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This paper studies binary logistic regression for rare events data, or imbalanced data, where the number of events (observations in one class, often called cases) is significantly smaller than the number of nonevents (observations in the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-02 HaiYing Wang

Probabilistic models analyze data by relying on a set of assumptions. Data that exhibit deviations from these assumptions can undermine inference and prediction quality. Robust models offer protection against mismatch between a model's…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-06-20 Yixin Wang , Alp Kucukelbir , David M. Blei

When we are interested in high-dimensional system and focus on classification performance, the $\ell_{1}$-penalized logistic regression is becoming important and popular. However, the Lasso estimates could be problematic when penalties of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-12 Huamei Huang , Yujing Gao , Huiming Zhang , Bo Li

Logistic regression models for binomial responses are routinely used in statistical practice. However, the maximum likelihood estimate may not exist due to data separability. We address this issue by considering a conjugate prior penalty…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-18 Tommaso Rigon , Emanuele Aliverti

In this paper we discuss how to evaluate the differences between fitted logistic regression models across sub-populations. Our motivating example is in studying computerized diagnosis for learning disabilities, where sub-populations based…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-24 Guy Ashiri-Prossner , Yuval Benjamini

By means of two simple convexity arguments we are able to develop a general method for proving consistency and asymptotic normality of estimators that are defined by minimisation of convex criterion functions. This method is then applied to…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-07-20 Nils Lid Hjort , David Pollard

The logistic regression estimator is known to inflate the magnitude of its coefficients if the sample size $n$ is small, the dimension $p$ is (moderately) large or the signal-to-noise ratio $1/\sigma$ is large (probabilities of observing a…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-03-01 Felix Kuchelmeister , Sara van de Geer

Accurate statistical inference in logistic regression models remains a critical challenge when the ratio between the number of parameters and sample size is not negligible. This is because approximations based on either classical asymptotic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-19 Qian Zhao , Emmanuel J. Candes

Empirical economic research frequently applies maximum likelihood estimation in cases where the likelihood function is analytically intractable. Most of the theoretical literature focuses on maximum simulated likelihood (MSL) estimators,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-08-13 Michael Griebel , Florian Heiss , Jens Oettershagen , Constantin Weiser

In this article the issues are discussed with the Bayesian approach, least-square fits, and most-likely fits. Trying to counter these issues, a method, based on weighted confidence, is proposed for estimating probabilities and other…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-01-26 Fetze Pijlman

We propose an iterative estimating equations procedure for analysis of longitudinal data. We show that, under very mild conditions, the probability that the procedure converges at an exponential rate tends to one as the sample size…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-12-18 Jiming Jiang , Yihui Luan , You-Gan Wang

The majority of machine learning methods can be regarded as the minimization of an unavailable risk function. To optimize the latter, given samples provided in a streaming fashion, we define a general stochastic Newton algorithm and its…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-06-30 Claire Boyer , Antoine Godichon-Baggioni

In fitting a mixture of linear regression models, normal assumption is traditionally used to model the error and then regression parameters are estimated by the maximum likelihood estimators (MLE). This procedure is not valid if the normal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-11-06 Yanyuan Ma , Shaoli Wang , Lin Xu , Weixin Yao

It is well known that models used in conventional regression analysis are commonly misspecified. A standard response is little more than a shrug. Data analysts invoke Box's maxim that all models are wrong and then proceed as if the results…

Estimating the parameters of a probabilistic directed graphical model from incomplete data is a long-standing challenge. This is because, in the presence of latent variables, both the likelihood function and posterior distribution are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-04 Vy Vo , Trung Le , Tung-Long Vuong , He Zhao , Edwin Bonilla , Dinh Phung

Spectral learning recently generated lots of excitement in machine learning, largely because it is the first known method to produce consistent estimates (under suitable conditions) for several latent variable models. In contrast, maximum…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-06-19 Han Zhao , Pascal Poupart

Logistic regression is a widely used method in several fields. When applying logistic regression to imbalanced data, for which majority classes dominate over minority classes, all class labels are estimated as `majority class.' In this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-20 Masaaki Okabe , Jun Tsuchida , Hiroshi Yadohisa

Consider a set of categorical variables $\mathcal{P}$ where at least one, denoted by $Y$, is binary. The log-linear model that describes the counts in the resulting contingency table implies a specific logistic regression model, with the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-12-04 Wei Jing , Michail Papathomas

Maximum likelihood estimation has been extensively used in the joint analysis of repeated measurements and survival time. However, there is a lack of theoretical justification of the asymptotic properties for the maximum likelihood…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Donglin Zeng , Jianwen Cai

Variational methods for parameter estimation are an active research area, potentially offering computationally tractable heuristics with theoretical performance bounds. We build on recent work that applies such methods to network data, and…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-10-30 Peter Bickel , David Choi , Xiangyu Chang , Hai Zhang