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This paper presents a new model for characterising temporal dependence in exceedances above a threshold. The model is based on the class of trawl processes, which are stationary, infinitely divisible stochastic processes. The model for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-12-19 Ragnhild C. Noven , Almut E. D. Veraart , Axel Gandy

We propose a new method for (global) Hurst exponent determination based on wavelets. Using this method, we analyze synthetic data with predefined Hurst exponents, fracture surfaces and data from economy. The results are compared with those…

材料科学 · 物理学 2010-05-04 Ingve Simonsen , Alex Hansen , Olav Magnar Nes

This paper introduces a linear state-space model with time-varying dynamics. The time dependency is obtained by forming the state dynamics matrix as a time-varying linear combination of a set of matrices. The time dependency of the weights…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-10-06 Jaakko Luttinen , Tapani Raiko , Alexander Ilin

There exists a wide literature on modelling strongly dependent time series using a longmemory parameter d, including more recent work on semiparametric wavelet estimation. As a generalization of these latter approaches, in this work we…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-07-28 François Roueff , Rainer Von Sachs

We propose a novel framework to investigate lead-lag relationships between two financial assets. Our framework bridges a gap between continuous-time modeling based on Brownian motion and the existing wavelet methods for lead-lag analysis…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-11-13 Takaki Hayashi , Yuta Koike

Autonomous detection of desired events from large databases using time series classification is becoming increasingly important in civil engineering as a result of continued long-term health monitoring of a large number of engineering…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-19 Monica Arul , Ahsan Kareem

The complexity of adaptive control of nonlinear time-varying systems requires the use of novel methods that have lower computational complexity as well as ensuring good performance under time-varying parameter changes. In this study, we use…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2018-07-24 Hamid Khodabandehlou

Deep tabular models have demonstrated remarkable success on i.i.d. data, excelling in a variety of structured data tasks. However, their performance often deteriorates under temporal distribution shifts, where trends and periodic patterns…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-04 Hao-Run Cai , Han-Jia Ye

Time-varying parameter (TVP) regressions commonly assume that time-variation in the coefficients is determined by a simple stochastic process such as a random walk. While such models are capable of capturing a wide range of dynamic…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-03-01 Manfred M. Fischer , Niko Hauzenberger , Florian Huber , Michael Pfarrhofer

We consider a class of Cox models with time-dependent effects that may be zero over certain unknown time regions or, in short, sparse time-varying effects. The model is particularly useful for biomedical studies as it conveniently depicts…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-02 Yuan Yang , Jian Kang , Yi Li

Synthetic turbulence models are a useful tool that provide realistic representations of turbulence, necessary to test theoretical results, to serve as background fields in some numerical simulations, and to test analysis tools. Models of 1D…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2016-11-15 Francesco Malara , Francesca Di Mare , Giuseppina Nigro , Luca Sorriso-Valvo

We present a general M-estimation framework for inference on the wavelet variance. This framework generalizes the results on the scale-wise properties of the standard estimator and extends them to deliver the joint asymptotic properties of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-07-21 Stéphane Guerrier , Roberto Molinari

Wavelet based algorithms in numerical analysis are similar to other transform methods in that vectors and operators are expanded into a basis and the computations take place in this new system of coordinates. However, due to the recursive…

comp-gas · 物理学 2008-02-03 G. Beylkin

Due to the inherent complexity, temporal patterns in real-world time series often evolve across multiple intertwined scales, including long-term periodicity, short-term fluctuations, and abrupt regime shifts. While existing literature has…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-25 Yubo Wang , Hui He , Chaoxi Niu , Zhendong Niu

We introduce a high-dimensional factor model with time-varying loadings. We cover both stationary and nonstationary factors to increase the possibilities of applications. We propose an estimation procedure based on two stages. First, we…

This work introduces a formulation of resolvent analysis that uses wavelet transforms rather than Fourier transforms in time. Under this formulation, resolvent analysis may extend to turbulent flows with non-stationary mean states; the…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2024-11-20 Eric Ballouz , Barbara Lopez-Doriga , Scott T. M. Dawson , H. Jane Bae

We describe a simple automated method to extract and quantify transient heterogeneous dynamical changes from large datasets generated in single molecule/particle tracking experiments. Based on wavelet transform, the method transforms raw…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2013-06-04 Kejia Chen , Bo Wang , Juan Guan , Steve Granick

Time series shapelets are discriminative subsequences and their similarity to a time series can be used for time series classification. Since the discovery of time series shapelets is costly in terms of time, the applicability on long or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-03-18 Martin Wistuba , Josif Grabocka , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

For the challenging task of modeling multivariate time series, we propose a new class of models that use dependent Mat\'ern processes to capture the underlying structure of data, explain their interdependencies, and predict their unknown…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-02-13 Alexander Vandenberg-Rodes , Babak Shahbaba

Effective utilization of time series data is often constrained by the scarcity of data quantity that reflects complex dynamics, especially under the condition of distributional shifts. Existing datasets may not encompass the full range of…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-06-11 Haibei Zhu , Yousef El-Laham , Elizabeth Fons , Svitlana Vyetrenko