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Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) offers broad utility in practical settings like energy consumption and weather prediction. Accurately predicting long-term changes, however, is demanding due to the intricate temporal patterns and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-19 Boshi Gao , Qingjian Ni , Fanbo Ju , Yu Chen , Ziqi Zhao

Load forecasting is an integral part of power system operations and planning. Due to the increasing penetration of rooftop PV, electric vehicles and demand response applications, forecasting the load of individual and a small group of…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-06-19 Ling Zhang , Baosen Zhang

Multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF) plays a vital role in numerous real-world applications, yet existing models remain constrained by their reliance on a limited historical context. This limitation prevents them from effectively…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-12 Fanpu Cao , Lu Dai , Jindong Han , Hui Xiong

Recent efforts have been dedicated to enhancing time series forecasting accuracy by introducing advanced network architectures and self-supervised pretraining strategies. Nevertheless, existing approaches still exhibit two critical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-19 Zhiding Liu , Jiqian Yang , Mingyue Cheng , Yucong Luo , Zhi Li

Introduction: Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) has gained significant attention in recent years. While various specialized designs exist for capturing temporal dependency, recent studies have shown that even a single linear layer…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Zhe Li , Shiyi Qi , Yiduo Li , Zenglin Xu

Many dynamic processes such as telecommunication and transport networks can be described through discrete time series of graphs. Modelling the dynamics of such time series enables prediction of graph structure at future time steps, which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-10 Sevvandi Kandanaarachchi , Ziqi Xu , Stefan Westerlund , Conrad Sanderson

Efficient long-context inference in Large Language Models (LLMs) is severely constrained by the Key-Value (KV) cache memory wall, yet existing pruning methods force a choice between low-latency heuristics that sacrifice precision and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Junjie Li , Jiong Lou , Jie Li

Multi-agent interacting systems are prevalent in the world, from pure physical systems to complicated social dynamic systems. In many applications, effective understanding of the situation and accurate trajectory prediction of interactive…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-10-23 Jiachen Li , Fan Yang , Masayoshi Tomizuka , Chiho Choi

The prediction of time series is a challenging task relevant in such diverse applications as analyzing financial data, forecasting flow dynamics or understanding biological processes. Especially chaotic time series that depend on a long…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-06 Johannes Viehweg , Dominik Walther , Patrick Mäder

Forward flux sampling (FFS) provides a convenient and efficient way to simulate rare events in equilibrium or non-equilibrium systems. FFS ratchets the system from an initial state to a final state via a series of interfaces in phase space.…

化学物理 · 物理学 2015-06-15 Kai Kratzer , Axel Arnold , Rosalind J. Allen

Various deep learning models, especially some latest Transformer-based approaches, have greatly improved the state-of-art performance for long-term time series forecasting.However, those transformer-based models suffer a severe…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-27 Tian Zhou , Jianqing Zhu , Xue Wang , Ziqing Ma , Qingsong Wen , Liang Sun , Rong Jin

In multivariate time series forecasting, the Transformer architecture encounters two significant challenges: effectively mining features from historical sequences and avoiding overfitting during the learning of temporal dependencies. To…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-30 Han Zhou , Yuntian Chen

Flow matching and diffusion bridge models have emerged as leading paradigms in generative speech enhancement, modeling stochastic processes between paired noisy and clean speech signals based on principles such as flow matching, score…

音频与语音处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-02-23 Dahan Wang , Jun Gao , Tong Lei , Yuxiang Hu , Changbao Zhu , Kai Chen , Jing Lu

Recent lightweight MLP-based models have achieved strong performance in time series forecasting by capturing stable trends and seasonal patterns. However, their effectiveness hinges on an implicit assumption of local stationarity…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-29 Zhiyu Chen , Minhao Liu , Yanru Zhang

Accurate weather forecasting holds significant importance, serving as a crucial tool for decision-making in various industrial sectors. The limitations of statistical models, assuming independence among data points, highlight the need for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-22 Anuvab Sen , Udayon Sen , Mayukhi Paul , Apurba Prasad Padhy , Sujith Sai , Aakash Mallik , Chhandak Mallick

Branch prediction is a standard feature in most processors, significantly improving the run time of programs by allowing a processor to predict the direction of a branch before it has been evaluated. Current branch prediction methods can…

硬件体系结构 · 计算机科学 2018-05-03 Adam Auten , Tanishq Dubey , Rohan Mathur

This paper introduces the jackknife+, which is a novel method for constructing predictive confidence intervals. Whereas the jackknife outputs an interval centered at the predicted response of a test point, with the width of the interval…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-02 Rina Foygel Barber , Emmanuel J. Candes , Aaditya Ramdas , Ryan J. Tibshirani

Multivariate time series forecasting focuses on predicting future values based on historical context. State-of-the-art sequence-to-sequence models rely on neural attention between timesteps, which allows for temporal learning but fails to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-21 Jake Grigsby , Zhe Wang , Nam Nguyen , Yanjun Qi

Flow matching has recently emerged as a powerful paradigm for generative modeling and has been extended to probabilistic time series forecasting in latent spaces. However, the impact of the specific choice of probability path model on…

The dynamics of power grids are governed by a large number of nonlinear differential and algebraic equations (DAEs). To safely operate the system, operators need to check that the states described by these DAEs stay within prescribed limits…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-02-01 Wenqi Cui , Weiwei Yang , Baosen Zhang