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Time series forecasting is crucial for applications like resource scheduling and risk management, where multi-step predictions provide a comprehensive view of future trends. Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is a mainstream approach for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-23 Qingdi Yu , Zhiwei Cao , Ruihang Wang , Zhen Yang , Lijun Deng , Min Hu , Yong Luo , Xin Zhou

As the role played by statistical and computational sciences in climate and environmental modelling and prediction becomes more important, Machine Learning researchers are becoming more aware of the relevance of their work to help tackle…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-23 Federico Amato , Fabian Guignard , Sylvain Robert , Mikhail Kanevski

This paper proposes a novel decision-making framework for autonomous vehicles (AVs), called predictor-corrector potential game (PCPG), composed of a Predictor and a Corrector. To enable human-like reasoning and characterize agent…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-11-13 Mushuang Liu , H. Eric Tseng , Dimitar Filev , Anouck Girard , Ilya Kolmanovsky

Real-world exposure correction is fundamentally challenged by spatially non-uniform degradations, where diverse exposure errors frequently coexist within a single image. However, existing exposure correction methods are still largely…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-04-07 Ao Li , Jiawei Sun , Le Dong , Zhenyu Wang , Weisheng Dong

In the era of increasingly complex AI models for time series forecasting, progress is often measured by marginal improvements on benchmark leaderboards. However, this approach suffers from a fundamental flaw: standard evaluation metrics…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-28 Wanjin Feng , Yuan Yuan , Jingtao Ding , Yong Li

Weather forecasting remains a crucial yet challenging domain, where recently developed models based on deep learning (DL) have approached the performance of traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. However, these DL models,…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-02-13 Zhanxiang Hua , Yutong He , Chengqian Ma , Alexandra Anderson-Frey

Time series forecasting is crucial for various applications, such as weather forecasting, power load forecasting, and financial analysis. In recent studies, MLP-mixer models for time series forecasting have been shown as a promising…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-24 Md Mahmuddun Nabi Murad , Mehmet Aktukmak , Yasin Yilmaz

Reliable long-horizon prediction remains a challenge for data-driven CFD surrogates, because offline-trained models accumulate autoregressive errors and lose accuracy when operating conditions change. This work develops a divergence-aware…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2026-05-26 Xiangrui Zou , Zhuoqun Zhao , Guillermo Barragán , Soledad Le Clainche

Global warming leads to the increase in frequency and intensity of climate extremes that cause tremendous loss of lives and property. Accurate long-range climate prediction allows more time for preparation and disaster risk management for…

We propose a novel plug-and-play (PnP) module for improving depth prediction with taking arbitrary patterns of sparse depths as input. Given any pre-trained depth prediction model, our PnP module updates the intermediate feature map such…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-04-12 Tsun-Hsuan Wang , Fu-En Wang , Juan-Ting Lin , Yi-Hsuan Tsai , Wei-Chen Chiu , Min Sun

Safe navigation in dynamic environments remains challenging due to uncertain obstacle behaviors and the lack of formal prediction guarantees. We propose two motion planning frameworks that leverage conformal prediction (CP): a global…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-11-25 Kaier Liang , Licheng Luo , Yixuan Wang , Mingyu Cai , Cristian Ioan Vasile

Accurate forecasting is critical for reliable power grid operations, particularly as the share of renewable generation, such as wind and solar, continues to grow. Given the inherent uncertainty and variability in renewable generation,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-10-20 Alireza Moradi , Mathieu Tanneau , Reza Zandehshahvar , Pascal Van Hentenryck

Obtaining a sufficient forecast lead time for local precipitation is essential in preventing hazardous weather events. Global warming-induced climate change increases the challenge of accurately predicting severe precipitation events, such…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-21 Sojung An , Junha Lee , Jiyeon Jang , Inchae Na , Wooyeon Park , Sujeong You

Since its introduction, the transformer has shifted the development trajectory away from traditional models (e.g., RNN, MLP) in time series forecasting, which is attributed to its ability to capture global dependencies within temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-07 Xiwen Chen , Peijie Qiu , Wenhui Zhu , Huayu Li , Hao Wang , Aristeidis Sotiras , Yalin Wang , Abolfazl Razi

Time series forecasting is widely used in extensive applications, such as traffic planning and weather forecasting. However, real-world time series usually present intricate temporal variations, making forecasting extremely challenging.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-24 Shiyu Wang , Haixu Wu , Xiaoming Shi , Tengge Hu , Huakun Luo , Lintao Ma , James Y. Zhang , Jun Zhou

Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP), is widely used in precipitation forecasting, based on complex equations of atmospheric motion requires supercomputers to infer the state of the atmosphere. Due to the complexity of the task and the huge…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-01-10 Xinyu Xiao , Qiuming Kuang , Shiming Xiang , Junnan Hu , Chunhong Pan

Predictions of the future state of the Earth's atmosphere suffer from the consequences of chaos: numerical weather forecast models quickly diverge from observations as uncertainty in the initial state is amplified by nonlinearity. One…

数学物理 · 物理学 2015-03-19 Ross M. Lieb-Lappen , Christopher M. Danforth

Precise control in modern robotic applications is always an open issue due to unknown time-varying disturbances. Existing meta-learning-based approaches require a shared representation of environmental structures, which lack flexibility for…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-04-16 Zihan Yang , Jindou Jia , Meng Wang , Yuhang Liu , Kexin Guo , Xiang Yu

Quantifying uncertainty in weather forecasts is critical, especially for predicting extreme weather events. This is typically accomplished with ensemble prediction systems, which consist of many perturbed numerical weather simulations, or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-17 Peter Grönquist , Chengyuan Yao , Tal Ben-Nun , Nikoli Dryden , Peter Dueben , Shigang Li , Torsten Hoefler

There is growing interest in data-driven weather prediction (DDWP), for example using convolutional neural networks such as U-NETs that are trained on data from models or reanalysis. Here, we propose 3 components to integrate with commonly…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-07-04 Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Mustafa Mustafa , Pedram Hassanzadeh , Eviatar Bach , Karthik Kashinath