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The search for gamma-ray counterparts to gravitational-wave events with the CALET Gamma-ray Burst Monitor (CGBM) requires accurate and robust background modeling. Previous CALET observing runs (O3 and O4) relied on averaged pre/post-event…

高能天体物理现象 · 物理学 2025-11-20 Bisweswar Sen

Expected improvement (EI) is one of the most widely used acquisition functions in Bayesian optimization (BO). Despite its proven success in applications for decades, important open questions remain on the theoretical convergence behaviors…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-13 Jingyi Wang , Haowei Wang , Nai-Yuan Chiang , Cosmin G. Petra

In this work, we study scaling limits of shallow Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) via their connection to Gaussian processes (GPs), with an emphasis on statistical modeling, identifiability, and scalable inference. We first establish a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-27 Gracielle Antunes de Araújo , Flávio B. Gonçalves

Bayesian optimisation (BO) is a powerful framework for global optimisation of costly functions, using predictions from Gaussian process models (GPs). In this work, we apply BO to functions that exhibit invariance to a known group of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-23 Theodore Brown , Alexandru Cioba , Ilija Bogunovic

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a Bayesian nonparametric method for regression and interpolation, offering a principled way of quantifying the uncertainties of predicted function values. For the quantified uncertainties to be…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-22 Masha Naslidnyk , Motonobu Kanagawa , Toni Karvonen , Maren Mahsereci

Standard Gaussian Process (GP) regression, a powerful machine learning tool, is computationally expensive when it is applied to large datasets, and potentially inaccurate when data points are sparsely distributed in a high-dimensional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-03-08 Z. Zhang , K. Duraisamy , N. A. Gumerov

We study how the posterior contraction rate under a Gaussian process (GP) prior depends on the intrinsic dimension of the predictors and the smoothness of the regression function. An open question is whether a generic GP prior that does not…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-26 Tao Tang , Nan Wu , Xiuyuan Cheng , David Dunson

The Bayesian transformed Gaussian process (BTG) model, proposed by Kedem and Oliviera, is a fully Bayesian counterpart to the warped Gaussian process (WGP) and marginalizes out a joint prior over input warping and kernel hyperparameters.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-21 Xinran Zhu , Leo Huang , Cameron Ibrahim , Eric Hans Lee , David Bindel

Bayesian optimization (BO) has been widely used to optimize expensive and black-box functions across various domains. However, existing BO methods have not addressed tensor-output functions. To fill this gap, we propose a novel…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-03 Jingru Huang , Haijie Xu , Jie Guo , Manrui Jiang , Chen Zhang

Variational inference techniques based on inducing variables provide an elegant framework for scalable posterior estimation in Gaussian process (GP) models. Besides enabling scalability, one of their main advantages over sparse…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-24 Simone Rossi , Markus Heinonen , Edwin V. Bonilla , Zheyang Shen , Maurizio Filippone

Bayesian optimal experimental design (BOED) selects experiments to maximize information gain about model parameters. However, in decision-critical settings, reducing parameter uncertainty does not necessarily improve downstream decisions,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Jinwoo Go , Xiaoning Qian , Byung-Jun Yoon

Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a framework for Bayesian inference that can offer principled uncertainty estimates for a large range of problems. For example, if we consider regression problems with Gaussian likelihoods, a GP model enjoys…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-21 Felix Leibfried , Vincent Dutordoir , ST John , Nicolas Durrande

Bayesian optimization has become a fundamental global optimization algorithm in many problems where sample efficiency is of paramount importance. Recently, there has been proposed a large number of new applications in fields such as…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2019-02-06 Ruben Martinez-Cantin

Preferential Bayesian optimisation (PBO) deals with optimisation problems where the objective function can only be accessed via preference judgments, such as "this is better than that" between two candidate solutions (like in A/B tests or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-02 Alessio Benavoli , Dario Azzimonti , Dario Piga

Bayesian optimization (BO), which uses a Gaussian process (GP) as a surrogate to model its objective function, is popular for black-box optimization. However, due to the limitations of GPs, BO underperforms in some problems such as those…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-14 Zhongxiang Dai , Yao Shu , Bryan Kian Hsiang Low , Patrick Jaillet

Bayesian optimization usually assumes that a Bayesian prior is given. However, the strong theoretical guarantees in Bayesian optimization are often regrettably compromised in practice because of unknown parameters in the prior. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-26 Zi Wang , Beomjoon Kim , Leslie Pack Kaelbling

We present a planning framework for minimising the deterministic worst-case error in sparse Gaussian process (GP) regression. We first derive a universal worst-case error bound for sparse GP regression with bounded noise using interpolation…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-01-25 Jennifer Wakulicz , Ki Myung Brian Lee , Chanyeol Yoo , Teresa Vidal-Calleja , Robert Fitch

Approximations are commonly employed in realistic applications of scientific Bayesian inference, often due to convenience if not necessity. In the field of gravitational-wave (GW) data analysis, fast-to-evaluate but approximate waveform…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2024-04-03 Ruiting Mao , Jeong Eun Lee , Ollie Burke , Alvin J. K. Chua , Matthew C. Edwards , Renate Meyer

Gaussian process (GP) bandits provide a powerful framework for performing blackbox optimization of unknown functions. The characteristics of the unknown function depend heavily on the assumed GP prior. Most work in the literature assume…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-13 Jack Sandberg , Morteza Haghir Chehreghani

Inference for GP models with non-Gaussian noises is computationally expensive when dealing with large datasets. Many recent inference methods approximate the posterior distribution with a simpler distribution defined on a small number of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-09-11 Linfeng Liu , Liping Liu
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