, liquidity, scale and non-financial information are…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-12-18 Galina Andreeva , Raffaella Calabrese , Silvia Angela Osmetti

Interpreting critical variables involved in complex biological processes related to survival time can help understand prediction from survival models, evaluate treatment efficacy, and develop new therapies for patients. Currently, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-03 Xinxing Wu , Chong Peng , Richard Charnigo , Qiang Cheng

In Business Intelligence, accurate predictive modeling is the key for providing adaptive decisions. We studied predictive modeling problems in this research which was motivated by real-world cases that Microsoft data scientists encountered…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-16 Junxuan Li , Yung-wen Liu , Yuting Jia , Yifei Ren , Jay Nanduri

Machine learning models are increasingly being used in critical sectors, but their black-box nature has raised concerns about accountability and trust. The field of explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) or explainable machine learning…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-11-14 Ryan Zhou , Ting Hu

Language models (LMs) perform well on standardized coding benchmarks but struggle with real-world software engineering tasks such as resolving GitHub issues in SWE-Bench, especially when model parameters are less than 100B. While smaller…

We study how large language models can be used to evolve inventory policies in online, non-stationary environments. Our work is motivated by recent advances in LLM-based evolutionary search, such as AlphaEvolve, which demonstrates strong…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Chenyu Huang , Jianghao Lin , Zhengyang Tang , Bo Jiang , Ruoqing Jiang , Benyou Wang , Lai Wei

The rapid adoption of complex Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) models has led to their characterization as black boxes due to the difficulty of explaining their internal decision-making processes. This lack of…

Compared to consumer lending, Micro, Small and Medium Enterprise (mSME) credit risk modelling is particularly challenging, as, often, the same sources of information are not available. Therefore, it is standard policy for a loan officer to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-09 Matthew Stevenson , Christophe Mues , Cristián Bravo

E-commerce platforms increasingly rely on Large Language Models (LLMs) and Vision Language Models (VLMs) to detect illicit or misleading product content. However, these models remain vulnerable to evasive content, which refers to inputs…

Machine learning models on behavioral and textual data can result in highly accurate prediction models, but are often very difficult to interpret. Rule-extraction techniques have been proposed to combine the desired predictive accuracy of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-07-01 Yanou Ramon , David Martens , Theodoros Evgeniou , Stiene Praet

This paper presents PDx, an adaptive, machine learning operations (MLOps) driven decision system for forecasting credit risk using probability of default (PD) modeling in digital lending. While conventional PD models prioritize predictive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-30 Sultan Amed , Chan Yu Hang , Sayantan Banerjee

Modeling policyholders lapse behaviors is important to a life insurer since lapses affect pricing, reserving, profitability, liquidity, risk management, as well as the solvency of the insurer. Lapse risk is indeed the most significant life…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-06-13 Stéphane Loisel , Pierrick Piette , Jason Tsai

Predicting the probability of default (PD) of prospective loans is a critical objective for financial institutions. In recent years, machine learning (ML) algorithms have achieved remarkable success across a wide variety of prediction…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-06-25 Adrian Iulian Cristescu , Matteo Giordano

Empirical researchers increasingly use upstream machine-learning (ML) methods to construct proxies for latent target variables from complex, unstructured data. A naive plug-in use of such proxies in downstream econometric models, however,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-14 Lixiong Li

Machine-learning models are ubiquitous. In some domains, for instance, in medicine, the models' predictions must be interpretable. Decision trees, classification rules, and subgroup discovery are three broad categories of supervised…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-29 Vadim Arzamasov , Benjamin Jochum , Klemens Böhm

MLLMs have demonstrated remarkable comprehension and reasoning capabilities with complex language and visual data. These advances have spurred the vision of establishing a generalist robotic MLLM proficient in understanding complex human…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-11-05 Yang Yue , Yulin Wang , Bingyi Kang , Yizeng Han , Shenzhi Wang , Shiji Song , Jiashi Feng , Gao Huang

Explainable AI (XAI) methods help identify which image regions influence a model's prediction, but often face a trade-off between detail and interpretability. Layer-wise Relevance Propagation (LRP) offers a model-aware alternative. However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-02 Emerald Zhang , Julian Weaver , Samantha R Santacruz , Edward Castillo

Predictive modelling is vital to guide preventive efforts. Whilst large-scale prospective cohort studies and a diverse toolkit of available machine learning (ML) algorithms have facilitated such survival task efforts, choosing the…

This study focuses on the problem of credit default prediction, builds a modeling framework based on machine learning, and conducts comparative experiments on a variety of mainstream classification algorithms. Through preprocessing, feature…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-24 Shiqi Yang , Ziyi Huang , Wengran Xiao , Xinyu Shen

Banks utilize credit scoring as an important indicator of financial strength and eligibility for credit. Scoring models aim to assign statistical odds or probabilities for predicting if there is a risk of nonpayment in relation to many…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2023-03-10 Oguz Koc , Omur Ugur , A. Sevtap Kestel