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Nowcasting leverages real-time atmospheric conditions to forecast weather over short periods. State-of-the-art models, including PySTEPS, encounter difficulties in accurately forecasting extreme weather events because of their unpredictable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-17 Junzhe Yin , Cristian Meo , Ankush Roy , Zeineh Bou Cher , Yanbo Wang , Ruben Imhoff , Remko Uijlenhoet , Justin Dauwels

Short-term rainfall forecasting, also known as precipitation nowcasting has become a potentially fundamental technology impacting significant real-world applications ranging from flight safety, rainstorm alerts to farm irrigation timings.…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2018-10-25 Maitreya Patel , Anery Patel , Dr. Ranendu Ghosh

Weather forecasting is dominated by numerical weather prediction that tries to model accurately the physical properties of the atmosphere. A downside of numerical weather prediction is that it is lacking the ability for short-term forecasts…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-26 Kevin Trebing , Tomasz Stanczyk , Siamak Mehrkanoon

Cloud cover plays a critical role in weather prediction and impacts several sectors, including agriculture, solar power generation, and aviation. Despite advancements in numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, forecasting total cloud…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-05-20 Mikko Partio , Leila Hieta , Anniina Kokkonen

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have demonstrated remarkable efficacy in tackling a wide array of graph-related tasks across diverse domains. However, a significant challenge lies in their propensity to generate biased predictions,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-03 Abdullah Alchihabi , Yuhong Guo

Machine learning plays an important role in the operation of current wind energy production systems. One central application is predictive maintenance to increase efficiency and lower electricity costs by reducing downtimes. Integrating…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-08 Johannes Exenberger , Matteo Di Salvo , Thomas Hirsch , Franz Wotawa , Gerald Schweiger

Accurately representing surface weather at the sub-kilometer scale is crucial for optimal decision-making in a wide range of applications. This motivates the use of statistical techniques to provide accurate and calibrated probabilistic…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-11-15 Francesco Zanetta , Daniele Nerini , Matteo Buzzi , Henry Moss

Precipitation nowcasting (up to a few hours) remains a challenge due to the highly complex local interactions that need to be captured accurately. Convolutional Neural Networks rely on convolutional kernels convolving with grid data and the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-13 Shan Zhao , Sudipan Saha , Zhitong Xiong , Niklas Boers , Xiao Xiang Zhu

In this paper, we propose a novel scenario forecasts approach which can be applied to a broad range of power system operations (e.g., wind, solar, load) over various forecasts horizons and prediction intervals. This approach is model-free…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-03-21 Yize Chen , Xiyu Wang , Baosen Zhang

Weather forecasting remains a crucial yet challenging domain, where recently developed models based on deep learning (DL) have approached the performance of traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. However, these DL models,…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-02-13 Zhanxiang Hua , Yutong He , Chengqian Ma , Alexandra Anderson-Frey

Weather forecasting is an essential task to tackle global climate change. Weather forecasting requires the analysis of multivariate data generated by heterogeneous meteorological sensors. These sensors comprise of ground-based sensors,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-16 Gaganpreet Singh , Surya Durbha , Shreelakshmi C R

Precipitation nowcasting is an important task for weather forecasting. Many recent works aim to predict the high rainfall events more accurately with the help of deep learning techniques, but such events are relatively rare. The rarity is…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-10-17 Ashesh , Buo-Fu Chen , Treng-Shi Huang , Boyo Chen , Chia-Tung Chang , Hsuan-Tien Lin

Radar-based precipitation nowcasting, the task of forecasting short-term precipitation fields from previous radar images, is a critical problem for flood risk management and decision-making. While deep learning has substantially advanced…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-20 Bernardo Perrone Ribeiro , Jana Faganeli Pucer

Learning node-level representations of heterophilic graphs is crucial for various applications, including fraudster detection and protein function prediction. In such graphs, nodes share structural similarity identified by the equivalence…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-22 Asif Khan , Amos Storkey

Weather Forecasting is an attractive challengeable task due to its influence on human life and complexity in atmospheric motion. Supported by massive historical observed time series data, the task is suitable for data-driven approaches,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-20 Minbo Ma , Peng Xie , Fei Teng , Tianrui Li , Bin Wang , Shenggong Ji , Junbo Zhang

Traffic speed forecasting is an important task in intelligent transportation system management. The objective of much of the current computational research is to minimize the difference between predicted and actual speeds, but information…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-17 Yuanjie Lu , Amarda Shehu , David Lattanzi

Designing early warning systems for harsh weather and its effects, such as urban flooding or landslides, requires accurate short-term forecasts (nowcasts) of precipitation. Nowcasting is a significant task with several environmental…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-10 Christos Kaparakis , Siamak Mehrkanoon

Weather nowcasting consists of predicting meteorological components in the short term at high spatial resolutions. Due to its influence in many human activities, accurate nowcasting has recently gained plenty of attention. In this paper, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-27 Jesus Garcia Fernandez , Siamak Mehrkanoon

We introduce a novel deep learning approach that harnesses the power of generative artificial intelligence to enhance the accuracy of contextual forecasting in sewerage systems. By developing a diffusion-based model that processes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-11 Nicholas A. Pearson , Francesca Cairoli , Luca Bortolussi , Davide Russo , Francesca Zanello

Accurate weather forecasting is critical for science and society. Yet, existing methods have not managed to simultaneously have the properties of high accuracy, low uncertainty, and high computational efficiency. On one hand, to quantify…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-06 Jimeng Shi , Bowen Jin , Jiawei Han , Sundararaman Gopalakrishnan , Giri Narasimhan