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Tipping elements of the Earth system may shift abruptly and irreversibly from one state to another at tipping points, resulting in a growing threat to our society. Yet, it is not fully clear how to assess and quantify the influence of a…

In ecology, climate and other fields, (sub)systems have been identified that can transition into a qualitatively different state when a critical threshold or tipping point in a driving process is crossed. An understanding of those tipping…

地球物理 · 物理学 2020-09-16 Ann Kristin Klose , Volker Karle , Ricarda Winkelmann , Jonathan F. Donges

Earth system tipping elements have been predominantly investigated for their potential to trigger \textit{negative} ecological, climatic, and societal shifts. Yet, an overlooked but seminal avenue exists in the form of \textit{positive}…

With rising global temperatures Earth's tipping elements are becoming increasingly more vulnerable to crossing their critical thresholds. The reaching of such tipping points does not only impact other tipping elements through their…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2025-05-08 Tom Bdolach , Jürgen Kurths , Serhiy Yanchuk

Network theory provides various tools for investigating the structural or functional topology of many complex systems found in nature, technology and society. Nevertheless, it has recently been realised that a considerable number of systems…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2012-03-23 Jonathan F. Donges , Hanna C. H. Schultz , Norbert Marwan , Yong Zou , Juergen Kurths

Many climate subsystems are thought to be susceptible to tipping - and some might be close to a tipping point. The general belief and intuition, based on simple conceptual models of tipping elements, is that tipping leads to reorganization…

斑图形成与孤子 · 物理学 2021-12-01 Robbin Bastiaansen , Henk A. Dijkstra , Anna S. von der Heydt

The climate system's nonlinear dynamics is influenced by various external forcings and internal feedbacks that can give rise to regional and even global tipping points that may lead to significant and potentially irreversible changes.…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-01-21 Erik Chavez , Jan Rombouts , Michael Ghil

Global climate warming poses a significant challenge to humanity; it is associated with, e.g., rising sea level and declining Arctic sea ice. Increasing extreme events are also considered to be a result of climate…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-01-23 Jingfang Fan , Jun Meng , Yosef Ashkenazy , Shlomo Havlin , Hans Joachim Schellnhuber

The Tibetan Plateau (TP), known as the "Asian Water Tower," is currently undergoing a rapid wetting trend. While this moisture increase is often viewed as beneficial for water availability, it remains unclear whether the hydrological system…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-01-07 Yiran Xie , Teng Liu , Xuan Ma , Yingshuo Lyu , Xu Wang , Yatong Qian , Yongwen Zhang , Ming Wang , Xiaosong Chen

Precipitation is one of the most important meteorological variables for defining the climate dynamics, but the spatial patterns of precipitation have not been fully investigated yet. The complex network theory, which provides a robust tool…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2013-08-22 Stefania Scarsoglio , Francesco Laio , Luca Ridolfi

Earth's climate, mantle, and core interact over geologic timescales. Climate influences whether plate tectonics can take place on a planet, with cool climates being favorable for plate tectonics because they enhance stresses in the…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2017-11-21 Bradford J. Foley , Peter E. Driscoll

Complex network theory provides a powerful framework to statistically investigate the topology of local and non-local statistical interrelationships, i.e. teleconnections, in the climate system. Climate networks constructed from the same…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-07-27 Jonathan F. Donges , Yong Zou , Norbert Marwan , Jürgen Kurths

This review synthesizes recent advancements in understanding tipping points and cascading transitions within the Earth system, framing them through the lens of nonlinear dynamics and complexity science. It outlines the fundamental concepts…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-11-04 Sheng Fang , Ziyan Wang , Jürgen Kurths , Jingfang Fan

The orbital regime of a terrestrial planet plays a significant role in shaping its atmospheric dynamics, climate, and hence potential habitability. The orbit is also likely to play a role in shaping the response of a planetary atmosphere to…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2025-07-25 F. Sainsbury-Martinez , C. Walsh

Vital parts of the climate system, such as the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, are at risk even within the aspired aims of the Paris Agreement to limit global temperature rise to 1.5 -- 2{\deg}C. These so-called natural tipping elements are…

A simple phenomenological account for planetary climate instabilities is presented. The description is based on the standard model where the balance of incoming stellar radiation and outward thermal radiation is described by the effective…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2016-11-08 Kasper W Olsen , Jakob Bohr

It is often known, from modelling studies, that a certain mode of climate tipping (of the oceanic thermohaline circulation, for example) is governed by an underlying fold bifurcation. For such a case we present a scheme of analysis that…

动力系统 · 数学 2010-12-15 J. M. T. Thompson , Jan Sieber

An estimate of the net direction of climate interactions in different geographical regions is made by constructing a directed climate network from a regular latitude-longitude grid of nodes, using a directionality index (DI) based on…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2015-06-23 J. Ignacio Deza , Cristina Masoller , Marcelo Barreiro

We investigate 3D atmosphere dynamics for tidally locked terrestrial planets with an Earth-like atmosphere and irradiation for different rotation periods ($P_{rot}=1-100$ days) and planet sizes ($R_P=1-2 R_{Earth}$) with unprecedented fine…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-09-18 Ludmila Carone , Rony Keppens , Leen Decin

The Tibetan Plateau (TP) and surrounding regions, vital to global energy and water cycles, are profoundly influenced by climate change and anthropogenic activities. Despite widespread attention to vegetation greening across the region since…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-03-13 Yiran Xie , Xu Wang , Yatong Qian , Teng Liu , Hao Fan , Xiaosong Chen
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