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相关论文: Bernstein-von Mises Theorem for Sparse Generalized…

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There has been significant progress in Bayesian inference based on sparsity-inducing (e.g., spike-and-slab and horseshoe-type) priors for high-dimensional regression models. The resulting posteriors, however, in general do not possess…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-11 Qihui Chen , Zheng Fang , Ruixuan Liu

We establish a general Bernstein--von Mises theorem for approximately linear semiparametric functionals of fractional posterior distributions based on nonparametric priors. This is illustrated in a number of nonparametric settings and for…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-12 Alice L'Huillier , Luke Travis , Ismaël Castillo , Kolyan Ray

The prominent Bernstein -- von Mises (BvM) result claims that the posterior distribution after centering by the efficient estimator and standardizing by the square root of the total Fisher information is nearly standard normal. In…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-06-02 Vladimir Spokoiny , Maxim Panov

High-dimensional linear models have been widely studied, but the developments in high-dimensional generalized linear models, or GLMs, have been slower. In this paper, we propose an empirical or data-driven prior leading to an empirical…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-07-09 Yiqi Tang , Ryan Martin

In this paper we adopt the familiar sparse, high-dimensional linear regression model and focus on the important but often overlooked task of prediction. In particular, we consider a new empirical Bayes framework that incorporates data in…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-07-28 Ryan Martin , Yiqi Tang

Gaussian approximations are routinely employed in Bayesian statistics to ease inference when the target posterior is intractable. Although these approximations are asymptotically justified by Bernstein-von Mises type results, in practice…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-04-09 Daniele Durante , Francesco Pozza , Botond Szabo

We prove new, general versions of Bernstein-von Mises theorem for both well-specified and misspecified models when the log-likelihood is concave in the parameter and the prior distribution is log-concave. Unlike classical versions of…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-12 Victor-Emmanuel Brunel

Gibbs posteriors are proportional to a prior distribution multiplied by an exponentiated loss function, with a key tuning parameter weighting information in the loss relative to the prior and providing a control of posterior uncertainty.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-09 Steven Winter , Omar Melikechi , David B. Dunson

We consider a sparse linear regression model with unknown symmetric error under the high-dimensional setting. The true error distribution is assumed to belong to the locally $\beta$-H\"{o}lder class with an exponentially decreasing tail,…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-01 Kyoungjae Lee , Minwoo Chae , Lizhen Lin

In a smooth semiparametric model, the marginal posterior distribution of the finite dimensional parameter of interest is expected to be asymptotically equivalent to the sampling distribution of frequentist's efficient estimators. This is…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-10-20 Minwoo Chae

We review the Bayesian theory of semiparametric inference following Bickel and Kleijn (2012) and Kleijn and Knapik (2013). After an overview of efficiency in parametric and semiparametric estimation problems, we consider the Bernstein-von…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-05-22 B. J. K. Kleijn

This paper brings a contribution to the Bayesian theory of nonparametric and semiparametric estimation. We are interested in the asymptotic normality of the posterior distribution in Gaussian linear regression models when the number of…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-03-05 Dominique Bontemps

In a smooth semiparametric estimation problem, the marginal posterior for the parameter of interest is expected to be asymptotically normal and satisfy frequentist criteria of optimality if the model is endowed with a suitable prior. It is…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-05-30 P. J. Bickel , B. J. K. Kleijn

We establish a general semiparametric Bernstein-von Mises theorem for Bayesian nonparametric priors based on continuous observations in a periodic reversible multidimensional diffusion model. We consider a wide range of functionals…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-23 Matteo Giordano , Kolyan Ray

The martingale posterior framework is a generalization of Bayesian inference where one elicits a sequence of one-step ahead predictive densities instead of the likelihood and prior. Posterior sampling then involves the imputation of unseen…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-02 Edwin Fong , Andrew Yiu

In a smooth semi-parametric model, the marginal posterior distribution for a finite dimensional parameter of interest is expected to be asymptotically equivalent to the sampling distribution of any efficient point-estimator. The assertion…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-03-26 Minwoo Chae , Yongdai Kim , Bas Kleijn

Bayesian inference and uncertainty quantification in a general class of non-linear inverse regression models is considered. Analytic conditions on the regression model $\{\mathscr G(\theta): \theta \in \Theta\}$ and on Gaussian process…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-04-16 François Monard , Richard Nickl , Gabriel P. Paternain

The paper develops Bernstein von Mises Theorem under hierarchical $g$ -priors for linear regression models. The results are obtained both when the error variance is known, and also when it is unknown. An inverse gamma prior is attached to…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-01-29 Xiao Fang , Malay Ghosh

Online learning is an inferential paradigm in which parameters are updated incrementally from sequentially available data, in contrast to batch learning, where the entire dataset is processed at once. In this paper, we assume that…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-12 Jeyong Lee , Junhyeok Choi , Minwoo Chae

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the posterior distribution in a broad class of statistical models where the "true" solution occurs on the boundary of the parameter space. We show that in this case Bayesian inference is consistent, and…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-10-02 Natalia A. Bochkina , Peter J. Green
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