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Modern weather and climate models share a common heritage, and often even components, however they are used in different ways to answer fundamentally different questions. As such, attempts to emulate them using machine learning should…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-03-21 Duncan Watson-Parris

Robust generalization under climate change remains a major challenge for machine learning applications in climate science. Most existing approaches struggle to extrapolate beyond the climate they were trained on, leading to a strong…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-09-03 Shuchang Liu , Paul A. O'Gorman

Escalating urban heat, driven by the convergence of global warming and rapid urbanization, is a profound threat to billions of city dwellers. The science directing urban heat adaptation is strongly influenced by studies that use…

Urban areas are a high-stake target of climate change mitigation and adaptation measures. To understand, predict and improve the energy performance of cities, the scientific community develops numerical models that describe how they…

Local climate information is crucial for impact assessment and decision-making, yet coarse global climate simulations cannot capture small-scale phenomena. Current statistical downscaling methods infer these phenomena as temporally…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-24 Jonathan Schmidt , Luca Schmidt , Felix Strnad , Nicole Ludwig , Philipp Hennig

Global warming leads to the increase in frequency and intensity of climate extremes that cause tremendous loss of lives and property. Accurate long-range climate prediction allows more time for preparation and disaster risk management for…

Climate models are essential to understand and project climate change, yet long-standing biases and uncertainties in their projections remain. This is largely associated with the representation of subgrid-scale processes, particularly…

In geophysics, inverse modelling can be applied to a wide range of goals, including, for instance, mapping the distribution of rock physical parameters in applied geophysics and calibrating models to forecast the behaviour of natural…

To tackle the global climate challenge, it urgently needs to develop a collaborative platform for comprehensive weather forecasting on large-scale meteorological data. Despite urgency, heterogeneous meteorological sensors across countries…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-30 Shengchao Chen , Guodong Long , Tao Shen , Jing Jiang

In this paper, we attempt to employ convolutional recurrent neural networks for weather temperature estimation using only image data. We study ambient temperature estimation based on deep neural networks in two scenarios a) estimating…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-01-26 Wei-Ta Chu , Kai-Chia Ho , Ali Borji

Multivariate compositional count data arise in many applications including ecology, microbiology, genetics, and paleoclimate. A frequent question in the analysis of multivariate compositional count data is what values of a covariate(s) give…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-13 John R. Tipton , Mevin B. Hooten , Connor Nolan , Robert K. Booth , Jason McLachlan

This paper is concerned with a contemporary Bayesian approach to the effect of temperature on developmental rates. We develop statistical methods using recent computational tools to model four commonly used ecological non-linear…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-05-03 Marios Kondakis , Nikolaos Demiris , Ioannis Ntzoufras , Nikos E. Papanikolaou

As the role played by statistical and computational sciences in climate and environmental modelling and prediction becomes more important, Machine Learning researchers are becoming more aware of the relevance of their work to help tackle…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-23 Federico Amato , Fabian Guignard , Sylvain Robert , Mikhail Kanevski

The parameterization of moist convection contributes to uncertainty in climate modeling and numerical weather prediction. Machine learning (ML) can be used to learn new parameterizations directly from high-resolution model output, but it…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2018-11-30 Paul A. O'Gorman , John G. Dwyer

This study presents fast and accurate analytical methods for transient thermal modeling in multi-layer composites with an arbitrary number of layers. The proposed approach accounts for internal heat generation and non-homogeneities in the…

应用物理 · 物理学 2025-07-10 Gan Fu , Calina Ciuhu , Mitrofan Curti , Elena A. Lomonova

Global climate warming poses a significant challenge to humanity; it is associated with, e.g., rising sea level and declining Arctic sea ice. Increasing extreme events are also considered to be a result of climate…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-01-23 Jingfang Fan , Jun Meng , Yosef Ashkenazy , Shlomo Havlin , Hans Joachim Schellnhuber

A thorough regulation of building energy systems translates in relevant energy savings and in a better comfort for the occupants. Algorithms to predict the thermal state of a building on a certain time horizon with a good confidence are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-01 Alfredo V Clemente , Alessandro Nocente , Massimiliano Ruocco

Extreme near-surface moist heat and severe convective storms are among the leading causes of weather-related damages worldwide. Here, we show that episodes of extreme moist heat and severe convection frequently co-occur across midlatitude…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-01-05 Funing Li , Talia Tamarin-Brodsky

Accurate assessment of anthropogenic climate change relies on historical instrumental data, yet observations from the early 20th century are sparse, fragmented, and uncertain. Conventional reconstructions rely on disparate statistical…

Despite major advances in climate science over the last 30 years, persistent uncertainties in projections of future climate change remain. Climate projections are produced with increasingly complex models which attempt to represent key…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-05-26 Mark S. Williamson , Chad W. Thackeray , Peter M. Cox , Alex Hall , Chris Huntingford , Femke J. M. M. Nijsse