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We propose a new framework for how to use sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms for inference in probabilistic graphical models (PGM). Via a sequential decomposition of the PGM we find a sequence of auxiliary distributions defined on a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-10-07 Christian A. Naesseth , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

Particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo (PMCMC) is a general computational approach to Bayesian inference for general state space models. Our article scales up PMCMC in terms of the number of observations and parameters by generating the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-04 David Gunawan , Chris Carter , Robert Kohn

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) has transformed Bayesian model inference over the past three decades: mainly because of this, Bayesian inference is now a workhorse of applied scientists. Under general conditions, MCMC sampling converges…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-20 Ben Lambert , Aki Vehtari

In many situations it is important to be able to propose $N$ independent realizations of a given distribution law. We propose a strategy for making $N$ parallel Monte Carlo Markov Chains (MCMC) interact in order to get an approximation of…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Fabien Campillo , Vivien Rossi

For Bayesian computation in big data contexts, the divide-and-conquer MCMC concept splits the whole data set into batches, runs MCMC algorithms separately over each batch to produce samples of parameters, and combines them to produce an…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-11-25 Wu Changye , Christian P. Robert

As it has become common to use many computer cores in routine applications, finding good ways to parallelize popular algorithms has become increasingly important. In this paper, we present a parallelization scheme for Markov chain Monte…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-06-01 Guillaume W. Basse , Natesh S. Pillai , Aaron Smith

Monte Carlo methods represent the "de facto" standard for approximating complicated integrals involving multidimensional target distributions. In order to generate random realizations from the target distribution, Monte Carlo techniques use…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-01-21 L. Martino , V. Elvira , D. Luengo , J. Corander

Bayesian inference for Markov jump processes (MJPs) where available observations relate to either system states or jumps typically relies on data-augmentation Markov Chain Monte Carlo. State-of-the-art developments involve representing MJP…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-04-18 Iker Perez , Theodore Kypraios

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) provides a feasible method for inferring Hidden Markov models, however, it is often computationally prohibitive, especially constrained by the curse of dimensionality, as the Monte Carlo sampler traverses…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-09-13 Xiongming Dai , Gerald Baumgartner

This work systematically compares parallel implementations of consistent (asymptotically unbiased) Bayesian deep learning algorithms: sequential Monte Carlo sampler (SMC$_\parallel$) or Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC$_\parallel$). We…

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods provide consistent of integrals as the number of iterations goes to infinity. MCMC estimators are generally biased after any fixed number of iterations. We propose to remove this bias by using…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-18 Pierre E. Jacob , John O'Leary , Yves F. Atchadé

Many recent Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) samplers leverage continuous dynamics to define a transition kernel that efficiently explores a target distribution. In tandem, a focus has been on devising scalable variants that subsample the…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-11-03 Yi-An Ma , Tianqi Chen , Emily B. Fox

Multi-state models of cancer natural history are widely used for designing and evaluating cancer early detection strategies. Calibrating such models against longitudinal data from screened cohorts is challenging, especially when fitting…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-08-14 Raphael Morsomme , Shannon Holloway , Marc Ryser , Jason Xu

In this article we consider Bayesian parameter inference associated to partially-observed stochastic processes that start from a set B0 and are stopped or killed at the first hitting time of a known set A. Such processes occur naturally…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-01-19 Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas

We introduce a probabilistic framework for two-sample comparison based on a nonparametric process taking the form of a Markov model that transitions between a "divide" and a "merge" state on a multi-resolution partition tree of the sample…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-05-30 Jacopo Soriano , Li Ma

Most genome assemblers construct point estimates, choosing a genome sequence from among many alternative hypotheses that are supported by the data. We present a Markov Chain Monte Carlo approach to sequence assembly that instead generates…

基因组学 · 定量生物学 2014-06-30 Mark Howison , Felipe Zapata , Erika J. Edwards , Casey W. Dunn

In this paper we develop a general framework for constructing and analysing coupled Markov chain Monte Carlo samplers, allowing for both (possibly degenerate) diffusion and piecewise deterministic Markov processes. For many performance…

概率论 · 数学 2018-06-29 N. Nuesken , G. A. Pavliotis

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) samplers are numerical methods for drawing samples from a given target probability distribution. We discuss one particular MCMC sampler, the MALA-within-Gibbs sampler, from the theoretical and practical…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-03-19 X. T. Tong , M. Morzfeld , Y. M. Marzouk

Sequential Monte Carlo samplers represent a compelling approach to posterior inference in Bayesian models, due to being parallelisable and providing an unbiased estimate of the posterior normalising constant. In this work, we significantly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-24 Samuel Duffield , Sumeetpal S. Singh

Bayesian max-margin models have shown superiority in various practical applications, such as text categorization, collaborative prediction, social network link prediction and crowdsourcing, and they conjoin the flexibility of Bayesian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-10-19 Wenbo Hu , Jun Zhu , Bo Zhang