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Driven by the transition towards a climate-neutral energy system, accurate energy time series forecasting is critical for planning and operation. Yet, it remains largely a dataset-specific task, requiring comprehensive training data,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-27 Marco Obermeier , Marco Pruckner , Florian Haselbeck , Andreas Zeiselmair

Ensemble forecasts have become a cornerstone of large-scale disease response, underpinning decision making at agencies such as the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Their growing use reflects the goal of combining…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-01-23 Carson Dudley , Marisa Eisenberg

Forecasting the wide variety of high-impact weather events experienced globally is a challenge for both Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models and it is critical that such models be properly verified…

Autoscaling has become a baseline expectation for cloud-native big data processing, and the design space has expanded beyond rule-based heuristics to include learned controllers and, most recently, large language model (LLM) agents. Yet…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2026-05-13 Venkata Krishna Prasanth Budigi , Siri Chandana Sirigiri

Electrocardiogram (ECG) biometrics have emerged as a promising modality for continuous, liveness-aware authentication in wearable systems. However, many prior studies report overly optimistic results due to data leakage (e.g., random splits…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-05 Milad Parvan

Understanding the relationship between textual news and time-series evolution is a critical yet under-explored challenge in applied data science. While multimodal learning has gained traction, existing multimodal time-series datasets fall…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-02-12 Jialin Chen , Aosong Feng , Ziyu Zhao , Juan Garza , Gaukhar Nurbek , Cheng Qin , Ali Maatouk , Leandros Tassiulas , Yifeng Gao , Rex Ying

Although multimodal fusion has made significant progress, its advancement is severely hindered by the lack of adequate evaluation benchmarks. Current fusion methods are typically evaluated on a small selection of public datasets, a limited…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-07 Leyan Xue , Changqing Zhang , Kecheng Xue , Xiaohong Liu , Guangyu Wang , Zongbo Han

Forecasts of future events are essential inputs into informed decision-making. Machine learning (ML) systems have the potential to deliver forecasts at scale, but there is no framework for evaluating the accuracy of ML systems on a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-03 Ezra Karger , Houtan Bastani , Chen Yueh-Han , Zachary Jacobs , Danny Halawi , Fred Zhang , Philip E. Tetlock

Predictive benchmarking, the evaluation of machine learning models based on predictive performance and competitive ranking, is a central epistemic practice in machine learning research and an increasingly prominent method for scientific…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-28 Timo Freiesleben , Sebastian Zezulka

The interplay of biological, social, structural and random factors makes disease forecasting extraordinarily complex. The course of an epidemic exhibits average growth dynamics determined by features of the pathogen and the population, yet…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-02-24 Andrea J. Allen , Mariah C. Boudreau , Nicholas J. Roberts , Antoine Allard , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne

Accurate prediction of climate in the subseasonal-to-seasonal scale is crucial for disaster preparedness and robust decision making amidst climate change. Yet, forecasting beyond the weather timescale is challenging because it deals with…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-11-22 Juan Nathaniel , Yongquan Qu , Tung Nguyen , Sungduk Yu , Julius Busecke , Aditya Grover , Pierre Gentine

Recent advances in time-series forecasting increasingly rely on pre-trained foundation-style models. While these models often claim broad generalization, existing evaluation protocols provide limited evidence. Indeed, most current…

This position paper argues that current benchmarking practice in 12-lead ECG representation learning must be fixed to ensure progress is reliable and aligned with clinically meaningful objectives. The field has largely converged on three…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-20 Zachary Berger , Daniel Prakah-Asante , John Guttag , Collin M. Stultz

The dynamics of contact networks and epidemics of infectious diseases often occur on comparable time scales. Ignoring one of these time scales may provide an incomplete understanding of the population dynamics of the infection process. We…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-02-09 Luis E C Rocha , Naoki Masuda

Many businesses and industries nowadays rely on large quantities of time series data making time series forecasting an important research area. Global forecasting models that are trained across sets of time series have shown a huge…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-25 Rakshitha Godahewa , Christoph Bergmeir , Geoffrey I. Webb , Rob J. Hyndman , Pablo Montero-Manso

Precise outbreak forecasting of infectious diseases is essential for effective public health responses and epidemic control. The increased availability of machine learning (ML) methods for time-series forecasting presents an enticing avenue…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-23 Jinpyo Hong , Rachel E. Baker

Computational antibody design has seen rapid methodological progress, with dozens of deep generative methods proposed in the past three years, yet the field lacks a standardized benchmark for fair comparison and model development. These…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-02 Mansoor Ahmed , Nadeem Taj , Imdad Ullah Khan , Hemanth Venkateswara , Murray Patterson

A critical yet frequently overlooked challenge in the field of deepfake detection is the lack of a standardized, unified, comprehensive benchmark. This issue leads to unfair performance comparisons and potentially misleading results.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-10-31 Zhiyuan Yan , Yong Zhang , Xinhang Yuan , Siwei Lyu , Baoyuan Wu

Imbalanced learning remains a fundamental challenge in tabular data applications. Despite decades of research and numerous proposed algorithms, a systematic empirical understanding of how different imbalanced learning methods behave across…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-15 Ruizhe Liu , Jiaqi Luo

Obtaining standardized crowdsourced benchmark of computational methods is a major issue in data science communities. Dedicated frameworks enabling fair benchmarking in a unified environment are yet to be developed. Here we introduce…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-28 Zhen Xu , Sergio Escalera , Isabelle Guyon , Adrien Pavão , Magali Richard , Wei-Wei Tu , Quanming Yao , Huan Zhao