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We consider causal inference in the presence of unobserved confounding. We study the case where a proxy is available for the unobserved confounding in the form of a network connecting the units. For example, the link structure of a social…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-06-03 Victor Veitch , Yixin Wang , David M. Blei

Understanding and adequately assessing the difference between a true and a learnt causal graphs is crucial for causal inference under interventions. As an extension to the graph-based structural Hamming distance and structural intervention…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-08-01 Mihir Dhanakshirur , Felix Laumann , Junhyung Park , Mauricio Barahona

We consider the estimation of average treatment effects in observational studies and propose a new framework of robust causal inference with unobserved confounders. Our approach is based on distributionally robust optimization and proceeds…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-06 Dimitris Bertsimas , Kosuke Imai , Michael Lingzhi Li

We consider causal models with two observed variables and one latent variables, each variable being discrete, with the goal of characterizing the possible distributions on outcomes that can result from controlling one of the observed…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2021-03-05 Kevin Shu

We study the problem of separating a mixture of distributions, all of which come from interventions on a known causal bayesian network. Given oracle access to marginals of all distributions resulting from interventions on the network, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-16 Gaurav Sinha , Ayush Chauhan , Aurghya Maiti , Naman Poddar , Pulkit Goel

In causal inference, principal stratification is a framework for dealing with a posttreatment intermediate variable between a treatment and an outcome, in which the principal strata are defined by the joint potential values of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-20 Zhichao Jiang , Peng Ding

Diffusion bridge models have recently become a powerful tool in the field of generative modeling. In this work, we leverage their power to address another important problem in machine learning and information theory, the estimation of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-02 Sergei Kholkin , Ivan Butakov , Evgeny Burnaev , Nikita Gushchin , Alexander Korotin

Causal intervention is an essential tool in causal inference. It is axiomatized under the rules of do-calculus in the case of structure causal models. We provide simple axiomatizations for families of probability distributions to be…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-11-15 Kayvan Sadeghi , Terry Soo

Causal effect estimation in networked systems is central to data-driven decision making. In such settings, interventions on one unit can spill over to others, and in complex physical or social systems, the interaction pathways driving these…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-27 Sadegh Shirani , Mohsen Bayati

If $X,Y,Z$ denote sets of random variables, two different data sources may contain samples from $P_{X,Y}$ and $P_{Y,Z}$, respectively. We argue that causal inference can help inferring properties of the 'unobserved joint distributions'…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-05-18 Dominik Janzing

Diffusion bridge models establish probabilistic paths between arbitrary paired distributions and exhibit great potential for universal image restoration. Most existing methods merely treat them as simple variants of stochastic interpolants,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-04 Hebaixu Wang , Jing Zhang , Haoyang Chen , Haonan Guo , Di Wang , Jiayi Ma , Bo Du

This dissertation focuses on modern causal inference under uncertainty and data restrictions, with applications to neoadjuvant clinical trials, distributed data networks, and robust individualized decision making. In the first project, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-24 Xiaoqing Tan

We consider linear structural equation models with explicitly modelled latent variables. In such models, observed and latent variables solve linear equations including stochastic noise terms. The goal of our work is to identify the direct…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-28 Tom Hochsprung , Nils Sturma , Jakob Runge , Mathias Drton , Andreas Gerhardus

Predictive risk scores estimating probabilities for a binary outcome on the basis of observed covariates are common across the sciences. They are frequently developed with the intent of avoiding the outcome in question by intervening in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-26 James Liley

Modern causal decision-making increasingly demands individualized treatment-effect estimation in networks where interventions are high-dimensional, combinatorial vectors. While network interference, effect heterogeneity, and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-24 Yunping Lu , Haoang Chi , Qirui Hu , Zhiheng Zhang

Incorporating causal knowledge and mechanisms is essential for refining causal models and improving downstream tasks such as designing new treatments. In this paper, we introduce a novel concept in causal discovery, termed interventional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-31 Zhigao Guo , Feng Dong

Unmeasured confounding and selection bias are often of concern in observational studies and may invalidate a causal analysis if not appropriately accounted for. Under outcome-dependent sampling, a latent factor that has causal effects on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-03 Kendrick Qijun Li , Xu Shi , Wang Miao , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Recently Whitaker et al. (2017) considered Bayesian estimation of diffusion driven mixed effects models using data-augmentation. The missing data, diffusion bridges connecting discrete time observations, are drawn using a "residual bridge…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-08-17 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer

Extracting causal relationships from observed correlations is a growing area in probabilistic reasoning, originating with the seminal work of Pearl and others from the early 1990s. This paper develops a new, categorically oriented view…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2019-07-30 Bart Jacobs , Aleks Kissinger , Fabio Zanasi

The invariance properties of interventional distributions relative to the observational distribution, and how these properties allow us to refine Markov equivalence classes (MECs) of DAGs, is central to causal DAG discovery algorithms that…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-06-09 Liam Solus