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相关论文: Probabilistic Circuits for Irregular Multivariate …

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We introduce CopFITi, a copula model for probabilistic forecasting of irregular multivariate time series (IMTS). Our model combines the expressivity of normalizing flows for univariate marginals with the consistency and flexibility of a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-25 Christian Klötergens , Tom Hanika , Lars Schmidt-Thieme , Vijaya Krishna Yalavarthi

Irregular Multivariate Time Series (IMTS) are characterized by uneven intervals between consecutive timestamps, which carry sampling pattern information valuable and informative for learning temporal and variable dependencies. In addition,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-26 Boyuan Li , Zhen Liu , Yicheng Luo , Qianli Ma

Probabilistic forecasting of multivariate time series is essential for various downstream tasks. Most existing approaches rely on the sequences being uniformly spaced and aligned across all variables. However, real-world multivariate time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-18 Yijun Li , Cheuk Hang Leung , Qi Wu

Irregular multivariate time series (IMTS) are characterized by irregular time intervals within variables and unaligned observations across variables, posing challenges in learning temporal and variable dependencies. Many existing IMTS…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-26 Boyuan Li , Yicheng Luo , Zhen Liu , Junhao Zheng , Jianming Lv , Qianli Ma

Forecasting irregularly sampled multivariate time series with missing values (IMTS) is a fundamental challenge in domains such as healthcare, climate science, and biology. While recent advances in vision and time series forecasting have…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-27 Christian Klötergens , Tim Dernedde , Lars Schmidt-Thieme , Vijaya Krishna Yalavarthi

Probabilistic forecasting of irregularly sampled multivariate time series with missing values is an important problem in many fields, including health care, astronomy, and climate. State-of-the-art methods for the task estimate only…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-14 Vijaya Krishna Yalavarthi , Randolf Scholz , Stefan Born , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

The forecasting of irregular multivariate time series (IMTS) is crucial in key areas such as healthcare, biomechanics, climate science, and astronomy. However, achieving accurate and practical predictions is challenging due to two main…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-18 Xvyuan Liu , Xiangfei Qiu , Xingjian Wu , Zhengyu Li , Chenjuan Guo , Jilin Hu , Bin Yang

Irregular Multivariate Time Series (IMTS) forecasting is challenging due to the unaligned nature of multi-channel signals and the prevalence of extensive missing data. Existing methods struggle to capture reliable temporal patterns from…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-06-02 Zhangyi Hu , Jiemin Wu , Hua Xu , Mingqian Liao , Ninghui Feng , Bo Gao , Songning Lai , Yutao Yue

Irregular Multivariate Time Series (IMTS) are common in practice, yet their irregular sampling complicates effective modeling. Existing approaches typically either (i) design specialized architectures that limit the reuse of proven…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-29 JungHoon Lim

Heterogeneity and irregularity of multi-source data sets present a significant challenge to time-series analysis. In the literature, the fusion of multi-source time-series has been achieved either by using ensemble learning models which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-07 Futoon M. Abushaqra , Hao Xue , Yongli Ren , Flora D. Salim

The non-stationary nature of real-world Multivariate Time Series (MTS) data presents forecasting models with a formidable challenge of the time-variant distribution of time series, referred to as distribution shift. Existing studies on the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-19 Hui He , Qi Zhang , Kun Yi , Xiaojun Xue , Shoujin Wang , Liang Hu , Longbing Cao

Irregular Time Series Data (IRTS) has shown increasing prevalence in real-world applications. We observed that IRTS can be divided into two specialized types: Natural Irregular Time Series (NIRTS) and Accidental Irregular Time Series…

Complex continuous or mixed joint distributions (e.g., P(Y | z_1, z_2, ..., z_N)) generally lack closed-form solutions, often necessitating approximations such as MCMC. This paper proposes Indeterminate Probability Theory (IPT), which makes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-24 Tao Yang , Chuang Liu , Xiaofeng Ma , Weijia Lu , Ning Wu , Bingyang Li , Zhifei Yang , Peng Liu , Lin Sun , Xiaodong Zhang , Can Zhang

Irregular multivariate time series forecasting (IMTSF) is challenging due to non-uniform sampling and variable asynchronicity. These irregularities violate the equidistant assumptions of standard models, hindering local temporal modeling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-03 Xiangfei Qiu , Kangjia Yan , Xvyuan Liu , Xingjian Wu , Jilin Hu

Multivariate time series forecasting is crucial across various industries, where accurate extraction of complex periodic and trend components can significantly enhance prediction performance. However, existing models often struggle to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-08 Yulong Wang , Yushuo Liu , Xiaoyi Duan , Kai Wang

Irregularly sampled multivariate time series (ISMTS) are prevalent in reality. Most existing methods treat ISMTS as synchronized regularly sampled time series with missing values, neglecting that the irregularities are primarily attributed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-03 Jiexi Liu , Meng Cao , Songcan Chen

Probabilistic forecasting models for joint distributions of targets in irregular time series with missing values are a heavily under-researched area in machine learning, with, to the best of our knowledge, only two Models have been…

Modeling Irregularly-sampled and Multivariate Time Series (IMTS) is crucial across a variety of applications where different sets of variates may be missing at different time-steps due to sensor malfunctions or high data acquisition costs.…

Irregular multivariate time series (IMTS) are prevalent in critical domains like healthcare and finance, where accurate forecasting is vital for proactive decision-making. However, the asynchronous sampling and irregular intervals inherent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-16 Xvyuan Liu , Xiangfei Qiu , Hanyin Cheng , Xingjian Wu , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang , Jilin Hu

Sequential models like recurrent neural networks and transformers have become standard for probabilistic multivariate time series forecasting across various domains. Despite their strengths, they struggle with capturing high-dimensional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-07 Yu Chen , Marin Biloš , Sarthak Mittal , Wei Deng , Kashif Rasul , Anderson Schneider
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