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While in general trading off exploration and exploitation in reinforcement learning is hard, under some formulations relatively simple solutions exist. In this paper, we first derive upper bounds for the utility of selecting different…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-06-06 Christos Dimitrakakis

In this paper, we study the problem of multiple change-point detection for a univariate sequence under the epidemic setting, where the behavior of the sequence alternates between a common normal state and different epidemic states. This is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-07 Zifeng Zhao , Chun Yip Yau

Matching mechanisms play a central role in operations management across diverse fields including education, healthcare, and online platforms. However, experimentally comparing a new matching algorithm against a status quo presents some…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-30 Chonghuan Wang

Cross-domain selection hyper-heuristics aim to distill decades of research on problem-specific heuristic search algorithms into adaptable general-purpose search strategies. In this respect, existing selection hyper-heuristics primarily…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-09-04 Václav Sobotka , Lucas Kletzander , Nysret Musliu , Hana Rudová

Suppose an online platform wants to compare a treatment and control policy, e.g., two different matching algorithms in a ridesharing system, or two different inventory management algorithms in an online retail site. Standard randomized…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-27 Peter Glynn , Ramesh Johari , Mohammad Rasouli

Many machine learning strategies designed to automate mathematical tasks leverage neural networks to search large combinatorial spaces of mathematical symbols. In contrast to traditional evolutionary approaches, using a neural network at…

Selective prediction aims to learn a reliable model that abstains from making predictions when uncertain. These predictions can then be deferred to humans for further evaluation. As an everlasting challenge for machine learning, in many…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-04 Jiefeng Chen , Jinsung Yoon , Sayna Ebrahimi , Sercan Arik , Somesh Jha , Tomas Pfister

Change point estimation is often formulated as a search for the maximum of a gain function describing improved fits when segmenting the data. Searching through all candidates requires $O(n)$ evaluations of the gain function for an interval…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-22 Solt Kovács , Housen Li , Lorenz Haubner , Axel Munk , Peter Bühlmann

Robust causal discovery from observational data under imperfect prior knowledge remains a significant and largely unresolved challenge. Existing methods typically presuppose perfect priors or can only handle specific, pre-identified error…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-11 Zidong Wang , Xi Lin , Chuchao He , Xiaoguang Gao

Active search is a setting in adaptive experimental design where we aim to uncover members of rare, valuable class(es) subject to a budget constraint. An important consideration in this problem is diversity among the discovered targets --…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-20 Quan Nguyen , Roman Garnett

The problem of how to genetically modify cells in order to maximize a certain cellular phenotype has taken center stage in drug development over the last few years (with, for example, genetically edited CAR-T, CAR-NK, and CAR-NKT cells…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2023-02-03 Aldo Pacchiano , Drausin Wulsin , Robert A. Barton , Luis Voloch

In this paper we introduce a binary search algorithm that efficiently finds initial maximum likelihood estimates for sequential experiments where a binary response is modeled by a continuous factor. The problem is motivated by switching…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-08-27 Juha Karvanen

This paper investigates the optimal signal detection problem with a particular interest in large-scale multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) systems. The problem is NP-hard and can be solved optimally by searching the shortest path on the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-22 Le He , Ke He , Lisheng Fan , Xianfu Lei , Arumugam Nallanathan , George K. Karagiannidis

We propose new, optimal methods for analyzing randomized trials, when it is suspected that treatment effects may differ in two predefined subpopulations. Such sub-populations could be defined by a biomarker or risk factor measured at…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-26 Michael Rosenblum , Han Liu , and En-Hsu Yen

We develop a new computational approach for "focused" optimal Bayesian experimental design with nonlinear models, with the goal of maximizing expected information gain in targeted subsets of model parameters. Our approach considers…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-03-28 Chi Feng , Youssef M. Marzouk

Bayesian optimization offers the possibility of optimizing black-box operations not accessible through traditional techniques. The success of Bayesian optimization methods such as Expected Improvement (EI) are significantly affected by the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-07-04 Dipti Jasrasaria , Edward O. Pyzer-Knapp

We consider an agent on a fixed but arbitrary node of a known threshold network, with the task of detecting an unknown missing link/node. We obtain analytic formulas for the probability of success, when the agent's tool is the free…

量子物理 · 物理学 2011-01-26 Steve Kirkland , Simone Severini

In the high dimensional regression analysis when the number of predictors is much larger than the sample size, an important question is to select the important variable which are relevant to the response variable of interest. Variable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-09 Pengsheng Ji , Zhigen Zhao

In recent years, there has been an increasing demand on efficient algorithms for large scale change point detection problems. To this end, we propose seeded binary segmentation, an approach relying on a deterministic construction of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-13 Solt Kovács , Housen Li , Peter Bühlmann , Axel Munk

Many interventions, such as vaccines in clinical trials or coupons in online marketplaces, must be assigned sequentially without full knowledge of their effects. Multi-armed bandit algorithms have proven successful in such settings.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-07 Aidan Gleich , Eric Laber , Alexander Volfovsky