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Large language models (LLMs) exhibit persistent miscalibration, especially after instruction tuning and preference alignment. Modified training objectives can improve calibration, but retraining is expensive. Inference-time steering offers…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-06 Miranda Muqing Miao , Young-Min Cho , Lyle Ungar

Causal inference in continuous-time sequential decision problems is challenged by hidden confounders. We show that, in latent state-space models with time-varying interventions, observability of the latent dynamics from observed data is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-14 Jennifer Wendland , Nicolas Freitag , Maik Kschischo

Identifying latent variables and causal structures from observational data is essential to many real-world applications involving biological data, medical data, and unstructured data such as images and languages. However, this task can be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-01 Lingjing Kong , Biwei Huang , Feng Xie , Eric Xing , Yuejie Chi , Kun Zhang

We introduce CausaLab, a scalable environment for evaluating interactive causal discovery by LLM agents. Unlike prior evaluations, CausaLab evaluates both whether an agent can solve a problem using causal evidence and whether its answer is…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-05-29 Junlin Yang , Dylan Zhang , Xiangchen Song , Qirun Dai , Xiao Liu , Yuen Chen , Aniket Vashishtha , Jing Shi , Chenhao Tan , Hao Peng

Continual learning requires models to adapt to new data while preserving previously acquired knowledge. At its core, this challenge can be viewed as principled one-step adaptation: incorporating new information with minimal interference to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-21 Jiaqi Sun , Boyang Sun , Rasmy M. H. , Xiangchen Song , Kun Zhang

Causal representation learning (CRL) has emerged as a powerful unsupervised framework that (i) disentangles the latent generative factors underlying high-dimensional data, and (ii) learns the cause-and-effect interactions among the…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-10-27 Pranamya Kulkarni , Puranjay Datta , Burak Varıcı , Emre Acartürk , Karthikeyan Shanmugam , Ali Tajer

Unsupervised representation learning seeks to recover latent generative factors, yet standard methods relying on statistical independence often fail to capture causal dependencies. A central challenge is identifiability: as established in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-30 Hans Jarett J. Ong , Brian Godwin S. Lim , Dominic Dayta , Renzo Roel P. Tan , Kazushi Ikeda

Most of previous machine learning algorithms are proposed based on the i.i.d. hypothesis. However, this ideal assumption is often violated in real applications, where selection bias may arise between training and testing process. Moreover,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-08-24 Zheyan Shen , Peng Cui , Kun Kuang , Bo Li , Peixuan Chen

Learning a compact representation of history is critical for planning and generalization in partially observable environments. While meta-reinforcement learning (RL) agents can attain near Bayes-optimal policies, they often fail to learn…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-10-28 Po-Chen Kuo , Han Hou , Will Dabney , Edgar Y. Walker

Most existing Time series classification (TSC) models lack interpretability and are difficult to inspect. Interpretable machine learning models can aid in discovering patterns in data as well as give easy-to-understand insights to domain…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-20 Ruixuan Yan , Tengfei Ma , Achille Fokoue , Maria Chang , Agung Julius

Nonlinear causal discovery from observational data imposes strict identifiability assumptions on the formulation of structural equations utilized in the data generating process. The evaluation of structure learning methods under assumption…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-12-17 Georg Velev , Stefan Lessmann

Real-world processes often contain intermediate state that can be modeled as an extremely sparse activation tensor. In this work, we analyze the identifiability of such sparse and local latent intermediate variables, which we call motifs.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-04 Kavi Gupta , Osbert Bastani , Armando Solar-Lezama

While multimodal data integrating diverse imaging and clinical tabular records is crucial for accurate medical diagnosis, the arbitrary absence of specific modalities is prevalent in clinical practice, severely degrading the performance of…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Tianling Liu , Lequan Yu , Tong Han , Liang Wan

Causal discovery from time-series data aims to capture both intra-slice (contemporaneous) and inter-slice (time-lagged) causality between variables within the temporal chain, which is crucial for various scientific disciplines. Compared to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-26 Rujia Shen , Boran Wang , Chao Zhao , Yi Guan , Jingchi Jiang

Cross-modal retrieval (CMR) has been extensively applied in various domains, such as multimedia search engines and recommendation systems. Most existing CMR methods focus on image-to-text retrieval, whereas audio-to-text retrieval, a less…

声音 · 计算机科学 2023-09-19 Kaiyi Luo , Xulong Zhang , Jianzong Wang , Huaxiong Li , Ning Cheng , Jing Xiao

Causal representation learning aims to recover the latent causal variables and their causal relations, typically represented by directed acyclic graphs (DAGs), from low-level observations such as image pixels. A prevailing line of research…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-28 Ignavier Ng , Shaoan Xie , Xinshuai Dong , Peter Spirtes , Kun Zhang

Causal disentanglement aims to uncover a representation of data using latent variables that are interrelated through a causal model. Such a representation is identifiable if the latent model that explains the data is unique. In this paper,…

In this paper we investigate forecasting coevolving time series that feature intricate dependencies and nonstationary dynamics by using an LLM Large Language Models approach We propose a novel modeling approach named ContextAware ARLLM…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-21 Etienne Tajeuna , Patrick Asante Owusu , Armelle Brun , Shengrui Wang

Discovering causal relationships between different variables from time series data has been a long-standing challenge for many domains such as climate science, finance, and healthcare. Given the complexity of real-world relationships and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-27 Wenbo Gong , Joel Jennings , Cheng Zhang , Nick Pawlowski

Corrupted data sets containing noisy or missing observations are prevalent in various contemporary applications such as economics, finance and bioinformatics. Despite the recent methodological and algorithmic advances in high-dimensional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-12 J. Wu , Z. Zheng , Y. Li , Y. Zhang