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Practitioners often use data from a randomized controlled trial to learn a treatment assignment policy that can be deployed on a target population. A recurring concern in doing so is that, even if the randomized trial was well-executed…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-04-25 Lihua Lei , Roshni Sahoo , Stefan Wager

A decision maker typically (i) incorporates training data to learn about the relative effectiveness of treatments, and (ii) chooses an implementation mechanism that implies an ``optimal'' predicted outcome distribution according to some…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-05-29 Anders Bredahl Kock , David Preinerstorfer

Learning optimal policies from historical data enables personalization in a wide variety of applications including healthcare, digital recommendations, and online education. The growing policy learning literature focuses on settings where…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-11-17 Ruohan Zhan , Zhimei Ren , Susan Athey , Zhengyuan Zhou

This paper studies policy learning for continuous treatments from observational data. Continuous treatments present more significant challenges than discrete ones because population welfare may need nonparametric estimation, and policy…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-02 Chunrong Ai , Yue Fang , Haitian Xie

Policy learning can be used to extract individualized treatment regimes from observational data in healthcare, civics, e-commerce, and beyond. One big hurdle to policy learning is a commonplace lack of overlap in the data for different…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-04 Nathan Kallus

We consider the problem of repeatedly choosing policies to maximize social welfare. Welfare is a weighted sum of private utility and public revenue. Earlier outcomes inform later policies. Utility is not observed, but indirectly inferred.…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-07-30 Nicolo Cesa-Bianchi , Roberto Colomboni , Maximilian Kasy

This paper studies the problem of optimally allocating treatments in the presence of spillover effects, using information from a (quasi-)experiment. I introduce a method that maximizes the sample analog of average social welfare when…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-04-09 Davide Viviano

I study the problem of a decision maker choosing a policy which allocates treatment to a heterogeneous population on the basis of experimental data that includes only a subset of possible treatment values. The effects of new treatments are…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-17 Samuel Higbee

Empirical researchers and decision-makers spanning various domains frequently seek profound insights into the long-term impacts of interventions. While the significance of long-term outcomes is undeniable, an overemphasis on them may…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-17 Peng Wu , Ziyu Shen , Feng Xie , Zhongyao Wang , Chunchen Liu , Yan Zeng

We study the problem of choosing optimal policy rules in uncertain environments using models that may be incomplete and/or partially identified. We consider a policymaker who wishes to choose a policy to maximize a particular counterfactual…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-12-22 Thomas M. Russell

Threshold policies are decision rules that assign treatments based on whether an observable characteristic exceeds a certain threshold. They are widespread across multiple domains, including welfare programs, taxation, and clinical…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-04-08 Federico Crippa

Strong empirical evidence from laboratory experiments, and more recently from population surveys, shows that individuals, when evaluating their situations, pay attention to whether they experience gains or losses, with losses weighing more…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-17 Martyna Kobus , Radosław Kurek , Thomas Parker

The beneficial effects of treatments vary across individuals in most studies. Treatment heterogeneity motivates practitioners to search for the optimal policy based on personal characteristics. A long-standing common practice in policy…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-01-06 Xuqiao Li , Ying Yan

Algorithmic predictions are increasingly informing societal resource allocations by identifying individuals for targeting. Policymakers often build these systems with the assumption that by gathering more observations on individuals, they…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-04 Ali Shirali , Ariel Procaccia , Rediet Abebe

Many policies allocate harms or benefits that are uncertain in nature: they produce distributions over the population in which individuals have different probabilities of incurring harm or benefit. Comparing different policies thus involves…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2021-03-11 Hoda Heidari , Solon Barocas , Jon Kleinberg , Karen Levy

We initiate the study of the effects of non-transparency in decision rules on individuals' ability to improve in strategic learning settings. Inspired by real-life settings, such as loan approvals and college admissions, we remove the…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2022-02-11 Yahav Bechavod , Chara Podimata , Zhiwei Steven Wu , Juba Ziani

This paper considers the problem of data generation for MPC policy approximation. Learning an approximate MPC policy from expert demonstrations requires a large data set consisting of optimal state-action pairs, sampled across the feasible…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-06-22 Dinesh Krishnamoorthy

Many reinforcement learning algorithms, particularly those that rely on return estimates for policy improvement, can suffer from poor sample efficiency and training instability due to high-variance return estimates. In this paper we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-06 Alexander W. Goodall , Edwin Hamel-De le Court , Francesco Belardinelli

Recent policy optimization approaches (Schulman et al., 2015a; 2017) have achieved substantial empirical successes by constructing new proxy optimization objectives. These proxy objectives allow stable and low variance policy learning, but…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-24 Marcin B. Tomczak , Dongho Kim , Peter Vrancx , Kee-Eung Kim

We are witnessing an increasing use of data-driven predictive models to inform decisions. As decisions have implications for individuals and society, there is increasing pressure on decision makers to be transparent about their decision…

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