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Decision-makers often observe the occurrence of events through a reporting process. City governments, for example, rely on resident reports to find and then resolve urban infrastructural problems such as fallen street trees, flooded…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2025-03-28 Gabriel Agostini , Emma Pierson , Nikhil Garg

Quantile regression is a powerful statistical methodology that complements the classical linear regression by examining how covariates influence the location, scale, and shape of the entire response distribution and offering a global view…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-09-11 Lu Xiaoming , Fan Zhaozhi

Modern neural networks have proven to be powerful function approximators, providing state-of-the-art performance in a multitude of applications. They however fall short in their ability to quantify confidence in their predictions - this is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-29 Alex J. Chan , Ahmed M. Alaa , Zhaozhi Qian , Mihaela van der Schaar

In the last decade, the secondary use of large data from health systems, such as electronic health records, has demonstrated great promise in advancing biomedical discoveries and improving clinical decision making. However, there is an…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-03-25 Rui Duan , Yang Ning , Jiasheng Shi , Raymond J Carroll , Tianxi Cai , Yong Chen

We consider the prediction of weak effects in a multiple-output regression setup, when covariates are expected to explain a small amount, less than $\approx 1%$, of the variance of the target variables. To facilitate the prediction of the…

Subclassification estimators are one of the methods used to estimate causal effects of interest using the propensity score. This method is more stable compared to other weighting methods, such as inverse probability weighting estimators, in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-22 Shunichiro Orihara , Tomotaka Momozaki

As modern neural networks get more complex, specifying a model with high predictive performance and sound uncertainty quantification becomes a more challenging task. Despite some promising theoretical results on the true posterior…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-18 Alisa Sheinkman , Sara Wade

Bayesian inference allows us to define a posterior distribution over the weights of a generic neural network (NN). Exact posteriors are usually intractable, in which case approximations can be employed. One such approximation - variational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-30 Andrew Millard , Joshua Murphy , Peter Green , Simon Maskell

We propose a unified, yet simple to code, non-conjugate variational Bayes algorithm for posterior approximation of generic Bayesian generalized mixed effect models. Specifically, we consider regression models identified by a linear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-14 Cristian Castiglione , Mauro Bernardi

We present a Bayesian procedure for estimation of pairwise intervention effects in a high-dimensional system of categorical variables. We assume that we have observational data generated from an unknown causal Bayesian network for which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-02 Vera Kvisgaard , Johan Pensar

Quantile regression has demonstrated promising utility in longitudinal data analysis. Existing work is primarily focused on modeling cross-sectional outcomes, while outcome trajectories often carry more substantive information in practice.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-19 Huijuan Ma , Limin Peng , Haoda Fu

Misclassified variables used in regression models, either as a covariate or as the response, may lead to biased estimators and incorrect inference. Even though Bayesian models to adjust for misclassification error exist, it has not been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-26 Emma Skarstein , Leonardo Soares Bastos , Håvard Rue , Stefanie Muff

This paper provides partial identification of various binary choice models with misreported dependent variables. We propose two distinct approaches by exploiting different instrumental variables respectively. In the first approach, the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-01-31 Orville Mondal , Rui Wang

Quantile regression, a robust method for estimating conditional quantiles, has advanced significantly in fields such as econometrics, statistics, and machine learning. In high-dimensional settings, where the number of covariates exceeds…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-04 The Tien Mai

M-quantile random-effects regression represents an interesting approach for modelling multilevel data when the interest of researchers is focused on the conditional quantiles. When data are based on complex survey designs, sampling weights…

In cohort studies binary outcomes are very often analyzed by logistic regression. However, it is well-known that when the goal is to estimate a risk ratio, the logistic regression is inappropriate if the outcome is common. In these cases, a…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-04-02 Diego Salmerón , Juan Antonio Cano

The standard quantile regression model assumes a linear relationship at the quantile of interest and that all variables are observed. We relax these assumptions by considering a partial linear model while allowing for missing linear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-06-07 Ben Sherwood

To conduct Bayesian inference with large data sets, it is often convenient or necessary to distribute the data across multiple machines. We consider a likelihood function expressed as a product of terms, each associated with a subset of the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-04-09 Lewis J. Rendell , Adam M. Johansen , Anthony Lee , Nick Whiteley

Learning to quantify (a.k.a.\ quantification) is a task concerned with training unbiased estimators of class prevalence via supervised learning. This task originated with the observation that "Classify and Count" (CC), the trivial method of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-22 Alejandro Moreo , Fabrizio Sebastiani

The article develops marginal models for multivariate longitudinal responses. Overall, the model consists of five regression submodels, one for the mean and four for the covariance matrix, with the latter resulting by considering various…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-18 Georgios Papageorgiou