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Long-term electricity demand forecasting is essential for grid and operations planning, as well as for the analysis and planning of energy transition strategies. However, accurate long-term load forecasting with high temporal resolution…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-22 Soumyadeep Dhar , Ayushkumar Parmar , Haifeng Qiu , Juan Ramon L. Senga , S. Viswanathan

Extreme weather variations and the increasing unpredictability of load behavior make it difficult to determine power grid dispatches that are robust to uncertainties. While machine learning (ML) methods have improved the ability to model…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-21 Aayushya Agarwal , Larry Pileggi

In this paper, we propose a new short-term load forecasting (STLF) model based on contextually enhanced hybrid and hierarchical architecture combining exponential smoothing (ES) and a recurrent neural network (RNN). The model is composed of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-20 Slawek Smyl , Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka

Urban flood emergency response increasingly relies on infrastructure impact forecasts rather than hazard variables alone. However, real-time predictions are unreliable due to biased rainfall, incomplete flood knowledge, and sparse…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-19 Lei Xie , Peihui Lin , Naiyu Wang , Paolo Gardoni

Extreme weather events, intensified by climate change, increasingly challenge aging combined sewer systems, raising the risk of untreated wastewater overflow. Accurate forecasting of sewer overflow basin filling levels can provide…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-22 Tianheng Ling , Vipin Singh , Chao Qian , Felix Biessmann , Gregor Schiele

The advent of Cloud Computing enabled the proliferation of IoT applications for smart environments. However, the distance of these resources makes them unsuitable for delay-sensitive applications. Hence, Fog Computing has emerged to provide…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2023-06-13 Maad Ebrahim , Abdelhakim Hafid

Demand response services at the distribution level are emerging as enabling strategies for improving grid reliability in the presence of intermittent renewable generation and grid congestion. For residential loads, space heating and…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-05-22 Erhan Can Ozcan , Emiliano Dall'Anese , Ioannis Ch. Paschalidis

We present here the Temporal Clustering Algorithm (TCA), an incremental learning algorithm applicable to problems of anticipatory computing in the context of the Internet of Things. This algorithm was tested in a specific prediction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-08-01 Caio Ponte , Carlos Caminha , Rafael Bomfim , Ronaldo Moreira , Vasco Furtado

Electric load is simultaneously affected across multiple time scales by exogenous factors such as weather and calendar rhythms, sudden events, and policies. Therefore, this paper proposes GRAFT (GRid-Aware Forecasting with Text), which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-07 Fangzhou Lin , Guoshun He , Zhenyu Guo , Zhe Huang , Jinsong Tao

Cloud computing has motivated renewed interest in resource allocation problems with new consumption models. A common goal is to share a resource, such as CPU or I/O bandwidth, among distinct users with different demand patterns as well as…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2021-01-27 Sebastian Perez-Salazar , Ishai Menache , Mohit Singh , Alejandro Toriello

Electric vehicles (EVs) have the potential to reduce grid stress through smart charging strategies while simultaneously meeting user demand. This requires accurate forecasts of key charging parameters, such as energy demand and connection…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-08-26 Parnian Alikhani , Nico Brinkel , Wouter Schram , Ioannis Lampropoulos , Wilfried van Sark

Due to the energy crisis and environmental pollution, the installed capacity of inverter-based resources (IBRs) in power grids is rapidly increasing, and grid-following control (GFL) is the most prevalent at present. Meanwhile, grid-forming…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-02-05 Yinhong Lin , Bin Wang , Qinglai Guo , Haotian Zhao , Hongbin Sun

The rapid growth of renewable energy penetration has intensified the need for reliable probabilistic forecasts to support grid operations at aggregated (fleet or system) levels. In practice, however, system operators often lack access to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-04 Alireza Moradi , Mathieu Tanneau , Reza Zandehshahvar , Pascal Van Hentenryck

Electricity is a volatile power source that requires great planning and resource management for both short and long term. More specifically, in the short-term, accurate instant energy consumption forecasting contributes greatly to improve…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-07-05 Nuno Oliveira , Norberto Sousa , Isabel Praça

Decision-making in building energy systems critically depends on the predictive accuracy of relevant time-series models. In scenarios lacking extensive data from a target building, foundation models (FMs) represent a promising technology…

Earth observation resources are becoming increasingly indispensable in disaster relief, damage assessment and related domains. Many unpredicted factors, such as the change of observation task requirements, to the occurring of bad weather…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-06-10 Baoju Liu , Min Deng , Guohua Wu , Xinyu Pei , Haifeng Li , Witold Pedrycz

Time series data are prone to noise in various domains, and training samples may contain low-predictability patterns that deviate from the normal data distribution, leading to training instability or convergence to poor local minima.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-19 Xu Zhang , Peng Wang , Yichen Li , Wei Wang

Large, spatially flexible electricity consumers such as data centers can reallocate demand across locations, influencing dispatch and prices in wholesale electricity markets. While flexible load is often assumed to improve system…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-14 Aron Brenner , Deepjyoti Deka , Line Roald , Saurabh Amin

Cloud native solutions are widely applied in various fields, placing higher demands on the efficient management and utilization of resource platforms. To achieve the efficiency, load forecasting and elastic scaling have become crucial…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2024-05-22 Linfeng Wen , Minxian Xu , Adel N. Toosi , Kejiang Ye

Higher penetration of renewable generation will increase the demand for adequate (and cost-effective) controllable resources on the grid that can mitigate and contain the contingencies locally before it can cause a network-wide collapse.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-06-08 Sai Pushpak Nandanoori , Soumya Kundu , Draguna Vrabie , Karan Kalsi , Jianming Lian