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Exposure mappings are widely used to model potential outcomes in the presence of interference, where each unit's outcome may depend not only on its own treatment, but also on the treatment of other units as well. However, in practice these…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-02 David Choi

Interference or spillover effects arise when an individual's outcome (e.g., health) is influenced not only by their own treatment (e.g., vaccination) but also by the treatment of others, creating challenges for evaluating treatment effects.…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-12 Martin Huber , Jannis Kueck , Mara Mattes

This study considers testing the specification of spillover effects in causal inference. We focus on experimental settings in which the treatment assignment mechanism is known to researchers. We develop a new randomization test utilizing a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-27 Tadao Hoshino , Takahide Yanagi

Experiments on online marketplaces and social networks suffer from interference, where the outcome of a unit is impacted by the treatment status of other units. We propose a framework for modeling interference using a ubiquitous deployment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-21 Ariel Boyarsky , Hongseok Namkoong , Jean Pouget-Abadie

There exist some testing procedures based on the maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) to address the challenge of model specification. However, they ignore the presence of estimated parameters in the case of composite null hypotheses. In this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-10 Florian Brück , Jean-David Fermanian , Aleksey Min

Exposure mappings facilitate investigations of complex causal effects when units interact in experiments. Current methods require experimenters to use the same exposure mappings both to define the effect of interest and to impose…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-03-14 Fredrik Sävje

This paper proposes a new class of nonparametric tests for the correct specification of models based on conditional moment restrictions, paying particular attention to generalized propensity score models. The test procedure is based on two…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-04-18 Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna , Xiaojun Song

We propose a novel framework of the model specification test in regression using unlabeled test data. In many cases, we have conducted statistical inferences based on the assumption that we can correctly specify a model. However, it is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-25 Masahiro Kato , Hikaru Kawarazaki

This paper studies distributed binary test of statistical independence under communication (information bits) constraints. While testing independence is very relevant in various applications, distributed independence test is particularly…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-11-29 Sebastian Espinosa , Jorge F. Silva , Pablo Piantanida

Experimentation platforms are essential to modern large technology companies, as they are used to carry out many randomized experiments daily. The classic assumption of no interference among users, under which the outcome of one user does…

This paper studies how to design two-wave experiments in the presence of spillovers for precise inference on treatment effects. We consider units connected through a single network, local dependence among individuals, and a general class of…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-25 Davide Viviano

In clinical studies upon which decisions are based there are two types of errors that can be made: a type I error arises when the decision is taken to declare a positive outcome when the truth is in fact negative, and a type II error arises…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-19 Andrew P Grieve

In multiple testing scenarios, typically the sign of a parameter is inferred when its estimate exceeds some significance threshold in absolute value. Typically, the significance threshold is chosen to control the experimentwise type I error…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-01-03 Chaoyu Yu , Peter D. Hoff

Testing has become an indispensable activity of software development, yet writing good and relevant tests remains a quite challenging task. One well-known problem is that it often is impossible or unrealistic to test for every outcome, as…

编程语言 · 计算机科学 2017-08-18 Dimitri Racordon , Didier Buchs

Generalized linear models are often misspecified due to overdispersion, heteroscedasticity and ignored nuisance variables. Existing quasi-likelihood methods for testing in misspecified models often do not provide satisfactory type-I error…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-13 Jesse Hemerik , Jelle J Goeman , Livio Finos

Estimating treatment effects in networks is challenging, as each potential outcome depends on the treatments of all other nodes in the network. To overcome this difficulty, existing methods typically impose an exposure mapping that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-04 Maresa Schröder , Miruna Oprescu , Stefan Feuerriegel , Nathan Kallus

Within the machine learning community, the widely-used uniform convergence framework has been used to answer the question of how complex, over-parameterized models can generalize well to new data. This approach bounds the test error of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-03-05 Ryan Theisen , Jason M. Klusowski , Michael W. Mahoney

After variable selection, standard inferential procedures for regression parameters may not be uniformly valid; there is no finite-sample size at which a standard test is guaranteed to approximately attain its nominal size. This problem is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-07 Oliver Dukes , Vahe Avagyan , Stijn Vansteelandt

The linear instrumental variable (IV) model is widely used in observational studies, yet its validity hinges on strong assumptions. Classical specification tests such as the Sargan-Hansen J test are limited to overidentified settings and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-21 Cyrill Scheidegger , Malte Londschien , Peter Bühlmann

We consider a causal inference model in which individuals interact in a social network and they may not comply with the assigned treatments. In particular, we suppose that the form of network interference is unknown to researchers. To…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-24 Tadao Hoshino , Takahide Yanagi
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