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We develop an automated variational method for inference in models with Gaussian process (GP) priors and general likelihoods. The method supports multiple outputs and multiple latent functions and does not require detailed knowledge of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-11-06 Edwin V. Bonilla , Karl Krauth , Amir Dezfouli

In this paper, we study the problem of learning multi-dimensional Gaussian Mixture Models (GMMs), with a specific focus on model order selection and efficient mixing distribution estimation. We first establish an information-theoretic lower…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-23 Xinyu Liu , Hai Zhang

Gibbs sampling is a workhorse for Bayesian inference but has several limitations when used for parameter estimation, and is often much slower than non-sampling inference methods. SAME (State Augmentation for Marginal Estimation)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-09-19 Huasha Zhao , Biye Jiang , John Canny

A conventional Bayesian approach to prediction uses the posterior distribution to integrate out parameters in a density for unobserved data conditional on the observed data and parameters. When the true posterior is intractable, it is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-27 Lucas Kock , Scott A. Sisson , G. S. Rodrigues , David J. Nott

Generalized additive models (GAMs) are flexible non-linear regression models, which can be fitted efficiently using the approximate Bayesian methods provided by the mgcv R package. While the GAM methods provided by mgcv are based on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-08 Matteo Fasiolo , Simon N. Wood , Margaux Zaffran , Raphaël Nedellec , Yannig Goude

Network estimation from multi-variate point process or time series data is a problem of fundamental importance. Prior work has focused on parametric approaches that require a known parametric model, which makes estimation procedures less…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-06-30 Yue Gao , Garvesh Raskutti

The Gaussian graphical model (GGM) incorporates an undirected graph to represent the conditional dependence between variables, with the precision matrix encoding partial correlation between pair of variables given the others. To achieve…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-03 Yueqi Qian , Xianghong Hu , Can Yang

Solving high-dimensional Bayesian inverse problems (BIPs) with the variational inference (VI) method is promising but still challenging. The main difficulties arise from two aspects. First, VI methods approximate the posterior distribution…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-02-23 Yingzhi Xia , Qifeng Liao , Jinglai Li

Many modern unsupervised or semi-supervised machine learning algorithms rely on Bayesian probabilistic models. These models are usually intractable and thus require approximate inference. Variational inference (VI) lets us approximate a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-10-24 Cheng Zhang , Judith Butepage , Hedvig Kjellstrom , Stephan Mandt

This paper deals with a network of computing agents aiming to solve an online optimization problem in a distributed fashion, i.e., by means of local computation and communication, without any central coordinator. We propose the gradient…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-09-13 Guido Carnevale , Francesco Farina , Ivano Notarnicola , Giuseppe Notarstefano

We propose a versatile and computationally efficient estimating equation method for a class of hierarchical multiplicative generalized linear mixed models with additive dispersion components, based on explicit modelling of the covariance…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-08-18 René Holst , Bent Jørgensen

Many optimization methods for training variational quantum algorithms are based on estimating gradients of the cost function. Due to the statistical nature of quantum measurements, this estimation requires many circuit evaluations, which is…

量子物理 · 物理学 2022-10-14 Lennart Bittel , Jens Watty , Martin Kliesch

We consider the semi-parametric estimation of a scale parameter of a one-dimensional Gaussian process with known smoothness. We suggest an estimator based on quadratic variations and on the moment method. We provide asymptotic…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-01-22 Jean-Marc Azaïs , François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux , Thi Mong Ngoc Nguyen

The problem of joint estimation of multiple graphical models from high dimensional data has been studied in the statistics and machine learning literature, due to its importance in diverse fields including molecular biology, neuroscience…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-04 Peyman Jalali , Kshitij Khare , George Michailidis

We propose generalized additive partial linear models for complex data which allow one to capture nonlinear patterns of some covariates, in the presence of linear components. The proposed method improves estimation efficiency and increases…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-05-26 Li Wang , Lan Xue , Annie Qu , Hua Liang

Generalized Additive Models (GAMs) can be used to create non-linear glass-box (i.e. explicitly interpretable) models, where the predictive function is fully observable over the complete input space. However, glass-box interpretability…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-22 Nicolas Salvadé , Tim Hillel

Generalized Additive Models (GAMs) balance predictive accuracy and interpretability, but manually configuring their structure is challenging. We propose using the multi-objective genetic algorithm NSGA-II to automatically optimize GAMs,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-19 Kaaustaaub Shankar , Kelly Cohen

This paper proposes a simple and efficient estimation procedure for the model with non-ignorable missing data studied by Morikawa and Kim (2016). Their semiparametrically efficient estimator requires explicit nonparametric estimation and so…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-01-15 Chunrong Ai , Oliver Linton , Zheng Zhang

Many estimators of dynamic discrete choice models with persistent unobserved heterogeneity have desirable statistical properties but are computationally intensive. In this paper we propose a method to quicken estimation for a broad class of…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-04-09 Jackson Bunting , Takuya Ura

Large-scale social simulators are essential for studying complex social patterns. Prior work explores hybrid methods to scale up simulations, combining large language models (LLM)-based agents with numerical agent-based models (ABM).…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-05-11 Xuan Zhou , Yanhui Sun , Hantao Yao , Allen He , Yongdong Zhang , Wu Liu