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Electricity market prices exhibit extreme volatility, nonlinearity, and non-stationarity, making accurate forecasting a significant challenge. While cutting-edge time series foundation models (TSFMs) effectively capture temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-10 Yunzhong Qiu , Binzhu Li , Hao Wei , Shenglin Weng , Chen Wang , Zhongyi Pei , Mingsheng Long , Jianmin Wang

Modern foundation models often undergo iterative ``bootstrapping'' in their post-training phase: a model generates synthetic data, an external verifier filters out low-quality samples, and the high-quality subset is used for further…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-17 Pu Yang , Yunzhen Feng , Ziyuan Chen , Yuhang Wu , Zhuoyuan Li

Shapley values have become a cornerstone of explainable AI, but they are computationally expensive to use, especially when features are dependent. Evaluating them requires approximating a large number of conditional expectations, either via…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-02-11 Lars Henry Berge Olsen , Dennis Christensen

Network structure is growing popular for capturing the intrinsic relationship between large-scale variables. In the paper we propose to improve the estimation accuracy for large-dimensional factor model when a network structure between…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-30 Long Yu , Yong He , Xinsheng Zhang , Ji Zhu

Tabular datasets are inherently heterogeneous, presenting significant challenges for developing pre-trained foundation models. The recently introduced transformer-based Tabular Prior-data Fitted Network v2 (TabPFN v2) achieves unprecedented…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-12 Han-Jia Ye , Si-Yang Liu , Wei-Lun Chao

Choice modeling is at the core of understanding how changes to the competitive landscape affect consumer choices and reshape market equilibria. In this paper, we propose a fundamental characterization of choice functions that encompasses a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-02-21 Amandeep Singh , Ye Liu , Hema Yoganarasimhan

We study the utilitarian distortion of social choice mechanisms under the recently proposed learning-augmented framework where some (possibly unreliable) predicted information about the preferences of the agents is given as input. In…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2025-02-11 Aris Filos-Ratsikas , Georgios Kalantzis , Alexandros A. Voudouris

Predicting the price of used vehicles is a more interesting and needed problem by many users. Vehicle price prediction can be a challenging task due to the high number of attributes that should be considered for accurate prediction. The…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-22 Auwal Tijjani Amshi

Fluid approximation is a widely used approach for solving two-stage stochastic optimization problems, with broad applications in service system design such as call centers and healthcare operations. However, replacing the underlying random…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-12-19 Can Er , Mo Liu

Foundation models are premised on the idea that sequence prediction can uncover deeper domain understanding, much like how Kepler's predictions of planetary motion later led to the discovery of Newtonian mechanics. However, evaluating…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-30 Keyon Vafa , Peter G. Chang , Ashesh Rambachan , Sendhil Mullainathan

Discrete-choice models, such as Multinomial Logit, Probit, or Mixed-Logit, are widely used in Marketing, Economics, and Operations Research: given a set of alternatives, the customer is modeled as choosing one of the alternatives to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-16 Hanzhao Wang , Xiaocheng Li , Kalyan Talluri

Uplift modeling is a key technique for promotion optimization in recommender systems, but standard methods typically fail to account for interference, where treating one item affects the outcomes of others. This violation of the Stable Unit…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Bram van den Akker

Dynamic pricing is crucial in sectors like e-commerce and transportation, balancing exploration of demand patterns and exploitation of pricing strategies. Existing methods often require precise knowledge of the demand function, e.g., the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-04 Xueping Gong , Jiheng Zhang

Predictive modeling on tabular data is the cornerstone of many real-world applications. Although gradient boosting machines and some recent deep models achieve strong performance on tabular data, they often lack interpretability. On the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-01 Tommy Xu , Zhitian Zhang , Xiangyu Sun , Lauren Kelly Zung , Hossein Hajimirsadeghi , Greg Mori

Performative prediction is a recently proposed framework where predictions guide decision-making and hence influence future data distributions. Such performative phenomena are ubiquitous in various areas, such as transportation, finance,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-25 Wenjing Yan , Xuanyu Cao

Generative modelling is a demanding test of foundation models, because it requires robust, holistic representation learning for a given data modality, rather than optimisation for a supervised prediction target alone. While recent work on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Xiangjian Jiang , Mingxuan Liu , Nikola Simidjievski , Tassilo Klein , Mateja Jamnik

We introduce a causal aware foundation-model framework for real time optimal decision making in discrete choice environments. We propose a constrained triple-head price optimization (C3PO) network to solve a bilevel decision problem in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-11 Shivaram Subramanian , Zhengliang Xue , Markus Ettl , Yingdong Lu , Jayant Kalagnanam

With promising empirical performance across a wide range of applications, synthetic data augmentation appears a viable solution to data scarcity and the demands of increasingly data-intensive models. Its effectiveness lies in expanding the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-02 Zixuan Wu , So Won Jeong , Yating Liu , Yeo Jin Jung , Claire Donnat

The output of predictive models is routinely recalibrated by reconciling low-level predictions with known derived quantities defined at higher levels of aggregation. For example, models predicting turnout probabilities at the individual…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-14 Evan T. R. Rosenman , Santiago Olivella

Multiple machine learning and prediction models are often used for the same prediction or recommendation task. In our recent work, where we develop and deploy airline ancillary pricing models in an online setting, we found that among…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-05-23 Naman Shukla , Arinbjörn Kolbeinsson , Lavanya Marla , Kartik Yellepeddi