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With the rapid advance of wide-field surveys it is increasingly important to perform combined cosmological probe analyses. We present a new pipeline for simulation-based multi-probe analyses, which combines tomographic large-scale structure…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2023-12-07 Alexander Reeves , Andrina Nicola , Alexandre Refregier , Tomasz Kacprzak , Luis Fernando Machado Poletti Valle

Identifying the parameters of a non-linear model that best explain observed data is a core task across scientific fields. When such models rely on complex simulators, evaluating the likelihood is typically intractable, making traditional…

We present a comparison of simulation-based inference to full, field-based analytical inference in cosmological data analysis. To do so, we explore parameter inference for two cases where the information content is calculable analytically:…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2021-12-08 T. Lucas Makinen , Tom Charnock , Justin Alsing , Benjamin D. Wandelt

The number density of galaxy clusters across mass and redshift has been established as a powerful cosmological probe. Cosmological analyses with galaxy clusters traditionally employ scaling relations. However, many challenges arise from…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2025-01-08 M. Kosiba , N. Cerardi , M. Pierre , F. Lanusse , C. Garrel , N. Werner , M. Shalak

The observed large-scale structure of the Universe is not a direct measure on the underlying distribution of matter. These observations are subtly distorted by gravitational lensing effects, which leave imprints on the statistical…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2026-04-01 T. Sinde , J. Fonseca

Astrophysical processes such as feedback from supernovae and active galactic nuclei modify the properties and spatial distribution of dark matter, gas, and galaxies in a poorly understood way. This uncertainty is one of the main theoretical…

Simulation-Based Inference (SBI) is an approach to statistical inference where simulations from an assumed model are used to construct estimators and confidence sets. SBI is often used when the likelihood is intractable and to construct…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-05 Lorenzo Tomaselli , Valérie Ventura , Larry Wasserman

Most cosmic shear analyses to date have relied on summary statistics (e.g. $\xi_+$ and $\xi_-$). These types of analyses are necessarily sub-optimal, as the use of summary statistics is lossy. In this paper, we forward-model the convergence…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2022-04-29 Supranta Sarma Boruah , Eduardo Rozo , Pier Fiedorowicz

We advocate for a new paradigm of cosmological likelihood-based inference, leveraging recent developments in machine learning and its underlying technology, to accelerate Bayesian inference in high-dimensional settings. Specifically, we…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2024-09-06 Davide Piras , Alicja Polanska , Alessio Spurio Mancini , Matthew A. Price , Jason D. McEwen

When a statistical model $\{P_{\theta} : \theta \in \Theta\}$ lacks analytically tractable likelihoods, parametric statistical inference based on data generated from an unknown underlying distribution $P$ can still be performed as long as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-19 Peter Matthew Jacobs , Lekha Patel , Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati

Some of the issues that make sampling parameter spaces of various beyond the Standard Model (BSM) scenarios computationally expensive are the high dimensionality of the input parameter space, complex likelihoods, and stringent experimental…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2026-02-16 Atrideb Chatterjee , Arghya Choudhury , Sourav Mitra , Arpita Mondal , Subhadeep Mondal

We present cosmological constraints from weak lensing with the Subaru Hyper Suprime-Cam (HSC) first-year (Y1) data, using a simulation-based inference (SBI) method. % We explore the performance of a set of higher-order statistics (HOS)…

We extend field-level inference to jointly constrain the cosmological parameters $\{A,\omega_{\rm cdm},H_0\}$, in both real and redshift space. Our analyses are based on mock data generated using a perturbative forward model, with noise…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2025-09-25 Kazuyuki Akitsu , Marko Simonović , Shi-Fan Chen , Giovanni Cabass , Matias Zaldarriaga

Computational models are invaluable in capturing the complexities of real-world biological processes. Yet, the selection of appropriate algorithms for inference tasks, especially when dealing with real-world observational data, remains a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-10-01 Xiaoyu Wang , Ryan P. Kelly , Adrianne L. Jenner , David J. Warne , Christopher Drovandi

Ground and space-based sky surveys enable powerful cosmological probes based on measurements of galaxy properties and the distribution of galaxies in the Universe. These probes include weak lensing, baryon acoustic oscillations, abundance…

We present FlowSN, a statistical framework using simulation-based inference (SBI) with normalising flows to account for selection effects in observational astronomy. Failure to account for selection effects can lead to biased inference on…

Cosmological field-level inference requires differentiable forward models that solve the challenging dynamics of gas and dark matter under hydrodynamics and gravity. We propose a hybrid approach where gravitational forces are computed using…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2025-10-31 Arne Thomsen , Tilman Tröster , François Lanusse

Field-level inference has emerged as a promising framework to fully harness the cosmological information encoded in next-generation galaxy surveys. It involves performing Bayesian inference to jointly estimate the cosmological parameters…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2025-12-19 Hugo Simon , François Lanusse , Arnaud de Mattia

Simulation-Based Inference (SBI) deals with statistical inference in problems where the data are generated from a system that is described by a complex stochastic simulator. The challenge for inference in these problems is that the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-04-17 David Refaeli , Mira Marcus-Kalish , David M. Steinberg

We present a study on the inference of cosmological and astrophysical parameters using stacked galaxy cluster profiles. Utilizing the CAMELS-zoomGZ simulations, we explore how various cluster properties--such as X-ray surface brightness,…